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  • #909,101
  • Jul 8, 2014 10:03am Jul 8, 2014 10:03am
Quoting Endoephemera
{quote} SL executed. And guess what... I'm short again. And heavy too. 90% of equity at 1.3612. Looking for 1.352 Stop 1.3616 I'm gonna make so much money I can hardly wait!
i have a 3616.8 print last hour. did your sl get hit?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #909,102
  • Jul 8, 2014 10:07am Jul 8, 2014 10:07am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} On your chart, is the purple line the ratio or differential of UK 2 years to the US 2 years? It seems that now the GBP/USD overshoot the purple line quite some, so cable should drop some to converge with the purple line.
its the implied annual deposit rate as calculated from a 2Y GBPUSD forward swap.

And its not been modelled to a fair value, so you can only use as a directional indicator. i.e. are they going the same way?
  • #909,103
  • Jul 8, 2014 10:10am Jul 8, 2014 10:10am
It is still in the channel... Could break up again after lunch east coast time.
What do you guys think?

cheers
Ryder950
Back from the dead * ding fries are done *
  • #909,104
  • Jul 8, 2014 10:20am Jul 8, 2014 10:20am
Quoting jnevins
{quote} Sell sell sell selllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll!
i told you to buy buy buyyyyyyyyyy
  • #909,105
  • Jul 8, 2014 10:21am Jul 8, 2014 10:21am
Quoting ryder950
It is still in the channel... Could break up again after lunch east coast time. What do you guys think? cheers Ryder950
I think we will see 1,363x soon, price is nicely consolidating for next leg up.
  • #909,106
  • Jul 8, 2014 10:21am Jul 8, 2014 10:21am
Quoting Aws1962
{quote} its the implied annual deposit rate as calculated from a 2Y GBPUSD forward swap. And its not been modelled to a fair value, so you can only use as a directional indicator. i.e. are they going the same way?
so that needs some complicated model to calculate. By looking at the chart, even if the two curves go the same direction, but if one curve is overvalued than the other curve for an extended period, they seem to correct and converge to each other.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #909,107
  • Jul 8, 2014 10:24am Jul 8, 2014 10:24am
Quoting Endoephemera
{quote} SL executed. And guess what... I'm short again. And heavy too. 90% of equity at 1.3612. Looking for 1.352 Stop 1.3616 I'm gonna make so much money I can hardly wait!

forex is not a market for easy or free money. you need to learn and it requires hours and hours of trading
  • #909,108
  • Jul 8, 2014 10:26am Jul 8, 2014 10:26am
Quoting ryder950
It is still in the channel... Could break up again after lunch east coast time. What do you guys think? cheers Ryder950
no its in a downtrend. 1.3628 caps all rallies
  • #909,109
  • Jul 8, 2014 10:26am Jul 8, 2014 10:26am
Quoting giveachance
{quote} forex is not a market for easy or free money. you need to learn and it requires hours and hours of trading
well atleast he is using stops, but indeed there is alot to learn on risk and entry.
  • #909,110
  • Jul 8, 2014 10:26am Jul 8, 2014 10:26am
lost thousands already this 2 days. sighhh
  • #909,111
  • Jul 8, 2014 10:28am Jul 8, 2014 10:28am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} so that needs some complicated model to calculate. By looking at the chart, even if the two curves go the same direction, but if one curve is overvalued than the other curve for an extended period, they seem to correct and converge to each other.
the modelling is not complicated, just need both time series then regress them... maybe adding a few filter variables too.

but yeh, the idea is that they will always tend to each other.
  • #909,112
  • Jul 8, 2014 10:28am Jul 8, 2014 10:28am
Quoting Endoephemera
{quote} SL executed. And guess what... I'm short again. And heavy too. 90% of equity at 1.3612. Looking for 1.352 Stop 1.3616 I'm gonna make so much money I can hardly wait!
so you are going to make so much money you can hardly count.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #909,113
  • Jul 8, 2014 10:30am Jul 8, 2014 10:30am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} so you are going to make so much money you can hardly count.
You guys are mean.. haha go easy on the guy
Focus, Patience, Determination & Order in chaos
  • #909,114
  • Jul 8, 2014 10:34am Jul 8, 2014 10:34am
This is how I'm thinking this will play out.

My long entry will be at around 1.3595 depending on the PA at the next higher low.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screen1.png Size: 43 KB
Focus, Patience, Determination & Order in chaos
  • #909,115
  • Jul 8, 2014 10:36am Jul 8, 2014 10:36am
Quoting giveachance
{quote} no its in a downtrend. 1.3628 caps all rallies
So your telling me to sell sell sell?
Back from the dead * ding fries are done *
  • #909,116
  • Jul 8, 2014 10:38am Jul 8, 2014 10:38am
Quoting arinforex
lost thousands already this 2 days. sighhh
What the heck are you talking about? EU didn't move at all in last couple of days.
  • #909,117
  • Jul 8, 2014 10:39am Jul 8, 2014 10:39am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} so you are going to make so much money you can hardly count.
He may be lucky enough ffleo, 1.3520s is tomorrow's and next day's target if this shit can't hold above 1.3615.
  • #909,118
  • Jul 8, 2014 10:47am Jul 8, 2014 10:47am
Quoting math_GB
{quote} He may be lucky enough ffleo, 1.3520s is tomorrow's and next day's target if this shit can't hold above 1.3615.
I kind feel euro may go up to 3670, but it needs to go above weekly pivot 3627 first and stay above it
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #909,119
  • Jul 8, 2014 10:51am Jul 8, 2014 10:51am
Quoting math_GB
{quote} He may be lucky enough ffleo, 1.3520s is tomorrow's and next day's target if this shit can't hold above 1.3615.
I hope you are not selling to that target, but good luck anyway ...
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #909,120
  • Jul 8, 2014 10:53am Jul 8, 2014 10:53am
I thought this was interesting
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 20140707_WSJ.jpg Size: 1.1 MB

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-0...s-ago-or-today

I guess times may change but the human condition remains the same..
Focus, Patience, Determination & Order in chaos
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