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  • #927,661
  • Oct 3, 2014 1:26am Oct 3, 2014 1:26am
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} Long time until NFP and its no game changer, anyway. Times when NFP mattered, are gone. It will do a spike in one direction, nothing more.
It has ability to break important support / resistance due to high volatility?
The volatility is the matter here
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #927,662
  • Oct 3, 2014 1:29am Oct 3, 2014 1:29am
EURUSD has wavered around 1.2650 since Draghi’s speech, and the next key event that could determine is future direction is tomorrow’s US payrolls report. Another sub-150k ready for NFPs could trigger a sharper pullback in the EURUSD downtrend, back towards the 1.2800 highs from 24th September.
Want to learn more: HTO Trading
  • #927,663
  • Oct 3, 2014 1:29am Oct 3, 2014 1:29am
Quoting evrynet
{quote} So you out already
I was never in, that post was not about me
  • #927,664
  • Oct 3, 2014 1:41am Oct 3, 2014 1:41am
So let's see...we have France that's in some deep dodo, but still able to flip off the ECB& Co and a pending investigation of Raiffeisen Bank for money laundering the russian's fortunes...
Why sell the bottoms when you can buy the tops...
  • #927,665
  • Oct 3, 2014 1:43am Oct 3, 2014 1:43am
and Merkel is off today….
  • #927,666
  • Oct 3, 2014 1:55am Oct 3, 2014 1:55am
Quoting CandleStar
Of course "buying signals" is wrong, otherwise the providers would keep them to themselves and would be super rich. The same is true for seminars and teachers, all bullshit that might have worked a little bit in the past, if ever. Those who can do, those who can not teach. Is the teacher/signal provider rich? No? So why should you believe him/her a single word?
Well sort of my thinking, might be a bit more complicated then that but much of that seems based on experience (someones).
I can think of a scenario where i would rather teach people how to trade, rather then trade myself. I like intelligent conversation, i like teaching and spread ideas and also i like the idea of creating freedom in peoples lives. But that would mean i need to get a better and steadier income from teaching then i do from trading. Dont seem like its happening anytime soon. I mean its pretty simple: If it is as much fun teaching as it is trading, why would i rather teach it? Ive heard about the "less stressfull" and all those arguments. Yet i havent found anyone who does not trade but teaches instead and does it good.

I mean if the incentive to teach in general where larger/better then the incentive to trade, those people would be teachers and not traders and therefore not know anything about trading.

It is also important to note most people who think they are good teachers really suck at it. Plus they teach crap most of the time.
My signature is: "Classified".
  • #927,667
  • Oct 3, 2014 2:00am Oct 3, 2014 2:00am
long term fundamental

fx mkt rates

eur-usd

1.2635 q3 14
1.25 q4 14
1.22 q1 15
1.15 q3 15
Bavarian Trading FX
  • #927,668
  • Oct 3, 2014 2:02am Oct 3, 2014 2:02am
difficult day to take trades today for me, scalping for 10 pips is ok
  • #927,669
  • Oct 3, 2014 2:06am Oct 3, 2014 2:06am
Quoting evrynet
and Merkel is off today….
Oh you work for the CIA and of course are looking at her schedule every day? (news related joke)
My signature is: "Classified".
  • #927,670
  • Oct 3, 2014 2:07am Oct 3, 2014 2:07am
Quoting MickeyBlue
difficult day to take trades today for me, scalping for 10 pips is ok
I would like to agree with you there, only if you place any trades like that i would be glad to know where you entered.

I see you are using a standard MACD.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...78#post7767378

Why did you choose that one and whats youre thinking?
My signature is: "Classified".
  • #927,671
  • Oct 3, 2014 2:23am Oct 3, 2014 2:23am
Quoting pedro319
{quote} USDJPY This pair seems set for a larger retracement. Price passed through .786 + weekly pivot and currently trying to get below WS1. I can't exclude a move 80 pips further down to test monthly pivot at 107.85.
USDJPY
ABCD down 1 hr chart, 109.10 is resistance for this move that could take us to at least 107.85, I am not saying it won't go further down because even 105.79 50% Ret all swing daily chart, is quite possible! Let's see reaction to monthly pivot first.
We watch the charts from every angle so you don't have to!!
  • #927,672
  • Oct 3, 2014 2:24am Oct 3, 2014 2:24am
If Gold manages to clear 1200$ - $1176 level this time, the S&P and most of Equities will hit the roof ... the Dollar could also find the necessary fuel to continue gains, while EURUSD is gonna go back to " Plunge, Plunge and plunge some more .."
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #927,673
  • Oct 3, 2014 2:30am Oct 3, 2014 2:30am
MORGAN STANLEY CUTS END 2015 EUR/USD FORECAST TO 1.12 VS 1.15


Well.... that's pretty extreme...

So i Short today, next year i will be millionaire.

Too easy..
Buy at the Low, Sell at the High You make money by waiting not by trading.
  • #927,674
  • Oct 3, 2014 2:31am Oct 3, 2014 2:31am
Quoting yaed
{quote} I would like to agree with you there, only if you place any trades like that i would be glad to know where you entered. I see you are using a standard MACD. http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...78#post7767378 Why did you choose that one and whats youre thinking?
Sorry, not sure what you mean....I always call a live trade at a level that I enter .....maybe you mean something else, please explain if you wish..

Yes I do use macd, especially in a strong trend....looking for retracement

In the charts you mentioned there is not macd, only two averages on price and below the AD indicator with its moving average, below that there is a moment indicator, useful for divergence if you know how to use it.......

In scalping I only use price action.

hope it helps
  • #927,675
  • Oct 3, 2014 2:39am Oct 3, 2014 2:39am
here are my EU trade scenarios today, needless to say I favour the shorts....

for those that missed the essence of the ECB speech yesterday, it was in what he didn't say..... he said many policies in play need to give them a chance to work - so what he didn't say was forget any immediate idea of fuller QE but it is implied by what he did say.

Unfortunately for EU it is now factored into the price and made little difference, it was unable to rally above 1.27 keeping the bearish view in play
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-sbH1 2014 Oct 3 A1.png Size: 24 KB
  • #927,676
  • Oct 3, 2014 2:51am Oct 3, 2014 2:51am
Quoting MaxDoom
here are my EU trade scenarios today, needless to say I favour the shorts.... for those that missed the essence of the ECB speech yesterday, it was in what he didn't say..... he said many policies in play need to give them a chance to work - so what he didn't say was forget any immediate idea of fuller QE but it is implied by what he did say. Unfortunately for EU it is now factored into the price and made little difference, it was unable to rally above 1.27 keeping the bearish view in play {image}
great, thanks
less is more
  • #927,677
  • Oct 3, 2014 2:54am Oct 3, 2014 2:54am
2643 touched ... lets see at what high will it go ...
  • #927,678
  • Oct 3, 2014 2:55am Oct 3, 2014 2:55am
Quoting mejo
{quote} great, thanks
My question is why did you use different fibb lvl
Quoting MaxDoom
{image}
?

What is the difference between 76.4 and 78.6?

thnaks
less is more
  • #927,679
  • Oct 3, 2014 2:56am Oct 3, 2014 2:56am
Quoting liquidice
2643 touched ... lets see at what high will it go ...
Why do you think it will go up?
  • #927,680
  • Oct 3, 2014 3:05am Oct 3, 2014 3:05am
Quoting mejo
{quote} My question is why did you use different fibb lvl {quote}? What is the difference between 76.4 and 78.6? thnaks
morning, one is from MT and the other from my own toolset. There is not a lot of difference in reality some prefer one to the other - I should sync them
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