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  • #948,741
  • Jan 8, 2015 11:08pm Jan 8, 2015 11:08pm
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} Even if i get 1 bullish candle on a weekly i still wont trade a bounce because a bounce against the major trend is just initially a retracement, better to look at shorting opportunities when retracement starts to stall.
Do you look at 1 hour chart when retracement starts to stall?
  • #948,742
  • Jan 8, 2015 11:10pm Jan 8, 2015 11:10pm
Quoting eggs
{quote} We don't even have a relevant higher high on the 4HR much less a higher low. I would need to see both of these before calling this a bounce. When price does bounce from these record lows.... You'll know it. GL
Cool! What do you think of possible support areas in 2005 (Nov-Dec)?
  • #948,743
  • Jan 8, 2015 11:18pm Jan 8, 2015 11:18pm
  •  eggs
  • | Joined Nov 2011 | Status: Everybodys A Central Banker Here... | 819 Posts
Quoting sideburn
{quote} Cool! What do you think of possible support areas in 2005 (Nov-Dec)?
Definitely relevant however I thing the bigger factor here is the value of the dolla versus the Euro. The momentum of this dollar bull run is blowing through support rt now. It's much less about the technicals & much more about the fundi's.
  • #948,744
  • Jan 8, 2015 11:38pm Jan 8, 2015 11:38pm
Quoting eggs
{quote} Definitely relevant however I thing the bigger factor here is the value of the dolla versus the Euro. The momentum of this dollar bull run is blowing through support rt now. It's much less about the technicals & much more about the fundi's.
Can't wait to see the result! It's like a cliffhanger!
  • #948,745
  • Jan 8, 2015 11:47pm Jan 8, 2015 11:47pm
The indicators of the daily chart are still well negative showing oversold conditions while forming bullish divergences. The pair may be close to a bottom, but still possible a direct extension toward 1,15! I wait for a possible decent rebound to sell.
  • #948,746
  • Jan 8, 2015 11:48pm Jan 8, 2015 11:48pm
Quoting fxtyrant
tomorrow is key folks, the way usdjpy is acting kast few weeks and no noise from BOJ heading into early 2015, my guess is big boys awaits for NFP to double stack their bets on the dollar, They are feeling comfy to buy usd against shitty currency like euro and gbp, but aud and nzd is weakness is slowing, gold is also meh... Dollar is waiting on something to make a beating on the entire basket. Watch out for tomorrow's NFP and the reactions from it.

Hi Tyrant,

If you were to bet your money now, which pair will you choose, long the UJ or Short the EUR?

Thanks,
Forate.
  • #948,747
  • Jan 9, 2015 12:28am Jan 9, 2015 12:28am
Quoting sideburn
{quote} Do you look at 1 hour chart when retracement starts to stall?
i dont look at anything lower than Daily.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #948,748
  • Jan 9, 2015 12:33am Jan 9, 2015 12:33am
Quoting Forate
{quote} Hi Tyrant, If you were to bet your money now, which pair will you choose, long the UJ or Short the EUR? Thanks, Forate.
damn.... i honestly dont know. i would sit on my hands right now. and you should too.... NFP is no joke and its best to stay out until AFTER the dust settles post-nfp.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #948,749
  • Jan 9, 2015 12:46am Jan 9, 2015 12:46am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} damn.... i honestly dont know. i would sit on my hands right now. and you should too.... NFP is no joke and its best to stay out until AFTER the dust settles post-nfp.
Thanks Tyrant for the advice.

Forate
  • #948,750
  • Jan 9, 2015 12:58am Jan 9, 2015 12:58am
ok days without doing nothing again.. patience..
the true currencies here is patience and react precisely
  • #948,751
  • Jan 9, 2015 1:09am Jan 9, 2015 1:09am
Quoting mostafa54
eur usd buy ; 1.1840 http://analysis2014.blogspot.com
oh ok you all posted bullish...the chess table is ready... we PP 1797...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: The chess table.jpg Size: 234 KB
DONT ASK ME QUESTION, BUT U CAN BAN ME I DONT CARE!
  • #948,752
  • Jan 9, 2015 1:15am Jan 9, 2015 1:15am
Probably ranging 20-30 pips until NFP, would not be surprised to see us sitting exactly where we are at 13:30 GMT
  • #948,753
  • Jan 9, 2015 1:30am Jan 9, 2015 1:30am
EURUSD remained bearish yesterday, short, medium and long-term technical trends remain bearish, mirroring fundamental concern about the EU and ECB stimulus forecasts.
I remain short-term bearish under 1.1850 but risk of an oversold pullback is too great to get a solid reward/risk setup here.
Want to learn more: HTO Trading
  • #948,754
  • Jan 9, 2015 1:48am Jan 9, 2015 1:48am
Quoting buaksam
{quote} FYI: 12 month rolling H-L average for eurusd for the past ten years is attached as a .pdf. Notice, how rare it is to have an under 400 pip HL mean. Good Luck. {image}
Thanks for pdf file. Here is what I am looking.

12 MTH SMA is at 346

MEAN OF ALL H-L 548
114 MTH above mean
78 MTH below mean
1 MTH equal mean
now -202 pip below mean
%59 above mean
%40 below mean

MEAN OF 12 MTH SMA at 556
137 mth above
45 mth below
now -211 pip below 2nd mean
%75 above mean
% 23 below mean

and its below 2 means since November 2012.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 12MTHHL.png Size: 99 KB
  • #948,755
  • Jan 9, 2015 2:10am Jan 9, 2015 2:10am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: E.png Size: 57 KB
long again from the x support line looking to hit 1.188
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: e5.png Size: 70 KB
  • #948,756
  • Jan 9, 2015 2:33am Jan 9, 2015 2:33am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} damn.... i honestly dont know. i would sit on my hands right now. and you should too.... NFP is no joke and its best to stay out until AFTER the dust settles post-nfp.
i tell u

it will hit 1660 1650
c u later i go back sleep
  • #948,757
  • Jan 9, 2015 2:41am Jan 9, 2015 2:41am
Quoting elbert3
{image} long again from the x support line looking to hit 1.188{image}
You looking at m5
If you look at other timings, such as this
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1cd17e41-5819-4c95-837b-5aa18a40bfac.png Size: 274 KB

Actually i want eur go up too
Cus i can have a nice position to short it till 0.88
  • #948,758
  • Jan 9, 2015 2:54am Jan 9, 2015 2:54am
UJ short with a SL>119.50 could be profitable.
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #948,759
  • Jan 9, 2015 2:59am Jan 9, 2015 2:59am
Quoting egkid
{quote} i tell u it will hit 1660 1650 c u later i go back sleep
i know it will just a matter of when...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #948,760
  • Jan 9, 2015 3:08am Jan 9, 2015 3:08am
hope NFP bring green pip to US...
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