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EUR/CHF

  • #13,521
  • Dec 19, 2014 12:25pm Dec 19, 2014 12:25pm
http://www.snb.ch/en/mmr/reference/p...0141218.en.pdf
  • #13,522
  • Dec 19, 2014 12:28pm Dec 19, 2014 12:28pm
"what holds the SNB from raising the floor?" It is against their interest. A cheaper CHF is more wanted on the market... More demand, more real capital inflow - harder to defend the new floor... The swiss economy is doing well, the last 20 years the average inflation was under 1%. The present infl. situation is not a real threat. Trading surplus year after year, over 2% yearly GDP growth... To lower the floor to ease the pressure is not an option either. Would create a total loss of credibility. Not even a breach of the floor is acceptable... Lowering the neg rate is an option. More and more. In 1978 the lowest was 10%!!!

Yesterday the 3 months Libor was -0.05% http://www.snb.ch/en/ there is still room to -0.75...
  • #13,523
  • Dec 19, 2014 12:34pm Dec 19, 2014 12:34pm
The snb links explain pretty much everything for Fana...
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-1...f-inflows.html
http://www.snb.ch/en/mmr/speeches/id...218_tjn.en.pdf
http://www.snb.ch/en/mmr/reference/p...0141218.en.pdf
http://www.efxnews.com/story/27336/w...e-rates-nordea
  • #13,524
  • Dec 19, 2014 4:22pm Dec 19, 2014 4:22pm
One funny wish
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurchf-d1-admiral-markets-as.png Size: 70 KB
  • #13,525
  • Dec 21, 2014 12:56pm Dec 21, 2014 12:56pm
very nice picture, my daughter makes similar ones, wish you to succeed with the Swiss.
  • #13,526
  • Dec 22, 2014 3:31am Dec 22, 2014 3:31am
so...what do you guys think,it will go to the floor or it will move some pips higher
  • #13,527
  • Dec 22, 2014 5:04am Dec 22, 2014 5:04am
Quoting jassson
so...what do you guys think,it will go to the floor or it will move some pips higher
I will wait for QE announcement for another round buy near the floor.
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #13,528
  • Dec 22, 2014 7:33am Dec 22, 2014 7:33am
Quoting forexings
{quote} I will wait for QE announcement for another round buy near the floor.
+1
  • #13,529
  • Dec 22, 2014 8:31am Dec 22, 2014 8:31am
Quoting forexings
{quote} I will wait for QE announcement for another round buy near the floor.
ECB QE 22nd Jan?
Same day SNB -ve rates start

What if Draghi comes out hawkish & no QE?......

Hope to buy near floor soon. By the way when we are off this holidays, SNB has an automated robot EA watching the floor this holiday season working with "utmost determination" right?
  • #13,530
  • Dec 22, 2014 3:20pm Dec 22, 2014 3:20pm
Independent Broker

I've got the basic information from this US based, but UK regulated broker that recently has enabled their own clearing house.
Swap rates as of today, compared to FXCM trading station - simple view
_________Sell Buy ___ (FXCM Sell Buy)
EUR/CHF -1.02 -0.71 __ 0.00 -1.10
EUR/USD 0.50 -1.20 __ 0.90 -2.00
AUD/USD -8.60 4.10 __ -8.40 4.00
USD/JPY -1.34 0.34 __ 0.00 0.00

Stop loss buster 1-minute bar of 17/12, h 15:30
Low 1.20052 High 1.20089 (FXCM Low 1.19912 High 1.20089)

Free ACH withdrawals, no dealing desk, all trading techniques allowed, leverage 200:1 (non-US accounts)

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Since I'm not paid for advertising I'll pass the name on a PM basis only.
  • #13,531
  • Dec 23, 2014 3:51am Dec 23, 2014 3:51am
For those looking for real swaps...

https://www.db-markets.com/#fx_rates/forward

have a good time...
  • #13,532
  • Dec 23, 2014 10:00am Dec 23, 2014 10:00am
Quoting alaneth
{quote} ECB QE 22nd Jan? Same day SNB -ve rates start What if Draghi comes out hawkish & no QE?...... Hope to buy near floor soon. By the way when we are off this holidays, SNB has an automated robot EA watching the floor this holiday season working with "utmost determination" right?
Having fun with this quotation?
BTW, it's turning down but this time I'm cannot assure you that it will down below 2010
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #13,533
  • Dec 23, 2014 3:24pm Dec 23, 2014 3:24pm
Quoting Fana
http://www.snb.ch/en/mmr/reference/p...0141218.en.pdf
Do you think, the snb might reconsider the floor if eurusd drops below 1.10?

I still beleive the eurchf will go to 1.25+, but its looking like big player wants to kick out long ec retail client below 1.18
  • #13,534
  • Dec 23, 2014 4:15pm Dec 23, 2014 4:15pm
Quoting Caa
{quote} Do you think, the snb might reconsider the floor if eurusd drops below 1.10? I still beleive the eurchf will go to 1.25+, but its looking like big player wants to kick out long ec retail client below 1.18

What are these beliefs based on?
  • #13,535
  • Dec 23, 2014 5:12pm Dec 23, 2014 5:12pm
Quoting Caa
{quote} Do you think, the snb might reconsider the floor if eurusd drops below 1.10? I still beleive the eurchf will go to 1.25+, but its looking like big player wants to kick out long ec retail client below 1.18
You should rely on your own studies. Personally, i prefer to gather informations than opinions from the others. So this is exception :

How i observe that and gather data, you shoul be satisfy with the Long position E/C with SLs around 1,1950.

Dont be satisfy with 1,2130. Wait for the break and then manage the SLs. 1,25 is a nice target.

Bull flag at hourly and the fundament is also good for going long.

Dont close that too early.
  • #13,536
  • Dec 23, 2014 5:14pm Dec 23, 2014 5:14pm
Quoting Fana
{quote} You should rely on your own studies. Personally, i prefer to gather informations than opinions from the others. So this is exception : How i observe that and gather data, you shoul be satisfy with the Long position E/C with SLs around 1,1950. Dont be satisfy with 1,2130. Wait for the break and then manage the SLs. 1,25 is a nice target. Bull flag at hourly and the fundament is also good for going long. Dont close that too early.
Merry Christmass and Good Buy for now. Fana
  • #13,537
  • Dec 24, 2014 5:01pm Dec 24, 2014 5:01pm
For those looking for real swaps...

https://www.db-markets.com/#fx_rates/forward

have a good time...

Hi Swiss, I am someone who is looking for real swaps... And believe me, I have no idea which numbers to look at...
  • #13,538
  • Edited 12:13pm Dec 25, 2014 11:43am | Edited 12:13pm
Just read something today EUR/CHF fall below 1.20 ??? Anything you heard?

Is it the official reference?

German article

http://www.cash.ch/news/front/euro_f...en-3278466-449
  • #13,539
  • Dec 25, 2014 11:52am Dec 25, 2014 11:52am
fxstreet.com
min 1.1989
  • #13,540
  • Edited 12:21pm Dec 25, 2014 11:53am | Edited 12:21pm
Fuck if it's true, this knocked out my knock out warrants 1.20

Question is if this was also below to at 1.20 on EBS, anyone got access?
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