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  • #957,801
  • Feb 5, 2015 6:19am Feb 5, 2015 6:19am
Quoting hathor
Probably 1.15< will reached before NY open or under USA news (so in NY time it can come down) ? This H4 is not squeezed yet..and will close 30min after news.
Prob... There are already signs that this move was bearish move that will get sold off back to 1.135 etc so I will definitely be looking for entries to short.
  • #957,802
  • Feb 5, 2015 6:21am Feb 5, 2015 6:21am
  •  oRi3
  • | Joined Apr 2012 | Status: Solitary trader | 127 Posts | Online Now
Quoting hathor
Probably 1.15< will reached before NY open or under USA news (so in NY time it can come down) ? This H4 is not squeezed yet..and will close 30min after news.
I would say that there is a little possibility to jump to 1,1500 if close on H1 wont be lower than 1,1414 (today). But I wont put money for 1,1500 .
Create a plan, test it, stick it, whatever is hapenning.
  • #957,803
  • Feb 5, 2015 6:22am Feb 5, 2015 6:22am
Putin invites Greek PM to Russia - bastardos haha
Get Rich or Die Tryin
  • #957,804
  • Feb 5, 2015 6:24am Feb 5, 2015 6:24am
Quoting sisse
{quote} Very good post... {quote} Agree but thats why betting on the status quo has priority over chaos and panic. That is (sadly or not, it's irrelevant) and has been the european way to face new challenges/problems since WWII. Avoid conflict , delay action that can trigger frictions between countries and hope the economy and the strong social and internal democratic structures shift to normal conditions. Sure one of these day it will fail and backfire. Maybe Greece will be the trigger, maybe the raise of the extreme right, maybe economic struggles...
u have a populist leader, some say more leaning toward old red values and cozy with Moscow. i dont think its much of a stretch for him to do the populist thing. after all, the ecb is doing what it needs to do. and he will do what he needs to do. if i was a ez bank with exposure it would be on my mind. even the Swiss have exposure. i dont think its prudent to put our head in the sand. who knows? maybe the Swiss depegged ahead of this train-wreck on purpose selling the euro. how one banks exposure effects another or the whole system is secret. its not like a banker or a central banker is going to make it public. i do know at 1.5+ triciet (ecb) had rose colored glasses on.. then at 1.16x last month, dragis had another view.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #957,805
  • Feb 5, 2015 6:32am Feb 5, 2015 6:32am
Really hope EU/GU shoot higher. Does look like USD weakness is going to be the move right now..
  • #957,806
  • Feb 5, 2015 6:32am Feb 5, 2015 6:32am
theres a lot of jump atm.. hmm interesting.. still looking for short oportunity..
the true currencies here is patience and react precisely
  • #957,807
  • Feb 5, 2015 6:33am Feb 5, 2015 6:33am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Yes fresh supply up there 5270ish area, strong one. Preffered would be spike up there today, otherwise we will close with HH on daily which is technically no go for me on shorts.
that high holding/rejection can lead to a bull going back to 5109 to eat some Wheaties.. or the bear still wanting 4848... short 5257.. risking 20
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #957,808
  • Feb 5, 2015 6:38am Feb 5, 2015 6:38am
A squeeze higher is not ruled out after NY open. 1450 is current resistance which is holding. Above this 1480,1520
Intraday only.
  • #957,809
  • Feb 5, 2015 6:38am Feb 5, 2015 6:38am
Quoting sisse
{quote} I know you where checking 1.142x... Knee jerk reaction filled after the a bit better than expected numbers in the EZ and back to square one in the euro.... This area is/will be the slaughterhouse in my books for small retail till the wide range is solved... GL with your trading.... sisse
Yea. Quite scattered levels, once something goes it goes fast and far.

I missed whole late move yesterday evening while was not online, though.
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #957,810
  • Feb 5, 2015 6:42am Feb 5, 2015 6:42am
Quoting goldfinch
{quote} We are at an area that blows accounts, still lots of momentum bars up testing a previous high, but plenty of red bars too that suck in the wary. I was talking about it yesterday how areas like this are always messy, this is where the uninitiated jump in, plenty too late to catch a move, others too early to catch a reversal. This is noise, good to scalp but not easy to do succesfully. This is where retail traders that held shorts on the way up start revenge trading with lotsizes that are too big for their account attempting to rescue their...
very well said. and unfortunately very true for many traders. a year or 2 ago, i would have been wondering what you are talking about, but now its bang on.
  • #957,811
  • Feb 5, 2015 6:58am Feb 5, 2015 6:58am
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My signature is: "Classified".
  • #957,812
  • Feb 5, 2015 7:03am Feb 5, 2015 7:03am
Quoting yaed
{image}
nice stuff I read there with one exception , why would someone imagine to be king of saudi arabia queen of england is the word
Get Rich or Die Tryin
  • #957,813
  • Feb 5, 2015 7:09am Feb 5, 2015 7:09am
I dont really know why im posting this here. Maybe i should go have a nap with my son instead, he seems sorta tired? I dont fucking know...
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Maybe i should watch spongebob instead?
My signature is: "Classified".
  • #957,814
  • Feb 5, 2015 7:11am Feb 5, 2015 7:11am
Quoting hoom
{quote} nice stuff I read there with one exception , why would someone imagine to be king of saudi arabia queen of england is the word
Oh! That just put me off sex for week.
My signature is: "Classified".
  • #957,815
  • Feb 5, 2015 7:12am Feb 5, 2015 7:12am
  •  oRi3
  • | Joined Apr 2012 | Status: Solitary trader | 127 Posts | Online Now
Great, hourly close below 1.1414/1.1424. Once again short on 1.1415 SL - same, hourly close under 1.1424.
Create a plan, test it, stick it, whatever is hapenning.
  • #957,816
  • Feb 5, 2015 7:18am Feb 5, 2015 7:18am
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  • #957,817
  • Feb 5, 2015 7:21am Feb 5, 2015 7:21am
Quoting janpec1000
Long gold 1262.
TPed +30.
  • #957,818
  • Feb 5, 2015 7:23am Feb 5, 2015 7:23am
Quoting sisse
{quote} As usual with a knee jerk reaction made on air, the one from last night pretty much absorbed back for European opening. Easy goes, easy comes.... ECB announcment officially opened the Soap Opera season for the next couple of weeks but at the same time confirmed what it was widely expected: The new greek plan doesn't make any sense in financial terms and its pure Bs. Nothing new to see in that front as long as chaos is adverted (which is pretty much a done deal too). On the technical side, last micro move down was made on air intraday and...
Hi Sisse,
Can we say that reaction made on air covered by who could not trade ECB news last night and they will also join downside movement after they loaded enough? Thanks
  • #957,819
  • Feb 5, 2015 7:23am Feb 5, 2015 7:23am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} u have a populist leader, some say more leaning toward old red values and cozy with Moscow.
and a desperate Moscow in search for friends in Europe too so definitely a major issue ...

Quote
.... i don't think its prudent to put our head in the sand. who knows? ...

I definitively see you point Gator and i kind of agree with the risks in Europe (and the world) from this crisis.

My point however is about the impact for us traders trading the euro.

When I say "betting on the status quo" its because there is no much room for anything else. Look we both almost 100% agree on the major levels down. We know that parity is just around the corner (and even technically below to 0.8xx). We both know that the fundamentals and perfectly aligned to a move to those levels (ECB QE + FED hikes and economic divergences between US and Europe) so whats the point on expecting or betting on doom? (for a trading perspective)

Lets assume tomorrow Greece collapse and leave the Euro and there is panic round the financial world? so what is the worst case scenario that can happened in the euro? Technically? nothing!!! the same levels will be in play. It can no go much lower than those low levels.

Well you can say the euro will disappear? ...well if that happens we are screw as traders!!! because we WONT HAVE any trade or any target to ride...the Euro will simply disappear from our platforms without giving us any penny extra.

In simple words, when we (i mean in general traders and investors) know that you have almost guarantee ride down, there is better bang for the buck in betting on the status quo in Greece because it allow us to have these retraces (like now to 1.15xx) or any future ones and ride the pig squeezing the legs until we reach to the final destination.

The alternative (chaos and panic) will trigger one leg and after it will force CB and/or governments to halt trading the euro or even worst setting a fix floor until the euro is properly split in mini currencies ...

Point being, i agree with the risk of Greece and it will be a mistake for Europe bury the head in the sand, but for us traders we get better bang for the buck betting on the status quo ....

In any case, this morning remind me of the 2010s the soap opera has been in full motion, there is comments and counter comments and blah blah blah every 10 minutes mainly from the EuroZone Eurocrats but also from the main bastard sources from Bloomberg to FT ...thankfully we have been here before so basically: IGNORE

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #957,820
  • Feb 5, 2015 7:34am Feb 5, 2015 7:34am
Quoting sophiaphia
Long 1.13601 TP 164 ST 1.24 reason: oil thank you.
Yes. 1.42 go little euro. same STP, same TP 1.164
----- Dragonfly out in the sun you know what I mean, don't you know
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