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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #55,881
  • Feb 12, 2015 10:29am Feb 12, 2015 10:29am
SP500 push down and Nikkie on ASIA night
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  • #55,882
  • Feb 12, 2015 10:29am Feb 12, 2015 10:29am
Ok, time out for me.
  • #55,883
  • Feb 12, 2015 10:41am Feb 12, 2015 10:41am
Nikkei correcting and only word from BOJ will take out the highs there and here. Trading into all the old daily range support now. We're at 118.80 S: 47 is support and 119.22 R above. Time to dust off those range playing techniques ... again.
  • #55,884
  • Feb 12, 2015 10:46am Feb 12, 2015 10:46am
And SaP about breaking highs. Could be massive.
Am buying GUs now
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #55,885
  • Feb 12, 2015 10:52am Feb 12, 2015 10:52am
Why is this huge down candle today?
It took out away all previous profit.
When do you think that it will go up again?

Thanks
  • #55,886
  • Feb 12, 2015 10:55am Feb 12, 2015 10:55am
we have test of the 5 min golden cross . it is time for rebound maybe
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  • #55,887
  • Feb 12, 2015 10:56am Feb 12, 2015 10:56am
free fallin' .
maybe UJ just said goodbye 120 for a very long time, it's on a long vacation somewhere south, to warm up the old bones.

took 2 shorts : UJ & AJ. one child doing good, the other one just won't listen, doing some problems.
"The secret of politics? Make a good treaty with Russia." Otto von Bismarck
  • #55,888
  • Feb 12, 2015 11:10am Feb 12, 2015 11:10am
2 bullish pin bar 5m.
1 bullish pin bar 15m.
1 doji 30m.
might retrace going up.
but I do not dare to long.
if long ensure tight sl.
  • #55,889
  • Feb 12, 2015 11:12am Feb 12, 2015 11:12am
Quoting bikov
free fallin' . maybe UJ just said goodbye 120 for a very long time, it's on a long vacation somewhere south, to warm up the old bones. took 2 shorts : UJ & AJ. one child doing good, the other one just won't listen, doing some problems.
Maybe some trends are about to bend.
  • #55,890
  • Feb 12, 2015 11:18am Feb 12, 2015 11:18am
don't know this flirting with 120 how's gonna end but it seems that this level is not in love with uj. indices in the sky, bonds in the sky(yields down the hole)..strange times.
"The secret of politics? Make a good treaty with Russia." Otto von Bismarck
  • #55,891
  • Feb 12, 2015 11:20am Feb 12, 2015 11:20am
I knew there was a reason uj was stuck in that tight range for a month... When it breaks out, they talk it right back down.. Pure BS... BoJ intervening, theyve done it before.

Gotta stay away from this pair for bit...

I always said a month of 2 of bad data for US and the tide will change for strong dollar story.. BoE already talking possible rate cuts (if they slip into deflation) after everyone believing a rate hike is coming at end of year, central banks all cutting rates, all data has been down, except employment numbers... But Lets not forget that the fed has said to give room for inflation to stagnate but short terrm, and to expect downside on economy...
So, either time for tide to change (probably with 1 bad nfp report) or until feds rub our backs and tell us everything is fine, (or very far from fine)

Good pips to all!
  • #55,892
  • Feb 12, 2015 11:20am Feb 12, 2015 11:20am
not sure why some people thought it was going to carry on going up.
oscillators were overbought on nearly most of the timeframes..should have been a hint something was coming.
YOUR MOTHERS ASS
  • #55,893
  • Feb 12, 2015 11:29am Feb 12, 2015 11:29am
Quoting santos23
not sure why some people thought it was going to carry on going up. oscillators were overbought on nearly most of the timeframes..should have been a hint something was coming.
oversold/overbought sometimes in a strong up/down trends.. monthly rsi14 was around 78 when UJ was at 112.xx so it was in a zone "overbought" for some 900 pips till 121.84 high. and with all those CB interventions I'm not sure if all known strategies and indicators work any more.
"The secret of politics? Make a good treaty with Russia." Otto von Bismarck
  • #55,894
  • Feb 12, 2015 11:30am Feb 12, 2015 11:30am
Quoting santos23
not sure why some people thought it was going to carry on going up. oscillators were overbought on nearly most of the timeframes..should have been a hint something was coming.
It probably would have, except for the random comments at 3:15 am about the currency being weak enough, which just happened to coincide with the UJ finding support at 120 and starting to advance upwards again. The BoJ probably does not want it above 120, so that could be the last time we see it for a while potentially.

Or maybe it will miraculously recover and be above 120 again by tomorrow. But I wouldn't count on that.
  • #55,895
  • Feb 12, 2015 11:32am Feb 12, 2015 11:32am
Quoting teddybomber
{quote} It probably would have, except for the random comments at 3:15 am about the currency being weak enough, which just happened to coincide with the UJ finding support at 120 and starting to advance upwards again. The BoJ probably does not want it above 120, so that could be the last time we see it for a while potentially. Or maybe it will miraculously recover and be above 120 again by tomorrow. But I wouldn't count on that.
Agree
  • #55,896
  • Feb 12, 2015 11:33am Feb 12, 2015 11:33am
Quoting teddybomber
{quote} It probably would have, except for the random comments at 3:15 am about the currency being weak enough, which just happened to coincide with the UJ finding support at 120 and starting to advance upwards again. The BoJ probably does not want it above 120, so that could be the last time we see it for a while potentially. Or maybe it will miraculously recover and be above 120 again by tomorrow. But I wouldn't count on that.
well, trends cant keep going up forever and this pair had been shooting up well
YOUR MOTHERS ASS
  • #55,897
  • Feb 12, 2015 11:36am Feb 12, 2015 11:36am
but I'd be very happy if AJ finally starts to listen to his older brother UJ and rise a white flag..
"The secret of politics? Make a good treaty with Russia." Otto von Bismarck
  • #55,898
  • Feb 12, 2015 11:41am Feb 12, 2015 11:41am
I still think dips are good buy opportunities for this pair. Japan's economy and overall situation is still in the dumps and US will raise rates in June. To me, 125 is next target, just may take a little longer to get there now with thanks due to BOJ's comments.
Vision without action is a daydream. Action without vision is a nightmare.
  • #55,899
  • Feb 12, 2015 11:42am Feb 12, 2015 11:42am
One concern I just thought of about the BoJ wanting the yen not too weak, is that to keep it from getting too weak they have to sell dollars to buy yen. They only have a finite amount of dollars to intervene with, versus trying to keep the currency weak where they could just print money as long as they want to do so. But they could also fight back by announcing a QE reduction. So it is probably best to not do the opposite of what the CB wants.
  • #55,900
  • Feb 12, 2015 11:42am Feb 12, 2015 11:42am
Those betting on never see 120.00 again please raise the hand .............

Before the facts of course ..................
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