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  • #939,581
  • Nov 28, 2014 11:02am Nov 28, 2014 11:02am
Quoting eggs
Mr Tyrant... Sir... Or other Fundi analysts here... Do you see the effects of Sunday's vote by the SNB permeating across all majors? Or is it much to do about nothing? Any real market moving potential other than EURCHF?
One thing i can tell you, expect a gap over the weekend! Instutional banks will have the ability that we retail traders dont... Being the ability to trade over the weekends... If we had access to weekend markets, we'll see the eurchf whiplash around like the gbpusd did with scot referendum.
So if ahit goes down bad and gold referendum does get passed with an ok vote, eurchf will gap down hard... And a lot of peoples stop will get triggered ar market open...
Too many people are long the eurchf at 1.2010/20 levels with stop loss say 1.1980/90.... These guys may wake up to an unpleasant surprise

More so if they woke up and eurchf gets to 1.1950 or 1.1900, the brokers may not be able to fill the orders and the stop losses will run as pending or be filled with a 50 pip slippage.... A risk i dont want to take over the weekend, can go sourly wrong...
But the upside... Fairly limited.....SNB doesnt have to buy the euro to keep the eurchf pegged at 1.20, they can simply dump the chf to weaken the chf enough to keep the 1.20 on eurchf... But dumping the chf... What would snb buy next is the good question....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #939,582
  • Nov 28, 2014 11:04am Nov 28, 2014 11:04am
long for a few. blue to green, risk red


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Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #939,583
  • Nov 28, 2014 11:07am Nov 28, 2014 11:07am
  •  eggs
  • | Joined Nov 2011 | Status: Everybodys A Central Banker Here... | 819 Posts
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} One thing i can tell you, expect a gap over the weekend! Instutional banks will have the ability that we retail traders dont... Being the ability to trade over the weekends... If we had access to weekend markets, we'll see the eurchf whiplash around like the gbpusd did with scot referendum. So if ahit goes down bad and gold referendum does get passed with an ok vote, eurchf will gap down hard... And a lot of peoples stop will get triggered ar market open... Too many people are long the eurchf at 1.2010/20 levels with stop loss say 1.1980/90.......
Cool...Thank you
  • #939,584
  • Nov 28, 2014 11:09am Nov 28, 2014 11:09am
W h o L o n g ?

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  • #939,585
  • Nov 28, 2014 11:14am Nov 28, 2014 11:14am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} One thing i can tell you, expect a gap over the weekend! Instutional banks will have the ability that we retail traders dont... Being the ability to trade over the weekends... If we had access to weekend markets, we'll see the eurchf whiplash around like the gbpusd did with scot referendum. So if ahit goes down bad and gold referendum does get passed with an ok vote, eurchf will gap down hard... And a lot of peoples stop will get triggered ar market open... Too many people are long the eurchf at 1.2010/20 levels with stop loss say 1.1980/90.......
Nice analysis
100% Agree with you
Forex as Leverage
  • #939,586
  • Nov 28, 2014 11:15am Nov 28, 2014 11:15am
  •  eggs
  • | Joined Nov 2011 | Status: Everybodys A Central Banker Here... | 819 Posts
Quoting ffleo
{quote} you think that line will stop it from going up? The two recent big drops after Draghi talks were immediately bought up in the following days. People are buying dips right now.
Yes. That's precisely what I think. Thank you for buying the dips... I was looking for someone to sell to.
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  • #939,587
  • Nov 28, 2014 11:15am Nov 28, 2014 11:15am
Quoting Ken A
W h o L o n g ? {image}
Im actually long the gbp, but not against the dollar.... Am longing the gbp against euro or better put, short eurgbp.
Still see GBP being the 2nd economy to raise rates after US, 3rd on my list is actually the kiwi
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #939,588
  • Nov 28, 2014 11:17am Nov 28, 2014 11:17am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} Gator... Thats because japan is keen to correct a 30 year deflationary trend in usdjpy... Look where the usdjpy high is at over the last 30 year and you'll realise 120 is actualky the 50% level... If abe is surely keen.... We might see 200 on usdjpy for all i care.... And very much achievable cuz the IS hasnt even begun himing their interest rates.... We're only half way there my friend, plenty more jpy weakness to come...
fundi wise w/o a war because of oil being too cheap, or something it all makes sense, in the way presented. teche wise is, norm just had a beer.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #939,589
  • Nov 28, 2014 11:19am Nov 28, 2014 11:19am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} fundi wise w/o a war because of oil being too cheap, or something it all makes sense, in the way presented. teche wise is, norm just had a beer.
And Norm is only halfway through with that pint of beer.... Sooo more jpy gona be gulped down into his bellay!
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
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  • #939,590
  • Nov 28, 2014 11:21am Nov 28, 2014 11:21am
Closed all positions. Have a great weekend. CYA next week
  • #939,591
  • Nov 28, 2014 11:23am Nov 28, 2014 11:23am
Quoting Ken A
W h o L o n g ? {image}
I'd like to, but I dont wanna take them home. For a try at 5917, if we open around here Sunday, I'll do some buying....anyway time for the weekend....gl to all..
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #939,592
  • Nov 28, 2014 11:23am Nov 28, 2014 11:23am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} And Norm is only halfway through with that pint of beer.... Sooo more jpy gona be gulped down into his bellay!
i got a pending Long uj 115.486 .. with a 20 pip stop,
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #939,593
  • Nov 28, 2014 11:25am Nov 28, 2014 11:25am
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} I'd like to, but I dont wanna take them home. For a try at 5917, if we open around here Sunday, I'll do some buying....anyway time for the weekend....gl to all..

Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #939,594
  • Edited 11:52am Nov 28, 2014 11:26am | Edited 11:52am
GOLD
Piercing through strong support.
My advice is to take some profit and leave it to run bearing in mind Swiss vote on Sunday.
Entries and details below:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...59#post7858059

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...73#post7899273
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  • #939,595
  • Edited 4:16pm Nov 28, 2014 11:30am | Edited 4:16pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} I'd like to, but I dont wanna take them home. For a try at 5917, if we open around here Sunday, I'll do some buying....anyway time for the weekend....gl to all..
Looks like 1.5580 might worth a shot risking few pips

UCAD worth keep an eye ...

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  • #939,596
  • Edited 2:44pm Nov 28, 2014 11:35am | Edited 2:44pm
Quoting pedro319
{quote} EURUSD All levels worked to a certain extent, this is very important moment imo, price struck against .707 Ret H4 + WR1, any moves above will make this market seem too bullish for something that according to my trading plan should only be a retracement. These type of entries provided bounces so that stops can go BE short after so not a lot of risk involved. Market formed a perfect ABCD H4 + 3 Bear Drives right at resistance, we shall see whether it works or not. {image}
EURUSD
Patterns worked and entries pips to pips, now price is at .618 H4 and it is important that we clear this low in order to aim for old targets. .618 and .786 are usually the last hope for reversal.
Here is the chart for the Harmonic pattern lovers!
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  • #939,597
  • Nov 28, 2014 11:48am Nov 28, 2014 11:48am
Quoting pedro319
USDCAD Retracement continues. W1: Price reached 1.27 Extension + MR1 + Yearly R2 and those two last candles don't look very bullish. This is the type of situation where a larger retracement could be on it's way. D1: Here we have nice confluence for long trade with .618 Ret (not reached yet) + MPP, I would say it's a good chance to test whether larger retracement down will happen or continuation up to 1.618 Ext Weekly at 1.17 plus. H4: We could have 3 Bullish drives pattern and reversal should start between 1.1240-19 area, last one is 1.618 Ext H4,...
USDCAD
117 will become more clear as soon as price takes the weekly chart top out.
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  • #939,598
  • Nov 28, 2014 11:50am Nov 28, 2014 11:50am
eurjpy gbpusd eurusd all made their double bottoms, could this mean something?
  • #939,599
  • Nov 28, 2014 12:04pm Nov 28, 2014 12:04pm
stopped out EU for -11 .... cable setup:

off for the weekend, see ya!

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Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #939,600
  • Nov 28, 2014 12:11pm Nov 28, 2014 12:11pm
Quoting thegmann
1.25050 short still looking good might get another millipede out of this lets go 1.235! {image}
Looking better and better wish was awake when tested 1.249 for a nice reload but oh well.
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