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  • #955,481
  • Jan 28, 2015 1:38pm Jan 28, 2015 1:38pm
Quoting Ck87
H4 looks so bearish, still not convinced though, too damn sloppy.
Yep, still quite sloppy for sure... but at least we have a few days with all news items out of the system. We should hopefully see some clear sentiment take over one way or another rather than event-driven positioning/reactions.
check out my blog: forexmademillionaire dot com
  • #955,482
  • Jan 28, 2015 1:38pm Jan 28, 2015 1:38pm
Quoting sisse
{quote} NOT, not under any scenario!!!. Rate hike is not priced in by markets, we are trading in equities all time highs without a breath the last 2 years and we keep going and more importantly Treasuries are not trading a hike yet. Actually some of the major bastards in the board are pushing/betting/forcing the FED to even keep rates lower for another year. From a strictly monetary policy view. The FED job with low rates and QE is DONE. The worst it can do is keep sweetening the pot and not hike on time. The US economy is in full track and it should...
Yes, I shouldn't have implied rates were priced in by any means only the expectations for hikes later this year, which diverged significantly from goldfinch's expectations.

Thanks for the terrific post; I found it extremely useful.
  • #955,483
  • Jan 28, 2015 1:39pm Jan 28, 2015 1:39pm
This movement is so boring

Probably need nfp to for LL
Read the entire market, money is made on the main trend not the fluctuation
  • #955,484
  • Jan 28, 2015 1:42pm Jan 28, 2015 1:42pm
And i canceled my pending long on UCAD 2430...would have threated with 70 pips. Anyways pendings set now: 2463 and 2444. Very tiny pending long 2502.
Lock n loaded.
EU probably down to 310 then break of lows and further lower.
  • #955,485
  • Jan 28, 2015 1:44pm Jan 28, 2015 1:44pm
misstyped. starting over
  • #955,486
  • Jan 28, 2015 1:45pm Jan 28, 2015 1:45pm
Quoting Kofmaster
This movement is so boring Probably need nfp to for LL
Indeed, but maybe some beautiful big red candles shall join us on H4 over the next 12-24h
  • #955,487
  • Jan 28, 2015 1:47pm Jan 28, 2015 1:47pm
Quoting ExForX
Is this turning out to be a non-event for the EURUSD?
This is how I see it, FOMC Statement was a non-event, focus will now be back on QE = resume of downtrend.

Technical for me are also indicating a return to test the 1.11xx levels.

But looking for a potential larger correction after reaching 1.11xx levels.
  • #955,488
  • Jan 28, 2015 1:49pm Jan 28, 2015 1:49pm
If 1.1300 goes things might actually get interesting. Until then...
check out my blog: forexmademillionaire dot com
  • #955,489
  • Jan 28, 2015 1:50pm Jan 28, 2015 1:50pm
Fundi bear was so strong that FOMC can't even get it rally back to 1.1460 for testing?
Hmm..
Read the entire market, money is made on the main trend not the fluctuation
  • #955,490
  • Jan 28, 2015 1:50pm Jan 28, 2015 1:50pm
Quoting Pharm0r
misstyped. starting over
^
  • #955,491
  • Jan 28, 2015 1:51pm Jan 28, 2015 1:51pm
the levels between 1.11111 and 1.07777 will be the epic levels for us to catch the run toward 1.55555 in long term.

peace.
do not stand out in the open with gun ;stand in the bushes with knife..
  • #955,492
  • Jan 28, 2015 1:52pm Jan 28, 2015 1:52pm
is it always like this with news events, seems to me you are almost guaranteed to get 15 pips each way in the first seconds. just buy with a tp of 15pips and sell with a tp of 15 and watch them both go to profit in a few seconds lol. tempted to try it next red news event.
  • #955,493
  • Jan 28, 2015 1:52pm Jan 28, 2015 1:52pm
Quoting JaredSA
{quote} This is how I see it, FOMC Statement was a non-event, focus will now be back on QE = resume of downtrend. Technical for me are also indicating a return to test the 1.11xx levels. But looking for a potential larger correction after reaching 1.11xx levels.
Agree, from a technical perspective, euro looks bad. From a fundamental perspective, euro looks atrocious. I am also looking for a drop below 1.12 in the short term.
  • #955,494
  • Jan 28, 2015 1:54pm Jan 28, 2015 1:54pm
I wish that we can see more high volatility in the EUR/USD soon.
  • #955,495
  • Jan 28, 2015 1:54pm Jan 28, 2015 1:54pm
Quoting Vermillion
{quote} It's possible for further north as technical corrections, since the entire FOMC news showed expected material, if you kept up with U.S. news. So we pretty much what we expected. There's no vital stimulus to make new lows for the eur/usd, so I can't imagine the eur/usd suddenly dropping like a stone at least. Then again, I'm currently trading the gbp/jpy & usd/jpy, both of which have resumed their technical corrections downwards as well (the FOMC was holding it back, despite breaking key supports and retesting them as resistances)
You are correct- nothing new. Euro still going south. Currently it could be the case that many bears took their profits, and are now looking higher for short (my case, and I believe many others).

It could be a reversal- which is unlikely, but not unheard of or impossible as Ken has stated.

This is a very tricky area for me personally- I believe it's more clear for our Sr members like gator, sisse, ken, hatch, etc. Those are the ones I look to see if my numbers match up. 154x is one of them
  • #955,496
  • Jan 28, 2015 1:54pm Jan 28, 2015 1:54pm
Quoting Geppy
If 1.1300 goes things might actually get interesting. Until then...
I believe a break of 1.1300 will open up 1.1200
  • #955,497
  • Jan 28, 2015 1:56pm Jan 28, 2015 1:56pm
For those who trade XXXNZD or NZDXXX this is next in 5 mins

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #955,498
  • Jan 28, 2015 1:59pm Jan 28, 2015 1:59pm
Quoting Ken A
For those who trade XXXNZD or NZDXXX this is next in 5 mins {image}
I am ready for it.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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do not stand out in the open with gun ;stand in the bushes with knife..
  • #955,499
  • Jan 28, 2015 2:01pm Jan 28, 2015 2:01pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} wage inflation comes after high employment rates (not before), it always has. unemployment is low, higher wages should follow worker demand
many times there is a few ticks up, as sideline people join the workforce hunt. its happened many times in my lifetime so dont get a stick up the ass when it happens again. its normal (expected), to get a little unemployment rise as things are improving, and higher wages are offered. people quit for a new better paying job.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #955,500
  • Jan 28, 2015 2:01pm Jan 28, 2015 2:01pm
Quoting Ken A
For those who trade XXXNZD or NZDXXX this is next in 5 mins {image}
Nice quick move there.... you profit on that one Mr. News wizard?
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