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  • #908,961
  • Jul 7, 2014 11:59am Jul 7, 2014 11:59am
Quoting saver0
{quote} Here is another reason why I am long on EU on the next leg down. The correlated pairs are also showing that the bulls got the upper hand for the next day or two. {image}
Yep Dollar analysis confirms it trough USDCHF, USDJPY, USDTRY. Right now testing important level trough all pairs, its going to bounce a bit i think, which will drag EU a bit down (hopefully enough to take some profits on short), but then USD should weaken more starting tomorrow or day after. In any case UJ pending still waiting, and will add UCHF pendings too if we retrace enough.
  • #908,962
  • Jul 7, 2014 12:19pm Jul 7, 2014 12:19pm
Ugh - why am I failing so hard at this? Those of you going long, I don't understand why, and I don't understand this bullish thing that is happening right now. Haven't all of the reports from the US been favorable to the USD strengthening? Haven't pretty much all of the reports from EUR countries been against the EUR strengthening? I've been looking at 1d/4H/1H and the longer charts seemed to indicate bearish behavior that didn't seem to be stopping.
  • #908,963
  • Jul 7, 2014 12:43pm Jul 7, 2014 12:43pm
Quoting randomchance
Ugh - why am I failing so hard at this? Those of you going long, I don't understand why, and I don't understand this bullish thing that is happening right now. Haven't all of the reports from the US been favorable to the USD strengthening? Haven't pretty much all of the reports from EUR countries been against the EUR strengthening? I've been looking at 1d/4H/1H and the longer charts seemed to indicate bearish behavior that didn't seem to be stopping.
FYI. EU neither bulls nor bearish. It is ranging. Take it to your advantage and play safe. No need to put too much efforts on indicators, technical, fundament etc.
  • #908,964
  • Jul 7, 2014 12:47pm Jul 7, 2014 12:47pm
The next days will be anything else than easy.

I have identified bearish divergence on daily and bullish divergence on weekly charts.
Make something out of it for yourself.

I had my 1% early within LO with a buy, what else?

I could not believe all these short advices that were written here all day long.

Anyway, every man for himself. For females it is the same
  • #908,965
  • Jul 7, 2014 12:57pm Jul 7, 2014 12:57pm
Im gonna keep my long till i wake up later. It seem quite promising to me.
  • #908,966
  • Jul 7, 2014 1:20pm Jul 7, 2014 1:20pm
Quoting randomchance
Ugh - why am I failing so hard at this? Those of you going long, I don't understand why, and I don't understand this bullish thing that is happening right now. Haven't all of the reports from the US been favorable to the USD strengthening? Haven't pretty much all of the reports from EUR countries been against the EUR strengthening? I've been looking at 1d/4H/1H and the longer charts seemed to indicate bearish behavior that didn't seem to be stopping.
hi randomchance,

I'd say you must be looking at it at the wrong angel if it is causing you so much frustration and confusion.

It is how the market works. No need to be confused because there is always hidden factors retail trader don't see it.

My suggestion for you is stay flat till the price action go along with you analysis. good luck.
If u luv happiness, start w/ discomfort, make friends w/ pain and failure.
100 Hits 0 Miss All Time Return: 35.8%
  • #908,967
  • Jul 7, 2014 1:35pm Jul 7, 2014 1:35pm
Quoting randomchance
Ugh - why am I failing so hard at this? Those of you going long, I don't understand why, and I don't understand this bullish thing that is happening right now. Haven't all of the reports from the US been favorable to the USD strengthening? Haven't pretty much all of the reports from EUR countries been against the EUR strengthening? I've been looking at 1d/4H/1H and the longer charts seemed to indicate bearish behavior that didn't seem to be stopping.

I used to be that way too, its the bumps you get along the road of learning. I'd suggest get a VERY good understanding of support and resistance. Look at Montly, weekly, daily. Find areas that should find some s/r there and watch the LTF for entries. Takes time dont give up we ALL have been there
  • #908,968
  • Jul 7, 2014 2:12pm Jul 7, 2014 2:12pm
Quoting AllyB
{quote} took this one on thur and ended up with +30 took it because of you talkin about shorting it {image}

/
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #908,969
  • Jul 7, 2014 2:23pm Jul 7, 2014 2:23pm
i think we might see 1.35 levels again soon after last week the USD proved to be stronger than the EUR. but first lets see this hard support 1.36 when it will be broken
  • #908,970
  • Jul 7, 2014 2:57pm Jul 7, 2014 2:57pm
high frequency tradding today....

oh holly shitt
Let us be green
  • #908,971
  • Jul 7, 2014 3:09pm Jul 7, 2014 3:09pm
Quoting Aws1962
hey guys looking at one week implied volatility, a move outside of 1.3550 and 1.3650 is now considered a >1SD move! thats crazy! Markets are so dead that a 100 pip range is considered a lot... sad times. Also, I'm no tech expert, but weekly chart looks hella bearish to me (also our tech desk at my shop seems pretty bearish and their track record is one of the better ones ) add that with rising US rates and lower EUR rates it does seem like quite a bad mix for EUR longs. But so long as there are strong inflows, and low volatility it can't drop!...
nice chart - thanks for sharing
  • #908,972
  • Jul 7, 2014 3:49pm Jul 7, 2014 3:49pm
Quoting WillyWonka
{quote} starting to feel a range day
not easy day to trade...
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #908,973
  • Jul 7, 2014 4:28pm Jul 7, 2014 4:28pm
Quoting milam
{quote} not easy day to trade...
Depends on how you look at it. Better to make (or lose) a few pips on a tight range day as opposed to being on the wrong side of a huge move on a more volatile day. Ranges are the easiest part of trading imo.
  • #908,974
  • Jul 7, 2014 5:31pm Jul 7, 2014 5:31pm
Quoting randomchance
Ugh - why am I failing so hard at this? Those of you going long, I don't understand why, and I don't understand this bullish thing that is happening right now. Haven't all of the reports from the US been favorable to the USD strengthening? Haven't pretty much all of the reports from EUR countries been against the EUR strengthening? I've been looking at 1d/4H/1H and the longer charts seemed to indicate bearish behavior that didn't seem to be stopping.
try take a look this analysis from Kathy Lien
http://www.investing.com/analysis/us...-expect-218624
  • #908,975
  • Jul 7, 2014 5:53pm Jul 7, 2014 5:53pm
Quoting randomchance
Ugh - why am I failing so hard at this? Those of you going long, I don't understand why, and I don't understand this bullish thing that is happening right now. Haven't all of the reports from the US been favorable to the USD strengthening? Haven't pretty much all of the reports from EUR countries been against the EUR strengthening? I've been looking at 1d/4H/1H and the longer charts seemed to indicate bearish behavior that didn't seem to be stopping.
If it's easy everyone would be rich already.
Think in Forex you will never understand.

Last nite I went long from 1.3589 and it drop 15 pips to 1.3575 ...
In the morning I closed for +2 pips ....
Now I shorted it, It won't go down

When you enter a trade, Most of the time it will go against you!

If everything so obvious, everyone will be rich ....
When you enter a trade is important because of the timeframes
I always enter a trade too early and it's a bad thing!


Right it seem like UJ, EU, AU, GU, EA .. it's either at support or it resistance level..
Can't really determine ...best advice is to wait!
No trade is better than losing position trade
  • #908,976
  • Edited 6:15pm Jul 7, 2014 6:01pm | Edited 6:15pm
Quoting NWSTrading
{quote} Depends on how you look at it. Better to make (or lose) a few pips on a tight range day as opposed to being on the wrong side of a huge move on a more volatile day. Ranges are the easiest part of trading imo.
Good point......

You know I came to the conclusion that it all depends on people personality.......some people are good at range some at better at trends........the ability of the trader of identify what days lies ahead is very significant for that purpose, myself I am not in that category yet...so mostly after I enter a trade, I might take partial profit at what seems a level that defines a range moving my SL to BE and let the rest run....so if it continues I will ride the wave......

Is that the best option for me? Not all the time, because taken partial profit in a tight range just to see the rest stopped out at BE is not a good RR, if you know what I mean....Would be best to cover all and then revers........but as I said I find it very difficult to determine what is coming....

Thank you for your comment.........It is a very constructive one...
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #908,977
  • Jul 7, 2014 6:55pm Jul 7, 2014 6:55pm
EURUSD folks,
I have been looking at videos from this guy on Youtube and he says that forexfactory gives an opinion as to where the market is going every morning for any given pair. I don't see this anywhere on the site. Can someone tell me if this is true and where would I find this information?
For example; I only trade EURUSD and I want to see where forexfactory believes the trade is going. Is this possible?
thanks,
Ryder
Back from the dead * ding fries are done *
  • #908,978
  • Jul 7, 2014 7:23pm Jul 7, 2014 7:23pm
Quoting aarontdang
{quote} If it's easy everyone would be rich already. Think in Forex you will never understand. Last nite I went long from 1.3589 and it drop 15 pips to 1.3575 ... In the morning I closed for +2 pips .... Now I shorted it, It won't go down When you enter a trade, Most of the time it will go against you! If everything so obvious, everyone will be rich .... When you enter a trade is important because of the timeframes I always enter a trade too early and it's a bad thing! Right it seem like UJ, EU, AU, GU, EA .. it's either at support or it resistance...
Right. That was what I am when I just started trading not long ago.

Everything tends to go against me. After a while, I tend to sit back and check back either every 15m or 1h. When the signal seem to be clearer, I entered it.

The most important is patience and see the behavior. Made a risk by going long since yesterday (morning now). It is still on bullish. =)
  • #908,979
  • Jul 7, 2014 8:49pm Jul 7, 2014 8:49pm
Quoting milam
{quote} you are such a bear......good for ya....I also shorted this at 3678 after I cover all my longs at 3689 , I am looking for 35, adding every 50 pips ( no TA is considering for adding, only space in term of pips) yes have a nice weekend......myself I am looking to trade today (scalping) now the all those news are out ...
Gained 100 pips SL moved to BE
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #908,980
  • Jul 7, 2014 9:57pm Jul 7, 2014 9:57pm
Quoting milam
{quote} Gained 100 pips SL moved to BE
you have 100 pips in profit and you set SL to BE? I would at least lock half of the profit and let the rest run. I just do not let all profit go to BE.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
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