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AUD/USD

  • #84,881
  • Sep 20, 2014 5:05pm Sep 20, 2014 5:05pm
not exactly a good idea to be long now.....
Trade what you see, not what you think!
  • #84,882
  • Sep 21, 2014 3:13am Sep 21, 2014 3:13am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusd-pro-m15-admiral-markets-as.png Size: 51 KB
  • #84,883
  • Sep 22, 2014 1:42am Sep 22, 2014 1:42am
"The Australian dollar is likely to weaken to below US75¢ - a fall of around 20 per cent - on a combination of the lower interest rate differential and slumping GDP growth, with commodity price effects outweighing volumes," he said.

Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/business/the-e...#ixzz3E1ZCe8GF
  • #84,884
  • Sep 22, 2014 3:54am Sep 22, 2014 3:54am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aud1.gif Size: 152 KB
  • #84,885
  • Sep 22, 2014 3:59am Sep 22, 2014 3:59am
Looks like longing Aussie is not a good proposition at all, Dr Roubini has spoken. Technically, there is not even a sign of reversal since the fall started earlier this month.

http://www.smh.com.au/business/the-e...22-10kc2e.html
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #84,886
  • Sep 22, 2014 4:22am Sep 22, 2014 4:22am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aud1.gif Size: 160 KB
  • #84,887
  • Sep 22, 2014 4:39am Sep 22, 2014 4:39am
Quoting HelloOz
"The Australian dollar is likely to weaken to below US75¢ - a fall of around 20 per cent - on a combination of the lower interest rate differential and slumping GDP growth, with commodity price effects outweighing volumes," he said. Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/business/the-e...#ixzz3E1ZCe8GF
Have you ever heard a bigger bunch of shit?
  • #84,888
  • Sep 22, 2014 5:24am Sep 22, 2014 5:24am
The remaining time of 8 days towards the target
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUD DAILY.PNG Size: 105 KB
  • #84,889
  • Sep 22, 2014 5:36am Sep 22, 2014 5:36am
The remaining time of 8 days towards the target
  • #84,890
  • Sep 22, 2014 6:45am Sep 22, 2014 6:45am
short audusd Targets 8834 / 8781 / 8709
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusd 9-22-14.png Size: 120 KB
"W. D. Gann said that time is the most important factor among all things."
  • #84,891
  • Edited 7:14am Sep 22, 2014 7:04am | Edited 7:14am
Quoting USDollar
short audusd Targets 8834 / 8781 / 8709 {image}
=======

= http://screencast.com/t/gYJb8f2LkY

http://screencast.com/t/2yL6UyaGBL
  • #84,892
  • Sep 22, 2014 7:06am Sep 22, 2014 7:06am
Quoting USDollar
short audusd Targets 8834 / 8781 / 8709 {image}
We broken weekly low, no reason to long without any reversal.
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #84,893
  • Sep 22, 2014 7:30am Sep 22, 2014 7:30am
Having sustained the break of 0.8900, the pair is likely to extend its decline towards 0.8810. Upside resistance of 0.8930 becomes important for the pair to test 0.9000 level.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDH1.png Size: 37 KB
  • #84,894
  • Sep 22, 2014 7:35am Sep 22, 2014 7:35am
9:45pmCNYHSBC Flash Manufacturing PMI50.050.2
  • #84,895
  • Sep 22, 2014 7:37am Sep 22, 2014 7:37am
Quoting Ssm
{quote} We broken weekly low, no reason to long without any reversal.
Unless it it looking a bit oversold around now. Lets face it, RBA does not want to reduce interest rates and the lower dollar will be starting to add inflation pressures once the cost of imports flows through. Fuel price increases occur the fastest. If the AUD is still AAA rated and interest rates are higher (so what about the economy) the yields are better and safe.

Big buyers may be looking for a bargain

Any comments?
  • #84,896
  • Sep 22, 2014 7:54am Sep 22, 2014 7:54am
Quoting surfbeach253
{quote} Unless it it looking a bit oversold around now. Lets face it, RBA does not want to reduce interest rates and the lower dollar will be starting to add inflation pressures once the cost of imports flows through. Fuel price increases occur the fastest. If the AUD is still AAA rated and interest rates are higher (so what about the economy) the yields are better and safe. Big buyers may be looking for a bargain Any comments?

....it's all about interest rates IMO....

"Holy Grail" exists - accepting where is the first step.
  • #84,897
  • Sep 22, 2014 8:05am Sep 22, 2014 8:05am
Selling pressure continues to drag AUDUSD to over 7-month lows. Will Chinese PMI data on Tuesday, or short-term oversold conditions put some break on the free-fall for the currency...???

Every pull-back now seems as an opportunity to cautiously accumulate short positions... cautious because of short-term oversold conditions...
  • #84,898
  • Sep 22, 2014 8:28am Sep 22, 2014 8:28am
Quoting fxtyrant
I would recommend avoid longing at all cost. unless we get a confirmed candle. and i pray to god gap traders do not long in the hopes that all gaps would close...
i've said it...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #84,899
  • Sep 22, 2014 8:43am Sep 22, 2014 8:43am
Quoting VaBikePacker
{quote} ....it's all about interest rates IMO....
too soon for that. let it fall a bit more and your scenario will make sense
  • #84,900
  • Sep 22, 2014 8:50am Sep 22, 2014 8:50am
The pair will reach a very important support at 0.8831 as there is no doubt it will re-bounce in this area. a possible pullback up has to take place in this zone. we may see 60 pips up and then reverse back to south if the pair is still weak...
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