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  • #944,901
  • Dec 18, 2014 8:18am Dec 18, 2014 8:18am
looks to me like 1.2250 lows will be tested soon.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
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  • #944,902
  • Dec 18, 2014 8:20am Dec 18, 2014 8:20am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} Fundi-wise, I agree with fxtyrant- the EU is toast going into the future. Tech wise....we are coming up on a very tasty spot for both bulls and bears. We failed in 2012 to make a LL that should have happened based on the years prior....so now do we make a LL to correct 2012, or do we repeat 2012? If repeat, there's only a 200 pip window left..honesty I'm hoping for a repeat, but we all know what hoping does to your account..

for me techwise we would need another move to 242x for another leg down. Rarely it will kill the years low without any shake and after a 300 pip drop. This needs some correction.

Again, still possible LL, if not today or tomorrow, thats it for the year. Good spot to place some longs here for me, much too late for shorts.

Lets c what plays out
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #944,903
  • Dec 18, 2014 8:20am Dec 18, 2014 8:20am
Quoting sisse
{quote} Nicely played Gator. Lows hanging on air now. A roll below 1.228x now opens final target to the downside. Failure will mark low of the year at 1.224x and up we go for a retrace... sisse
my lower targets are still valid, we still have time.. w/o a LL those 24xx are do a visit.. even with a shallow LL they are valid, irregardless bull bear. i would like a shallow LL and look to reload 24xx/up till this weeks hi.. the lager tf closes are bearish.. w/o a LL.. 24xx is probably where a bear or bull will go.. after that trend says break the low part 2, or 2599.. 2480 can become important (2473) again.. still have time to make a LL,, blue boxes
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #944,904
  • Dec 18, 2014 8:22am Dec 18, 2014 8:22am
Quoting PhAnTi'
{quote} for those who like charts {image} let c, best, J
Very aggressive trade not even with H4 confirmation for that large swing (if it pans out you can stretched a couple of hundred ticks) but 2 thumbs up for the balls. r/r is outstanding....

GL

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #944,905
  • Dec 18, 2014 8:24am Dec 18, 2014 8:24am
Price didn't meet 2343 so no Euro trades again today and I'm more inclined to shorting Yen/Aussie ATM. Could be some plays there on a small retrace...
  • #944,906
  • Dec 18, 2014 8:24am Dec 18, 2014 8:24am
Unstable situation in Greece and Russia will not support appreciation of EUR in coming weeks. US Dollar has much better perspective to strengthen till the end of the year.
  • #944,907
  • Dec 18, 2014 8:26am Dec 18, 2014 8:26am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} Fundi-wise, I agree with fxtyrant- the EU is toast going into the future. Tech wise....we are coming up on a very tasty spot for both bulls and bears. We failed in 2012 to make a LL that should have happened based on the years prior....so now do we make a LL to correct 2012, or do we repeat 2012? If repeat, there's only a 200 pip window left..honesty I'm hoping for a repeat, but we all know what hoping does to your account..
we had a b/o in 2010, this may need little retrace if any..

its not about the fed.. its about whats forcing the fed and the ecb to change policy... the fed is just reacting.
copper and oil told the story before any policy change was announced.. oil from the u.s. has a multiple affect on jobs and gdp. its about energy cost comparable.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #944,908
  • Dec 18, 2014 8:36am Dec 18, 2014 8:36am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} we had a b/o in 2010, this may need little retrace if any.. its not about the fed.. its about what forcing the fed and the ecb to change policy... the fed is just reacting
What caused the b/o in 2010?

I understand what you're talking about regarding energy forcing policy change- but I'm looking strictly at the missed 2012 low, and how we are in a much similar situation right now, technically.
  • #944,909
  • Dec 18, 2014 8:36am Dec 18, 2014 8:36am
Quoting Rizmeister
{quote} Why would you every do a long term long...knowing that stimulus is around the corner...lol
History. Also, the market already knows that stimulus is around the corner.
  • #944,910
  • Dec 18, 2014 8:37am Dec 18, 2014 8:37am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} What caused the b/o in 2010?
2008

the choice for the world is a reset of the last 40 years comparable till it all equalizes. deflate or inflate. pain today or tomorrow with interest
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #944,911
  • Dec 18, 2014 8:39am Dec 18, 2014 8:39am
Quoting PayTheLimit
think I missed those cable longs, think I got a little too sneaky, at any rate, going for a beer...laters...
no fill on my buy limit either , had it at 5595 low 5604 only ...
Hear the music before the song is over ...
  • #944,912
  • Dec 18, 2014 8:40am Dec 18, 2014 8:40am
buy EU at 1.2251

SL 1.2230

TP insane
  • #944,913
  • Dec 18, 2014 8:45am Dec 18, 2014 8:45am
Quoting Nfp
buy EU at 1.2251 SL 1.2230 TP insane
your risk only 21 so why not , count me out tho ... momentum still flashing bears ..
Hear the music before the song is over ...
  • #944,914
  • Dec 18, 2014 8:48am Dec 18, 2014 8:48am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 2008 the choice for the world is a reset of the last 40 years comparable till it all equalizes. deflate or inflate. pain today or tomorrow with interest
I understand- but that's long term (2+ years) comparatively. Short term of a year, it wouldnt be out of the question for EU to retrace here would it?

By the way, if I haven't said it- I absolutely enjoy talking with all of you. It's enlightening to learn the opinions of you older folks that have been here awhile (fx, phant, gator, siss...) so thank you for being around. Even if you can be assholes.
  • #944,915
  • Dec 18, 2014 8:51am Dec 18, 2014 8:51am
Quoting GlobalMacro
{quote} your risk only 21 so why not , count me out tho ... momentum still flashing bears ..
how u measure momentum?

does momentum exist?
  • #944,916
  • Dec 18, 2014 8:58am Dec 18, 2014 8:58am
Quoting Nfp
{quote} how u measure momentum? does momentum exist?
By using the mofu in his tofu
  • #944,917
  • Dec 18, 2014 9:02am Dec 18, 2014 9:02am
Quoting fxtradeabi
{quote} By using the mofu in his tofu

errmmm..

i see...very good method
  • #944,918
  • Dec 18, 2014 9:06am Dec 18, 2014 9:06am
Philly fed barely made it compared to last month. Sheesh
  • #944,919
  • Dec 18, 2014 9:11am Dec 18, 2014 9:11am
Quoting Nfp
{quote} how u measure momentum? does momentum exist?
you're right it's a volatile concept ... cable's a better buy than fiber ...
Hear the music before the song is over ...
  • #944,920
  • Dec 18, 2014 9:11am Dec 18, 2014 9:11am
Quoting fxtradeabi
Philly fed barely made it compared to last month. Sheesh
barely made it?? lol last month was a bomb of a data, and the fact we are still close to expectation only missing by 1.5 is no big deal.
anyways if you thought that outcome was bad for the USD. then why isnt the USD being sold off? USDJPY breaking above 119 again....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
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