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EURUSD

  • #929,141
  • Oct 13, 2014 3:05am Oct 13, 2014 3:05am
Quoting Chicky
{quote} I don't know what is behind this move soon after week open. If something big, may not go below 1.2650.
You are right man. 2650 was not breached. I missed this train.
  • #929,142
  • Edited 3:25am Oct 13, 2014 3:06am | Edited 3:25am
Throwback starting to look bullish, next for a rebound to 1,2690, 1,2750, 1,2800 or 1,2950.
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Bavarian Trading FX
  • #929,143
  • Oct 13, 2014 3:10am Oct 13, 2014 3:10am
Quoting Chicky
{quote} Earned my wages.
clear 2673 with some closes.. or drop ... next h close below 3660/61 is much less bullish at lest till ny.. bulls have it so far, unless that cant keep it up with a 73 + close
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #929,144
  • Oct 13, 2014 3:22am Oct 13, 2014 3:22am
My view the same even some don't like it and put me in ig list because of it
Any way

Current positions in play since last week
Long 1.2678 and 1.2640
  • #929,145
  • Oct 13, 2014 3:23am Oct 13, 2014 3:23am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} clear 2673 with some closes.. or drop ... next h close below 3660/61 is much less bullish at lest till ny.. bulls have it so far, unless that cant keep it up with a 73 + close
UJ running. These two scalps added more cushion. Safe now until it hits 111.50 or so.
The Thief of Wall Street
  • #929,146
  • Oct 13, 2014 3:29am Oct 13, 2014 3:29am
Quoting Chicky
{quote} UJ running. These two scalps added more cushion. Safe now until it hits 111.50 or so.
Bump ahead.
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The Thief of Wall Street
  • #929,147
  • Oct 13, 2014 3:32am Oct 13, 2014 3:32am
Quoting egkid
My view the same even some don't like it and put me in ig list because of it Any way Current positions in play since last week Long 1.2678 and 1.2640
I have seen many many traders here bla bla during last YEARS and at end they all gone and I'm still here trading and win
If they asked for explain i would but they refuse to learn and choose 2 go away
  • #929,148
  • Oct 13, 2014 3:48am Oct 13, 2014 3:48am
range day?
  • #929,149
  • Oct 13, 2014 3:58am Oct 13, 2014 3:58am
Quoting Chicky
{quote} UJ running. These two scalps added more cushion. Safe now until it hits 111.50 or so.
long atm uj.. up off the 50%
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #929,150
  • Oct 13, 2014 4:03am Oct 13, 2014 4:03am
Quoting Chicky
{quote} Bump ahead. {image}
107.52 is a 1/4,, the line is covered in the chart... 111.62 i may s some
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #929,151
  • Oct 13, 2014 4:08am Oct 13, 2014 4:08am
not holding the red box support, puts a lot of green in view.. usd verse china..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #929,152
  • Oct 13, 2014 4:19am Oct 13, 2014 4:19am
Quoting MaxDoom
for those that still do not get why the $ is strong and the Euro is so damn weak and that it is not about to change..... this chart shows the change in GDP since the start of the financial crisis.... it is getting to the point that despite being so late in doing so, QE would now most likely be seen as positive for the EZ as it is likely the only thing that is going to get them out the crapper..... try overlaying which countries did QE on this chart and when.... and you will see how many years EZ is behind the UK and US {image}
If the QEs would be really so positive on all aspects of economy or monetary policy, dollar would not be droping from QE programs nor would it rally from June to September like crazy as some miracle is starting to happen in US economy, which it obviously is not. I dont think at all those GDP numbers have even 10% to do with currency moves over past year.
  • #929,153
  • Oct 13, 2014 4:26am Oct 13, 2014 4:26am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} clear 2673 with some closes.. or drop ... next h close below 3660/61 is much less bullish at lest till ny.. bulls have it so far, unless that cant keep it up with a 73 + close
bulls did it.. 2680/81 is the other i forgot to mention needing closes .. week still closed -2673.. so i am adding on weakness. still see the bulls having a possible 2850x setup. but 2587 happens before most times. below Fridays low it is. and that would make 4445 a target.. near the 4444 one prier to news b/o. many times these just go back to the rut. confliction
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #929,154
  • Oct 13, 2014 4:38am Oct 13, 2014 4:38am
Second trade today, long position on EURUSD, who has the same opinion like me?

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  • #929,155
  • Oct 13, 2014 4:47am Oct 13, 2014 4:47am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} If the QEs would be really so positive on all aspects of economy or monetary policy, dollar would not be droping from QE programs nor would it rally from June to September like crazy as some miracle is starting to happen in US economy, which it obviously is not. I dont think at all those GDP numbers have even 10% to do with currency moves over past year.
that is not what I said...... I will try and be clearer.....

EZ is in the crapper verging on deflation and recession including it's prime account holder Germany... all the data is pointing south or turning south....

All the ECBs efforts so far have completely failed to change anything, banks are just using the cheap money to their advantage and not to lend onwards and stimulate growth.....

The only weapon Draghi has left is full QE which I am sure he has wanted to use for a long time now but Germany is not letting that happen so far.....

Normally QE would be very negative for a currency value, but in this case because everyone with a brain cell knows it is required but ECB is holding off for whatever reasons or pressures by the time they do it it could have a positive effect because it means EZ can start turning the corner......

How that would play out is probably a far more muted drop to the euro value than might otherwise have been expected at the time, as oppose to a rise in the value of euro. Once that has settled I would then expect a further steady decline in the euro value until the data and outlook start changing direction....

regards
  • #929,156
  • Oct 13, 2014 5:01am Oct 13, 2014 5:01am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} bulls did it.. 2680/81 is the other i forgot to mention needing closes .. week still closed -2673.. so i am adding on weakness. still see the bulls having a possible 2850x setup. but 2587 happens before most times. below Fridays low it is. and that would make 4445 a target.. near the 4444 one prier to news b/o. many times these just go back to the rut. confliction
Bulls in control now
1H closed bullish on my chart
  • #929,157
  • Oct 13, 2014 5:06am Oct 13, 2014 5:06am
Quoting gatorinla
not holding the red box support, puts a lot of green in view.. usd verse china.. {image}
Are you trading that pair? Some people on the Oktoberfest and CNY thread had a discussion about it, basic idea: it's a manipulated p.o.s.
Anyway, have 1299 as a low, so lightly different outlook, and horrible spread. But nevertheless interesting to see, if it's a well behaved pair.
Fail better.
  • #929,158
  • Oct 13, 2014 5:11am Oct 13, 2014 5:11am
short EA 4486
  • #929,159
  • Oct 13, 2014 5:14am Oct 13, 2014 5:14am
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} Are you trading that pair? Some people on the Oktoberfest and CNY thread had a discussion about it, basic idea: it's a manipulated p.o.s. Anyway, have 1299 as a low, so lightly different outlook, and horrible spread. But nevertheless interesting to see, if it's a well behaved pair.
i am watching it.. for this reason



maybe this will help, china has gained currency value verse the usd mostly this 2014+ summer. at the same time the euro has lost value verse the usd and china. it makes american and ez products cheaper in china while china products more expensive for u.s. and euro zone to purchase. so theoretically the euro-zone should be selling more to u.s. and china... but the reports on whats really happening is indicating the opposite. while comparable energy cost rise. even with such a large move since may. it has not helped the ez yet.. the energy comparable cost is wide..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #929,160
  • Oct 13, 2014 5:22am Oct 13, 2014 5:22am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} Normally QE would be very negative for a currency value, but in this case because everyone with a brain cell knows it is required but ECB is holding off for whatever reasons or pressures by the time they do it it could have a positive effect because it means EZ can start turning the corner......
Add to this, the Americans start crying over the expensive Dollar & cheaper imports in comparison to expensive exports ... IMHO the US industries will get hammered with an expensive Dollar are mainly Tech & Oil. Shale Oil, the flagship product USA is producing is far more expensive than Brent! Which could leads to dumping investments on current development plans & placing immense pressure on producers..
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
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