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Cable Update (GBPUSD)

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  • 1 1976219763Page 197641976519766 36258
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  • Post #395,261
  • Quote
  • Aug 29, 2014 5:27am Aug 29, 2014 5:27am
  •  pipster1
  • | Joined Feb 2014 | Status: Member | 713 Posts
GU PA is a mess. Will check back after US news clears....but am probably done for the day.
 
 
  • Post #395,262
  • Quote
  • Aug 29, 2014 5:30am Aug 29, 2014 5:30am
  •  Bones
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: left CanaryWharf desk-tea break | 22,532 Posts
dow has to interest someone
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#doyourownanalysisordietryin
 
 
  • Post #395,263
  • Quote
  • Aug 29, 2014 5:33am Aug 29, 2014 5:33am
  •  elbert3
  • Joined Dec 2013 | Status: Member | 19,215 Posts
Quoting chazzle
Disliked
{quote} cheers mate - are you in or flat?
Ignored
no 6 trades long see the post above ,just took 2 off at 6595 same target as yesterday 6634
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  • Post #395,264
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  • Aug 29, 2014 5:39am Aug 29, 2014 5:39am
  •  albchr
  • Joined Mar 2009 | Status: Member | 25,480 Posts
Quoting Bones
Disliked
oh yes she's flying now {image}
Ignored
Where are you short from Tony?
Ghost Rider - WWTBMD?
 
 
  • Post #395,265
  • Quote
  • Aug 29, 2014 5:44am Aug 29, 2014 5:44am
  •  Bones
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: left CanaryWharf desk-tea break | 22,532 Posts
im not short at all ,I'm waiting for signal ,month end draws close,
#doyourownanalysisordietryin
 
 
  • Post #395,266
  • Quote
  • Aug 29, 2014 5:47am Aug 29, 2014 5:47am
  •  chazzle
  • Joined Sep 2010 | Status: Member | 11,327 Posts
Quoting elbert3
Disliked
{quote} no 6 trades long see the post above ,just took 2 off at 6595 same target as yesterday 6634 {image}
Ignored
holding into next week - or looking for 6634 today?
 
 
  • Post #395,267
  • Quote
  • Aug 29, 2014 5:52am Aug 29, 2014 5:52am
  •  Bones
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: left CanaryWharf desk-tea break | 22,532 Posts
I'm short dax tho which just fell 60 pips in last couple hours ,almost cable entire week range

Quoting Bones
Disliked
im not short at all ,I'm waiting for signal ,month end draws close,
Ignored
#doyourownanalysisordietryin
 
 
  • Post #395,268
  • Quote
  • Aug 29, 2014 5:58am Aug 29, 2014 5:58am
  •  albchr
  • Joined Mar 2009 | Status: Member | 25,480 Posts
Quoting Bones
Disliked
im not short at all ,I'm waiting for signal ,month end draws close,
Ignored
Huh? You're in here day in and day out calling bear ... bear ... bear with chart after chart while laughing at the longs and you haven't loaded any shorts? That seems rather odd ...

One would think with all your posts making the case for shorts, you'd have a "signal" by now?

I'm really not trying to be a pain here Tony. Just trying to understand. But that just seems to wreak of uncertainty or a lack of conviction to me. Are you still trying to convince yourself of the case for shorts? Or are you really confident enough to place some and wait for the inevitable as you see it?
Ghost Rider - WWTBMD?
 
 
  • Post #395,269
  • Quote
  • Aug 29, 2014 6:06am Aug 29, 2014 6:06am
  •  Bones
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: left CanaryWharf desk-tea break | 22,532 Posts
chris im not sure what you mean ,,why you take my view so personally ,i already told you i wait for cable and I give good reasoning unlike the majority
#doyourownanalysisordietryin
 
 
  • Post #395,270
  • Quote
  • Aug 29, 2014 6:10am Aug 29, 2014 6:10am
  •  deergo
  • | Joined Aug 2009 | Status: Busy | 28 Posts
closed short, If it opens above 1.6600 on Monday going long
 
 
  • Post #395,271
  • Quote
  • Aug 29, 2014 6:11am Aug 29, 2014 6:11am
  •  nAVIN2007
  • Joined Dec 2007 | Status: mac daddy junior :) | 20,836 Posts | Online Now
Quoting albchr
Disliked
{quote} Huh? You're in here day in and day out calling bear ... bear ... bear with chart after chart while laughing at the longs and you haven't loaded any shorts? That seems rather odd ... One would think with all your posts making the case for shorts, you'd have a "signal" by now? I'm really not trying to be a pain here Tony. Just trying to understand. But that just seems to wreak of uncertainty or a lack of conviction to me. Are you still trying to convince yourself of the case for shorts? Or are you really confident enough...
Ignored
he is not providing a signal service just commenting on what he think at the time..when he posted its a short..if ud have listen u might have made 500 pips..if u ask me tony sees a retrace potential hence cutting his positions..month end will likely provide him with further options

again your comment is quite sacartic
 
 
  • Post #395,272
  • Quote
  • Aug 29, 2014 6:12am Aug 29, 2014 6:12am
  •  albchr
  • Joined Mar 2009 | Status: Member | 25,480 Posts
Quoting Bones
Disliked
chris im not sure what you mean ,,why you take my view so personally ,i already told you i wait for cable and I give good reasoning unlike the majority
Ignored
LOL ... I'm not taking anything personally Tony I assure you. I was just trying to understand how someone can be so convinced of a direction and yet, have no trades going that way. That's all.

I mean it can only go up or down. You're obviously convinced it's down. So why no shorts?
Ghost Rider - WWTBMD?
 
 
  • Post #395,273
  • Quote
  • Aug 29, 2014 6:14am Aug 29, 2014 6:14am
  •  Bones
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: left CanaryWharf desk-tea break | 22,532 Posts
chris whats difficult about Im waiting for higher price ,or break

Quoting albchr
Disliked
{quote} LOL ... I'm not taking anything personally Tony I assure you. I was just trying to understand how someone can be so convinced of a direction and yet, have no trades going that way. That's all. I mean it can only go up or down. You're obviously convinced it's down. So why no shorts?
Ignored
#doyourownanalysisordietryin
 
 
  • Post #395,274
  • Quote
  • Aug 29, 2014 6:14am Aug 29, 2014 6:14am
  •  albchr
  • Joined Mar 2009 | Status: Member | 25,480 Posts
Quoting nAVIN2007
Disliked
{quote} he is not providing a signal service just commenting on what he think at the time..when he posted its a short..if ud have listen u might have made 500 pips..if u ask me tony sees a retrace potential hence cutting his positions..month end will likely provide him with further options again your comment is quite sacartic
Ignored
My question was not addressed to you and there was no sarcasm intended. (But that's how you see everything I say or ask)

Please stay out of it. I'm sure Tony is quite capable of answering for himself.
Ghost Rider - WWTBMD?
 
 
  • Post #395,275
  • Quote
  • Aug 29, 2014 6:16am Aug 29, 2014 6:16am
  •  albchr
  • Joined Mar 2009 | Status: Member | 25,480 Posts
Quoting Bones
Disliked
chris whats difficult about Im waiting for higher price ,or break {quote}
Ignored
Nothing Tony, and that just answered my question. Thank you.
Ghost Rider - WWTBMD?
 
 
  • Post #395,276
  • Quote
  • Aug 29, 2014 6:20am Aug 29, 2014 6:20am
  •  elbert3
  • Joined Dec 2013 | Status: Member | 19,215 Posts
Quoting chazzle
Disliked
{quote} holding into next week - or looking for 6634 today?
Ignored
just got taken out clear now 1 loss 5 wins some big some only pips,, ,,look later now about 6582 ish
 
 
  • Post #395,277
  • Quote
  • Aug 29, 2014 6:20am Aug 29, 2014 6:20am
  •  Bones
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: left CanaryWharf desk-tea break | 22,532 Posts
Chris im not directing my posts at anyone I hope you can see ,
I like cable ,anything I post is what I see ,I see we could be in range for 14 -15 days and still be bearish ,
channel can not be argued at this point ,

Quoting albchr
Disliked
{quote} Nothing Tony, and that just answered my question. Thank you.
Ignored
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#doyourownanalysisordietryin
 
 
  • Post #395,278
  • Quote
  • Aug 29, 2014 6:21am Aug 29, 2014 6:21am
  •  plukin
  • | Joined Jul 2014 | Status: Member | 185 Posts
Quoting HDA
Disliked
{quote} @srt: Always remember this and in the future, I want you to observe what happens everytime bear stops are cleared at the DEMAND ZONE or bull stops are cleared at the SUPPLY ZONE. 1.6610 stops were cleared (weak probability to be short) at the DEMAND ZONE...
Ignored
Hi HDA,
I'm wrapping my head around your posts but following is what I just didn't get. Would appreaciate your explanation.

1) re
Quote
Disliked
Bear stops to be cleared @ demand lvl
- How do you know they are bear stops, can't it be also bull's buy stops of early buyers? Who then gets killed by move lower into new lows? I understand your point of having bull case and bear case and compare the two, just don't understand why fake move up should actually prepare the way for more move up. Maybe you get this info cause you got an institutional account?

2) re
Quote
Disliked
market has been heavily short
- Based on what? Can't it be mostly longs unloaded?

3) regarding option barriers - my understanding is that whenever option barrier is present (the big ones), it's defended but also gunned for. So knowing the strike & size is just a piece of the puzzle and it's up to the bull&bear strength which way the market goes (= which options the market targets) and whether the price gets hit or not. Correct?

4) My understanding is that you gun for 1.27ext with your TP2. But you also see the hurdles along the way where it might turn back south (then this C might become just A of bigger correction), which then would make you accomodate to a new situation right? But isn't the only way to realize it's going further south when price gets back bellow C? In which case you give back all the profit and take a loss..unless you choose to play the bigger correction adding even lower. Explanation is appreciated for that's something that will help me build my trading approach/strategy. Not to copy yours, but getting an understanding of different trading styles and then choosing what suits me.
I trade to win/profit.
 
 
  • Post #395,279
  • Quote
  • Aug 29, 2014 6:26am Aug 29, 2014 6:26am
  •  Bones
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: left CanaryWharf desk-tea break | 22,532 Posts
truth is Nav I had some really good sells ,which I should hold with my conviction ,its very difficult to hold even with conviction ,I want to play this down as professional as poss , if thats what we will do ,

Quoting nAVIN2007
Disliked
{quote} he is not providing a signal service just commenting on what he think at the time..when he posted its a short..if ud have listen u might have made 500 pips..if u ask me tony sees a retrace potential hence cutting his positions..month end will likely provide him with further options again your comment is quite sacartic
Ignored
#doyourownanalysisordietryin
 
 
  • Post #395,280
  • Quote
  • Aug 29, 2014 6:31am Aug 29, 2014 6:31am
  •  albchr
  • Joined Mar 2009 | Status: Member | 25,480 Posts
Quoting Bones
Disliked
Chris im not directing my posts at anyone I hope you can see , I like cable ,anything I post is what I see ,I see we could be in range for 14 -15 days and still be bearish , channel can not be argued at this point , {quote} {image}
Ignored
I understand Tony. I wasn't saying you were directing them at anyone.

But you are posting and I did have a question based on those posts so I asked it, that's all.

You have posted many "breaks" to the bear side and I guess that's where my confusion came in. Since you look at the larger TF's "mainly", I thought the path was clear to you and hence, wondered why you weren't short.

Please don't take my comments or questions as sarcasm like Navin always does. I'm simply trying to understand the thinking that's all. Now I do.

I don't use channels but I know many do. Just like a TL, price can walk sideways right through them and does so quite often. Especially in August. I find TL's more useful in volatile market conditions. But that's just me.
Ghost Rider - WWTBMD?
 
 
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