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EURUSD

  • #915,861
  • Aug 11, 2014 2:20am Aug 11, 2014 2:20am
morning all
  • #915,862
  • Aug 11, 2014 2:26am Aug 11, 2014 2:26am
Caught between Weekly and daily pivot. Daily sup 1 is 3358 ish.. Daily res 1 3447 ish. Did break out low on the asia session. Still waiting for a small bounce. If test of daily high is in the cards i will wait for a reaction.
I don't even have a cool signature
  • #915,863
  • Aug 11, 2014 2:29am Aug 11, 2014 2:29am
Quoting chazzle
reloading longs for 470ish
EU Next Target 1.33010
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #915,864
  • Aug 11, 2014 2:38am Aug 11, 2014 2:38am
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} EU Next Target 1.33010
what's your position?
  • #915,865
  • Aug 11, 2014 2:40am Aug 11, 2014 2:40am
REVISED Price movement and closing probabilities going forward.!!!

1.3434 = 0.10

1.34055 = 0.35

1.33900 = 1

1.33785 = 0.89

1.33644 = 0.86

What do these numbers mean?
At the time the numbers were calculated the current price always has probability 1. To have an idea of where price will go, One has to look at other price levels above or below the current one. It is clear that price levels below 1.33900 have higher probabilities. Therefore, I will call DOWN for EURUSD going forward.

OLD probabilities
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  • #915,866
  • Aug 11, 2014 2:43am Aug 11, 2014 2:43am
Quoting NoCoolNick
Morning, always great to get back to the drama. As stated friday and during the weekend i believe that short is the option still for EURUSD. After taking a deeper look on the daily it shows signs of 1,320x could be the way before a retest of the broken weekly trendline. Will see if i can get a chart up later. Now i'm waitning for the euro open to clear, london to get started and maybe find a got spot getting on some more shorts, still a little pissed i didn't get in on the 3430 action. I know all wanna be long and not saying it's not going to happen,...
Added shorts at 3391 might not get a better option today.
I don't even have a cool signature
  • #915,867
  • Aug 11, 2014 2:44am Aug 11, 2014 2:44am
Quoting chazzle
{quote} what's your position?
I am SHORT GJ But I am Seeing EU Going DOWN
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #915,868
  • Aug 11, 2014 2:57am Aug 11, 2014 2:57am
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} I am SHORT GJ But I am Seeing EU Going DOWN
ok - I'm seeing a decent rejection of 13350 weekly support with 3 failed attempts to break it between 6-8 AUG - support on lower TF at 13380, which happens also to be the 50% of the AUG 6/8 100 pip mini swing. GL with GJ short - I see a bit of a bullish channel there - and it's bumping along the bottom atm

GJ D1
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  • #915,869
  • Aug 11, 2014 2:59am Aug 11, 2014 2:59am
Never lost three trades in a row!!! Max SL = 10 pips.


1ST ATTEMPT!!!!

SELL EURUSD within 5pips(+spread) of 1.33949 during the next 5mins.

Profit is left to you. I am a high-frequency-trader and anything from 1pip to 100pips is ok for me!
  • #915,870
  • Aug 11, 2014 3:00am Aug 11, 2014 3:00am
Quoting Eurusdd
{quote}You have a high probability setup when a low/high does not lead to an omega in the intended direction but an omega in the opposite direction. It is even higher when only one omega is in the opposite direction!!! That one i can put my head on the chopping block!!! That is the heart of that setup!!!
What do you mean by Omega point eurusdd? Local extreme value?
  • #915,871
  • Aug 11, 2014 3:00am Aug 11, 2014 3:00am
Morning all
Gone short @ 3396
Asia high posted early and 4am low breached by Franky session. London open hasn't done a fake move...yet but I could reload at 3420 if she goes up there.
A pip is only worth it if you know how much you risked to earn it
  • #915,872
  • Aug 11, 2014 3:03am Aug 11, 2014 3:03am
Dear All,

Pls find below image & advise me this kind of problem can happen or it is a problem of the broker?
I enter a sell trade 1.3399 & set my stop loss as 1.3407
During the NFP news my trade was closed,but the trade closed at 1.3412. I lost more than 5 pip than I expected.
So I want to no this is a normal situation during the news time or this is a problem of my broker.


Your advise is very valuable for me...


Thanks
Helanka
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Helanka
  • #915,873
  • Aug 11, 2014 3:06am Aug 11, 2014 3:06am
Quoting Helanka
Dear All, Pls find below image & advise me this kind of problem can happen or it is a problem of the broker? I enter a sell trade 1.3399 & set my stop loss as 1.3407 During the NFP news my trade was closed,but the trade closed at 1.3412. I lost more than 5 pip than I expected. So I want to no this is a normal situation during the news time or this is a problem of my broker. Your advise is very valuable for me... Thanks Helanka {image}
This normally happens when the broker varies the spread, especially during news. So, I am sure, they closed you taking the spread into consideration.
  • #915,874
  • Aug 11, 2014 3:07am Aug 11, 2014 3:07am
Quoting Helanka
Dear All, Pls find below image & advise me this kind of problem can happen or it is a problem of the broker? I enter a sell trade 1.3399 & set my stop loss as 1.3407 During the NFP news my trade was closed,but the trade closed at 1.3412. I lost more than 5 pip than I expected. So I want to no this is a normal situation during the news time or this is a problem of my broker. Your advise is very valuable for me... Thanks Helanka {image}
Yes it is a normal thing to happen in the news. Your SL gets activated at the first available price which may not be what you have SL set to. During news events price can gap more than 20 pips, so even if your SL may be set to 5 pips it will get filled at 25 pips. It can work the other way also, your TP may get filled at a better price.
  • #915,875
  • Aug 11, 2014 3:20am Aug 11, 2014 3:20am
3382/83.5 if the bulls have a shot for a bounce its here, we missed 75 retrace friday...bears need to break this. the low till friday high puts a 3102 sequence number in the middle.. meaning there was a = distance either side of 3383.5,,,http://www.forexfactory.com/search.p...rchid=10963156
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #915,876
  • Aug 11, 2014 3:24am Aug 11, 2014 3:24am
1st attempt successful. for my explorer. I closed my sell: remember i am not interested in pip size but WINS!!!!
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  • #915,877
  • Aug 11, 2014 3:24am Aug 11, 2014 3:24am
Quoting Eurusdd
REVISED Price movement and closing probabilities going forward.!!! 1.3434 = 0.10 1.34055 = 0.35 1.33900 = 1 1.33785 = 0.89 1.33644 = 0.86 What do these numbers mean? At the time the numbers were calculated the current price always has probability 1. To have an idea of where price will go, One has to look at other price levels above or below the current one. It is clear that price levels below 1.33900 have higher probabilities. Therefore, I will call DOWN for EURUSD going forward. OLD probabilities {image}
Lol thats my number if you remember right eurusdd (1.3378)
also, on friday you said you could not see a problem in 1.3422 and u made fun of me for saying that but it did got corrected as well
Don't use both feet to test the depth of the river
  • #915,878
  • Aug 11, 2014 3:27am Aug 11, 2014 3:27am
Quoting Strawbale
{quote} Lol thats my number if you remember right eurusdd (1.3378) also, on friday you said you could not see a problem in 1.3422 and u made fun of me for saying that but it did got corrected as well
lOOK friend, i am happy we are making pips. Yes, we should hit your number. I will never make fun of anyone here. Pipping is SERIOUS business!
  • #915,879
  • Aug 11, 2014 3:28am Aug 11, 2014 3:28am
aussie bears trying to crack todays low
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #915,880
  • Aug 11, 2014 3:29am Aug 11, 2014 3:29am
Entered trade Sell at 1.33954 at the moment it is 8 pips down from there : ) have put in a target 1.3365 and stop 1.3427 might move target up to the higher probability level especially if it has a good chance of retracing as Gatorinla mentioned.... we will see keeping an eye on it
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