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EURUSD

  • #913,901
  • Aug 3, 2014 1:35pm Aug 3, 2014 1:35pm
This pair of next couple years I think is going to great scalping again have been doing this long term term and still looking the same with big swings up and down between the 1.4 and 1.2. I have a scalping EA which I am able to post explorer for, sorry broker doesnt work with other account or else I would. We will see going forward.
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All posts are my personal opinion
  • #913,902
  • Aug 3, 2014 1:40pm Aug 3, 2014 1:40pm
Quoting ryder950
Have any of you ever seen this???? It is hard to follow.. But I do see some good information. Strategically important moments of the trading day UTC/GMT; DST (Winter time) Sunday 21:00 (22:00) - Opening of the Traderollback after Friday; it is better to watch the terminal closely 21:00 DST (22:00) - opening of the trading session in Wellington (New Zealand) nothing happens, the trading is slack. 23:00 DST (24:00) - opening of the trading session in Sydney, the trade becomes more brisk in anticipation of Tokyo trading session opening in an hour....
Have you correlated any of that information with your own observations?
  • #913,903
  • Aug 3, 2014 1:54pm Aug 3, 2014 1:54pm
Quoting yorkshirelad
{quote} Have you correlated any of that information with your own observations?
About 40% of it... The rest of the time I have been asleep during those hours. I have yet been able to find a good way to back test the things I want to see.

I need 1 min data, any date I want... any time frame.. I know it exists, just cant find a good way to do it yet.

For example; (August 1 2004... All day 1 min chart)... Go try to find this. Wish I could find things like this.

I'm still searching
Back from the dead * ding fries are done *
  • #913,904
  • Aug 3, 2014 2:22pm Aug 3, 2014 2:22pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} a billion isn't much, the problem is we dont know if this is the first of one, or the first of 20. the post included other risk in the contest of the ones quoted. these risk lead to other ez countries. and these along with Argentina have been backed by some insurance. some are backed by countries who are backed by the ecb. the systemic part is the ecb stress test was bs. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-0...-day-drop.html this bs stress test was called bs back then by myself, and...
http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=497552
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #913,905
  • Aug 3, 2014 2:57pm Aug 3, 2014 2:57pm
Quoting Aws1962
{quote} CDS gross and net notional exposure to Arg debt is rather small.. (region of $1bn) and given the fact, they aren't really defaulting, the recovery rate is going to be rather high if the ISDA consider this a "credit event"... So basically, the risk, is very small percentages of this 1bn, and not really a systemic (or otherwise) risk the financial markets - other than a nice headline. I wouldn't read too much into it tbh, not that important
free info often times is worth what we pay for it. especially with blogs and so many opinions. sometimes these people get it right. sometimes they have enough followers to put their opinion into the market.. this is where the post each linked to another were focusing on. not the billion, the contagion for other countries if one bank fell. since they all have the same doctor... http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=497552
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #913,906
  • Aug 3, 2014 2:59pm Aug 3, 2014 2:59pm
latr.. bb n a few hours
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #913,907
  • Aug 3, 2014 4:27pm Aug 3, 2014 4:27pm
ABCD on h4

on the way to 38,2 fibo or 1,36 approx and up to 61,8% or 1,375 later

Long from 1,337

sl 1,326

Venceremos
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The good thing with the future is that it is progressively approaching...
  • #913,908
  • Aug 3, 2014 4:30pm Aug 3, 2014 4:30pm
The dollar traded unchanged or positive against most pairs the G10 during the European morning of Friday. Was positive against the GBP, the JPY, CAD, AUD and NOK, in that order, and negative against the SEK. The "greenback" was unchanged against the EUR, CHF and JPY.
  • #913,909
  • Aug 3, 2014 4:57pm Aug 3, 2014 4:57pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} free info often times is worth what we pay for it. especially with blogs and so many opinions. sometimes these people get it right. sometimes they have enough followers to put their opinion into the market.. this is where the post each linked to another were focusing on. not the billion, the contagion for other countries if one bank fell. since they all have the same doctor... http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=497552
BES was never / will never be a systemic problem, in terms of contagion.. also

*PORTUGAL'S BANCO ESPIRITO SANTO GETS EU4.9 BLN RESCUE
  • #913,910
  • Aug 3, 2014 5:00pm Aug 3, 2014 5:00pm
Quoting spinozagr
ABCD on h4 on the way to 38,2 fibo or 1,36 approx and up to 61,8% or 1,375 later Long from 1,337 sl 1,326 Venceremos {image}
That is a Daily chart!
We watch the charts from every angle so you don't have to!!
  • #913,911
  • Aug 3, 2014 5:06pm Aug 3, 2014 5:06pm
Quoting pedro319
{quote} That is a Daily chart!
Even better....

Thanks for noticing it.

venceremos.
The good thing with the future is that it is progressively approaching...
  • #913,912
  • Aug 3, 2014 5:47pm Aug 3, 2014 5:47pm
Okay guys and girls, the beauty with a place like this is that ppl can share their diff. analysis and ideas. As i stated last week, i have a hard time buying into this "bullish" move, don't think it will last at all and is just a bounce. I have been wrong before so dont bet money on it. I provide a chart below with an alternative look on how price is moving and why it could be that we got the top at 1,3444 with this bounce/correction.Plus we are at 50 ema also.. But again.. 1,347x is up there and 1,351x also. See you later in london.

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I don't even have a cool signature
  • #913,913
  • Aug 3, 2014 5:49pm Aug 3, 2014 5:49pm
Happy Sunday (Monday Morning) Everybody!

Anybody shorting EU today? I'm looking for EU to get to 1.3384 and possibly trail lower if the lower levels break. Good luck today!
Focus, Patience, Determination & Order in chaos
  • #913,914
  • Aug 3, 2014 6:01pm Aug 3, 2014 6:01pm
Quoting ryder950
{quote} About 40% of it... The rest of the time I have been asleep during those hours. I have yet been able to find a good way to back test the things I want to see. I need 1 min data, any date I want... any time frame.. I know it exists, just cant find a good way to do it yet. For example; (August 1 2004... All day 1 min chart)... Go try to find this. Wish I could find things like this. I'm still searching

Take this from Dukascopy

they are told to have the one of the best quality historical feeds:

http://www.dukascopy.com/swiss/engli...ch/historical/
  • #913,915
  • Aug 3, 2014 6:05pm Aug 3, 2014 6:05pm
Looking to long here soon
The fragrance remains in the hands of those that gves the rose
  • #913,916
  • Aug 3, 2014 6:52pm Aug 3, 2014 6:52pm
id like to wait for an h4 pullback around 3395, if we get price action prior ill be over it...
DM if you have any questions
  • #913,917
  • Edited 8:03pm Aug 3, 2014 7:43pm | Edited 8:03pm
Quoting Aws1962
{quote} BES was never / will never be a systemic problem, in terms of contagion.. also *PORTUGAL'S BANCO ESPIRITO SANTO GETS EU4.9 BLN RESCUE
maybe not.. when one is rescued, the money is taken/given (loaned) from "another". that "another" is then, in this case 4.9 billion owed. using your post figure. this is just one bank of many that passed the same stress test. the same test that put them in the "unlikely to fail status". when one is rescued, that usually means they couldn't meet obligations (failure). its nice that they got a rescue. it has taken a few weeks.. irt time a failed payment to another bank could make bank 2 unable to pay bank 3 and so forth, systemic. since most countries back domestic banks. some countries are already broke..

i haven't read much about the particulars here. i do recall ecb in the past said the investors were going to take the haircut in a future bailout of banks. if this be the case, with this rescue. i dont know for sure, but wouldn't most investors be leary on owning some bank stocks? at least up to the point the ecb puts a put, on them?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #913,918
  • Aug 3, 2014 8:02pm Aug 3, 2014 8:02pm
Quoting jkrick33
id like to wait for an h4 pullback around 3395, if we get price action prior ill be over it...
Seems likely we test there then rocket higher. 1.3465/85
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #913,919
  • Aug 3, 2014 8:04pm Aug 3, 2014 8:04pm
Quoting saver0
Happy Sunday (Monday Morning) Everybody! Anybody shorting EU today? I'm looking for EU to get to 1.3384 and possibly trail lower if the lower levels break. Good luck today!
Hi saver0,
My sell target is 1.337x but i still have one buy order opened with target of 1.347x. I am not so sure, will it goes up first to reach that target or not, because this order is about 9 days ago . What do you think?
  • #913,920
  • Aug 3, 2014 8:12pm Aug 3, 2014 8:12pm
Quoting elen21168
{quote} Hi saver0, My sell target is 1.337x but i still have one buy order opened with target of 1.347x. I am not so sure, will it goes up first to reach that target or not, because this order is about 9 days ago . What do you think?
Yea, I had longs as well. Decided to let it go today with a loss since my new indicators are telling me a different story. It should drop down lower before going up anyways if it is to go up. I know it will go up to hit upper levels but still getting more short signals. Might be able to make more money while it still goes lower. Let's see how it plays out this week. Good luck! Make sure you trade your plan! Not what somebody else thinks
Focus, Patience, Determination & Order in chaos
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