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EUR/CHF

  • #13,061
  • Nov 19, 2014 9:57am Nov 19, 2014 9:57am
MASSIVE FALL IN GOLD IN THE LAST FEW MINUTES.... obviously linked to referendum becoming clearer
  • #13,062
  • Nov 19, 2014 9:58am Nov 19, 2014 9:58am
Quoting kprsa
{quote} agreed, i think snb are likely to push the eurchf high up so that it is not in danger before the referendum. we'll see.
something could be happening, perhaps somebody in ZH decided to pull that trigger at the shift's end.

cheers,
k
  • #13,063
  • Nov 19, 2014 10:02am Nov 19, 2014 10:02am
if you look at gold, it could have something to do with the referendum
  • #13,064
  • Edited 10:14am Nov 19, 2014 10:03am | Edited 10:14am
*srf poll shows 39% for, 56% against swiss gold vote
  • #13,065
  • Nov 19, 2014 10:04am Nov 19, 2014 10:04am
Swiss Voters Seen Rejecting SNB Gold Initiative, SRF Poll Shows

By Catherine Bosley

Nov. 19 (Bloomberg) -- 39% seen voting “yes,” 56% seen voting “no,” 5% of voters still undecided on measure requiring Swiss National Bank to hold at least 20% of its assets in gold, according to gfs.bern poll for Swiss public broadcaster SRF.

Poll of 1,412 was conducted Nov. 7-15, has margin of error of plus/minus 2.7 percentage points
  • #13,066
  • Nov 19, 2014 10:06am Nov 19, 2014 10:06am
Quoting JamesCaan
Swiss Voters Seen Rejecting SNB Gold Initiative, SRF Poll Shows By Catherine Bosley Nov. 19 (Bloomberg) -- 39% seen voting “yes,” 56% seen voting “no,” 5% of voters still undecided on measure requiring Swiss National Bank to hold at least 20% of its assets in gold, according to gfs.bern poll for Swiss public broadcaster SRF. Poll of 1,412 was conducted Nov. 7-15, has margin of error of plus/minus 2.7 percentage points
could you please change that bold text then because it says the opposite outcome.
k
  • #13,067
  • Nov 19, 2014 10:12am Nov 19, 2014 10:12am
Gold initiative 38% yes, seems that
  • #13,068
  • Nov 19, 2014 10:14am Nov 19, 2014 10:14am
Quoting kprsa
{quote} could you please change that bold text then because it says the opposite outcome. k
I copy pasted the Bloomberg title, they issued an apology 5 mins later for mixing it around!
  • #13,069
  • Nov 19, 2014 10:14am Nov 19, 2014 10:14am
now what EC only 1.2022
  • #13,070
  • Nov 19, 2014 10:18am Nov 19, 2014 10:18am
Quoting JamesCaan
{quote} I copy pasted the Bloomberg title, they issued an apology 5 mins later for mixing it around!
haha, ok then, thanks!
(i hope this spike was not due to bloomberg's wrong title )
cheers,
k
  • #13,071
  • Nov 19, 2014 10:18am Nov 19, 2014 10:18am
only in german:
http://www.srf.ch/news/schweiz/absti...old-initiative
  • #13,072
  • Nov 19, 2014 10:22am Nov 19, 2014 10:22am
errrr.... big needle
  • #13,073
  • Nov 19, 2014 10:28am Nov 19, 2014 10:28am
What a BS move, very positive poll with 2.7% margin and no weakness priced in?!?!?! Also, the spike started 15 minutes before the official release. BS BS BS
  • #13,074
  • Nov 19, 2014 10:33am Nov 19, 2014 10:33am
that strenghten the fact that EC might stay at or near the floor for a prolonged period of time. neg rates, if and when introduce will have double effect
  • #13,075
  • Nov 19, 2014 10:48am Nov 19, 2014 10:48am
and noww its back to 1.2011 where it was before that quick rally to 1.2024. , and i bet some added some longs or didnt exit thinking the party had started. even i would have thought same if i still had my longs. such an unpredictable pair.

so now that it's formed a pin, it looks like a short. i think snb is up to something.
  • #13,076
  • Nov 19, 2014 10:56am Nov 19, 2014 10:56am
Quoting mamalujo
and noww its back to 1.2011 where it was before that quick rally to 1.2024. , and i bet some added some longs or didnt exit thinking the party had started. even i would have thought same if i still had my longs. such an unpredictable pair. so now that it's formed a pin, it looks like a short. i think snb is up to something.
EC dead again, just a small firework, hmm.

Maybe we should wait for next Sunday to see a bigger one again.
  • #13,077
  • Nov 19, 2014 11:13am Nov 19, 2014 11:13am
This is absolutely a rerun of the floor breach drama two years ago. The way snb is defending the floor is exactly the same as how they did it .... AND FAILed two years ago.

You know when will ec start going up again? Only when the floor is breached again for merely one minute and 90% highly lveraged lengths are taken out.

Criticise me and ridicule me as you like, but i am not taking back my words and i stand by it

I have said this once three months ago and i will say this three months later again.
  • #13,078
  • Nov 19, 2014 11:21am Nov 19, 2014 11:21am
Quoting uslfd
This is absolutely a rerun of the floor breach drama two years ago. The way snb is defending the floor is exactly the same as how they did it .... AND FAILed two years ago. You know when will ec start going up again? Only when the floor is breached again for merely one minute and 90% highly lveraged lengths are taken out. Criticise me and ridicule me as you like, but i am not taking back my words and i stand by it I have said this once three months ago and i will say this three months later again.
yes it will stay here some time for sure, at least till next SNB meeting and possible negative rates
  • #13,079
  • Nov 19, 2014 11:31am Nov 19, 2014 11:31am
Quoting OberonZhao
{quote} EC dead again, just a small firework, hmm. Maybe we should wait for next Sunday to see a bigger one again.
I've totally given up trading this pair, not even after nov 30th, may be much later when i can better understand and forecast the pair. for now its almost like a gamble.
  • #13,080
  • Nov 19, 2014 12:52pm Nov 19, 2014 12:52pm
Any good source of information about SNB decision when to expect real steps and policy?
kiss the trend
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