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  • #925,901
  • Sep 24, 2014 3:28am Sep 24, 2014 3:28am
Quoting NoCoolNick
{quote} Yeah the 4H do scare me a bit, but it has also been faking so much lately so i try to ignore the signals when we are so choppy..
You are sbolutely right. I have never seen so many changing H4 divergencies in such a short time period.
  • #925,902
  • Sep 24, 2014 3:29am Sep 24, 2014 3:29am
why this week eu looks unusual?
  • #925,903
  • Sep 24, 2014 3:30am Sep 24, 2014 3:30am
sold a bit ej 139,58 target 139,02/138,86
  • #925,904
  • Sep 24, 2014 3:34am Sep 24, 2014 3:34am
longed EURUSD 1.2850, TP 1.3080, SL on daily candle close below 1.2800
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #925,905
  • Sep 24, 2014 3:34am Sep 24, 2014 3:34am
Quoting 21vs7
sold a bit ej 139,58 target 139,02/138,86
That one looks frozen solid today..
I don't even have a cool signature
  • #925,906
  • Sep 24, 2014 3:35am Sep 24, 2014 3:35am
Quoting csubbra
why this week eu looks unusual?
because markets dont move in 1 direction......
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #925,907
  • Sep 24, 2014 3:38am Sep 24, 2014 3:38am
Quoting NoCoolNick
{quote} That one looks frozen solid today..
yes, dead at the anchor.
aSSia was in play after a pump before frankfurt close yesterday.
seems its capped
risking 12
Ill reverse at TP levels if not great momentum in play.

lets see
  • #925,908
  • Sep 24, 2014 3:39am Sep 24, 2014 3:39am
Quoting hathor
{quote} Than I would 'pass the ball' and ask You, if You can see any bullishness in the charts?! {image}
it's a fair pass

looking only at the chart - which was my question after all......
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-sbH4.png]].png Size: 38 KB
  • #925,909
  • Sep 24, 2014 3:45am Sep 24, 2014 3:45am
Quoting Vectamart
{quote} Good morning all. All my charts are telling me right now is to stay away from this pair. Price has bounced off the pivot point and seems to be southbound again. However, with the PA in a cloud on the M15 chart suggests indecision and choppiness for the time being. {image}
nice to see you here

stand aside is not a bad play, I certainly will not be taking any longs even if the bear is broken atm. I will however keep entering shorts at the right opportunities....
  • #925,910
  • Sep 24, 2014 3:47am Sep 24, 2014 3:47am
The fact that even with such a large downward pressure the euro hangs on makes silly me think that the big players might have a surprise in store for us.
Why sell the bottoms when you can buy the tops...
  • #925,911
  • Sep 24, 2014 3:49am Sep 24, 2014 3:49am
Quoting NoCoolNick
{quote} Well, just looking at the charts, we can see that we are close to the yearly low. Had we been bullish we would have been higher by now. I only see two things that are about to happen and that is A. re test of the lows. B. Lower lows, and i go for B. BUT, by the behaviour of this right now i would say we are closing in on the "bottom" mid term as a bigger bounce is here somewhere, BUT we have not yet seen that low that will trigger it. We have increasing ATR, more bouncing, and diff in lows are getting smaller.. Today they have already taken...
bigger bounce - we would all like, but I think it is still moving to it's new level after the fundamental shift which may mean no bigger bounce yet
  • #925,912
  • Sep 24, 2014 3:49am Sep 24, 2014 3:49am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} it's a fair pass looking only at the chart - which was my question after all...... {image}
It may count from the mirror J-effect (your bottom milky color horizontal line) for repeating.
  • #925,913
  • Sep 24, 2014 3:51am Sep 24, 2014 3:51am
Quoting fxtyrant
longed EURUSD 1.2850, TP 1.3080, SL on daily candle close below 1.2800
brave
  • #925,914
  • Sep 24, 2014 3:55am Sep 24, 2014 3:55am
Quoting zapiron
{quote} brave
Im basing this on the information im getting from the bank treasury, since i work for that bank and that the Retail clients are beginning to turn into Open Net Short Positions down here in EURO.. they probably think of shorting on trend continuation and as the retracement goes higher and higher they add more to shorts and add to their losses... and they're always wrong....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #925,915
  • Sep 24, 2014 3:58am Sep 24, 2014 3:58am
Quoting MaxDoom
you see how hard it is to actually just look at a chart and decide if it is bullish or bearish, very hard to do that without projecting your own future view onto it...... it's not so hard to get people talking about trading in this thread after all
Also, I found its funny how we skew our views slightly when we are already in positions.. as opposed to looking to enter and the RR on the trades from these levels, both bulls and bears..
  • #925,916
  • Sep 24, 2014 3:59am Sep 24, 2014 3:59am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} it's a fair pass looking only at the chart - which was my question after all...... {image}
And it's a fair concept.
f(z)=z2+c
  • #925,917
  • Sep 24, 2014 4:00am Sep 24, 2014 4:00am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} Im basing this on the information im getting from the bank treasury, since i work for that bank and that the Retail clients are beginning to turn into Open Net Short Positions down here in EURO.. they probably think of shorting on trend continuation and as the retracement goes higher and higher they add more to shorts and add to their losses... and they're always wrong....
Well, that value is relative, on myfxbook is 63% long on eurusd.
Buy at the Low, Sell at the High You make money by waiting not by trading.
  • #925,918
  • Sep 24, 2014 4:01am Sep 24, 2014 4:01am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} Im basing this on the information im getting from the bank treasury, since i work for that bank and that the Retail clients are beginning to turn into Open Net Short Positions down here in EURO.. they probably think of shorting on trend continuation and as the retracement goes higher and higher they add more to shorts and add to their losses... and they're always wrong....
wasnt the same story at 312x? Hard to base your entry only cus of this. Plus, one needs to see some big retail flow to make any of use. At least I see it this way.

under 2873 I see bears. Over risk is 2930/40 and if broken then 3100
Ill try all the levels
  • #925,919
  • Sep 24, 2014 4:09am Sep 24, 2014 4:09am
to me it bearish under 2930....if we had a breach of that, I might look for a spot to long on a pullback....otherwise, I look elsewhere..
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #925,920
  • Sep 24, 2014 4:18am Sep 24, 2014 4:18am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} Im basing this on the information im getting from the bank treasury, since i work for that bank and that the Retail clients are beginning to turn into Open Net Short Positions down here in EURO.. they probably think of shorting on trend continuation and as the retracement goes higher and higher they add more to shorts and add to their losses... and they're always wrong....
If what you say is true, then the retail traders are making the fundamental mistake of adding to a losing position. They need to trade what they see - not what they (wishfully?) think.
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