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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #54,141
  • Dec 30, 2014 7:15am Dec 30, 2014 7:15am
Quoting Idkurv
{quote} Good catch Ata! my view is bearish, if it goes up I will look to short. My long term view is bullish, after touch 115 perhaps? will see how it goes
Thanks.. but this is the daily chart.. it could take serious time and also the Chikou span of Ichimoku on daily is still above candles. Bullish momentum is not over yet. Since volatility is low it is the best to wait for coming week or weeks to see more confirmation that price could drop.

Happy New Year
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #54,142
  • Dec 30, 2014 8:26am Dec 30, 2014 8:26am
Quoting skyway
if it loses power from here it will come down again like a rock this us session....worse if consumer confidence numbers disappoints.
as the rock sinks b4 consumer confidence numbers the bear party continues......
  • #54,143
  • Dec 30, 2014 8:26am Dec 30, 2014 8:26am
Wow big drop overnight. Buy some here near 119, throw on a loose stop and see what happens in the New Year.
Soar on my wings, you'll touch the hand of God, he'll make you King.
  • #54,144
  • Dec 30, 2014 8:49am Dec 30, 2014 8:49am
I closed my short position, wait for news release and PA.
  • #54,145
  • Dec 30, 2014 8:58am Dec 30, 2014 8:58am
With my broker the spread on UJ ( ~0.8 ) is considerably more than on EurChf ( ~0.2 ).
....interesting
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #54,146
  • Dec 30, 2014 9:03am Dec 30, 2014 9:03am
.....miss by 0.4(nothing significant)......the reaction is swift n calculated.....any bulls from here ?
  • #54,147
  • Dec 30, 2014 9:17am Dec 30, 2014 9:17am
Quoting skyway
.....miss by 0.4(nothing significant)......the reaction is swift n calculated.....any bulls from here ?
Was short till awhile ago and tempted to go long now. Not sure I wanna risk anything after that sweet short ride. I might long for one quick scalp and call it a day but it's 10:30 so there is still some action left till 1pm maybe ny time.
  • #54,148
  • Dec 30, 2014 9:18am Dec 30, 2014 9:18am
Quoting skyway
.....miss by 0.4(nothing significant)......the reaction is swift n calculated.....any bulls from here ?
Yes 119 looks like a decent spot to me, might be the last time we see under 120 for a long time.
Soar on my wings, you'll touch the hand of God, he'll make you King.
  • #54,149
  • Dec 30, 2014 9:31am Dec 30, 2014 9:31am
119.26 is the decisive lvl.....all eyes on it.
  • #54,150
  • Dec 30, 2014 9:31am Dec 30, 2014 9:31am
Quoting skyway
.....miss by 0.4(nothing significant)......the reaction is swift n calculated.....any bulls from here ?
Done scalping and done for the day but if I were you and you'd wanna stick around I'd watch 119.50/65 closely before there is bullish confirmation. I also think a squeeze is in for today at some point before 16:00 est. Goodluck.
  • #54,151
  • Dec 30, 2014 10:08am Dec 30, 2014 10:08am
Long from 118.99 I like that number.
  • #54,152
  • Dec 30, 2014 10:09am Dec 30, 2014 10:09am
The fave time for a squeeze seems to be after the London 4pm fix. Particularly if it is a Friday.
The final London fix might be 4:30pm, not sure.
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #54,153
  • Dec 30, 2014 10:15am Dec 30, 2014 10:15am
Quoting Mpt
People will ask "where is it going". It's really not too hard to work it out for yourself, or at least get a pretty good idea ........... Folks will talk about Abe San, they'll talk about news items, they'll argue that it it might go to this level or that level - but it's still going to be in a triangle. ----------------------- Draw an equilateral triangle (that's an assumption only, but there is no other confirming data) , with the (1st) longest leg 121.8~115.3. The 2nd leg 115.3 ~120.8. We're presumably in the 3rd leg, which is always the fastest....Anyway, I'm out of here. Good luck and Happy New Year everyone.



You see the problem with this guys.

He gives his analysis and all and it sounds good. Sounds convincing and everything yet read his last sentence. He's out of here. Meaning he's not trading what he has analyzed. What does this say?

Aren't you just sick of these ppl who give out a ton of analysis but don't have real money not fake money in some training account but actual money that they trade according to what they analyze.
  • #54,154
  • Dec 30, 2014 10:33am Dec 30, 2014 10:33am
Quoting forex_fairy
{quote} You see the problem with this guys. He gives his analysis and all and it sounds good. Sounds convincing and everything yet read his last sentence. He's out of here. Meaning he's not trading what he has analyzed. What does this say? Aren't you just sick of these ppl who give out a ton of analysis but don't have real money not fake money in some training account but actual money that they trade according to what they analyze.
We all are on different time zones, look where his trading from and it's nearly 31 December.

Good trading year 2015 for everyone!
  • #54,155
  • Dec 30, 2014 10:40am Dec 30, 2014 10:40am
Quoting Rizmeister
Long from 118.99 I like that number.
nice cartch bro
  • #54,156
  • Dec 30, 2014 10:47am Dec 30, 2014 10:47am
Quoting Sh0ukaT
{quote} nice cartch bro
Pretty good level.
  • #54,157
  • Dec 30, 2014 10:51am Dec 30, 2014 10:51am
Quoting forex_fairy
{quote} You see the problem with this guys.....
I have no problem with Mpt.

However as a general observation it is difficult to separate the scammers from the traders.
People who wish to declare their validity could have a trade explorer - however there is a problem with that also.
I have closed my trade explorer, I just post my account balance from time to time.
I may stop doing that in the New Year if I move to a much more significant account-size.
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #54,158
  • Dec 30, 2014 11:24am Dec 30, 2014 11:24am
Quoting forexings
{quote} Poor bearish action doesn't look like it can even make another low today
Look closely at the daily candle. 180 pips down today ... still think that it will touch 50% will will be around 250 pips for the day to 118.17. after that if we get a price action reversal signal, we will think of going long as clearly the trend is still bullish on this pair, so might as well wait for the best entry. Safe trading!
STING
  • #54,159
  • Dec 30, 2014 1:52pm Dec 30, 2014 1:52pm
Quoting whatever007
{quote} Yes 119 looks like a decent spot to me, might be the last time we see under 120 for a long time.
doesn't bother u rsi 83 on monthly chart? 😃
  • #54,160
  • Dec 30, 2014 5:27pm Dec 30, 2014 5:27pm
Quoting forex_fairy
{quote} You see the problem with this guys. He gives his analysis and all and it sounds good. Sounds convincing and everything yet read his last sentence. He's out of here. Meaning he's not trading what he has analyzed. What does this say? Aren't you just sick of these ppl who give out a ton of analysis but don't have real money not fake money in some training account but actual money that they trade according to what they analyze.
Hi Forex fairy. I've no issue with what you posted - and I really wasn't going to come back here today because, as Louise pointed out, it is already NYE where I live. It's now 0930 on NYE and I'm off to the beach in a few hours for tapas, drinks and fireworks.

I was simply pointing out a logical prognosis, extrapolating all the moves thus far. Some days ago, I posed the question here as to whether 119.5 would be tested and/or survive. A few hours ago, I suggested that, should 120.3 AND 120.1 get taken out, it would probably fall rapidly. It did. As such, those moves were easy to "predict", but I'm never so arrogant as to state categorically that they WILL happen.

Right now, it sits in a place where the next move or "wave" is a little unpredictable. Being right on the edge of the 4hr ichimoku cloud, it may yet be rejected back to about 119.9/120, or it may fall down to 118 first. I really have no idea. In essence, though, it still appears to be following the course of being in a large triangle - until new data confirms otherwise.

I fail to comprehend how such calls could be construed as being out to scam people, but I was primarily trying to inject some reasoned (right or wrong) analysis into a thread that too often relies on the expectation that Abe San and his bully boy mates over at the BOJ will be the sole driver for what is, after all, a floating currency pair.

However, I will let you in a secret - I'm not trading UJ at all. Any and all analysis on this pair is solely used for my trading GJ.

Best wishes. And Happy new Year.
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