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  • #903,361
  • Jun 7, 2014 10:52pm Jun 7, 2014 10:52pm
Quoting emmalee25
EUR/USD will go from here to test the year highs at 1.40. I will explain why later in a post.
So you just post to say you will post a proper one later ??
People wont learn to post analysis in forums not "I think its down/up!"
  • #903,362
  • Jun 8, 2014 4:07am Jun 8, 2014 4:07am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} As long as the USD is reserve currency, I do not see much of trouble when looking at the balance sheet. When looking at the balance sheet, or generally towards inflation, do not forget to look at velocity of money. What do you see here?
If u break down the Federal reserve balance sheet, you will see the ticking bomb awaits the U.S. Dollar ... ( They are holding, deposits of around 2.6$ Trillion Dollars in excess liquidity, while paying interest rates on them) So, the excess liquidity in the US monetary system is +160% approximately for the total U.S. Dollars in circulation allover the world.

In 2008, you started with 800 Billions in circulation and approx 200 Billions in excess liquitdiaty ... = 1$ Trillion
As of today, their is 1.2$ Trillions in Circulation and approx 2.6$ Trillion in excess = 4$ Trillions

* So, over the course of 6 Years - USA increased it's own supply of Dollars by 300% ... and this money can't be taken out?! It has to go somewhere!
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"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #903,363
  • Jun 8, 2014 4:29am Jun 8, 2014 4:29am
Quoting wisemadguy
{quote} So you just post to say you will post a proper one later ??
LOL... oddly humorous no? Priming the pump perhaps?
Ghost Rider - WWTBMD?
  • #903,364
  • Jun 8, 2014 4:46am Jun 8, 2014 4:46am
Quoting Vachus
{quote} and this money can't be taken out?! It has to go somewhere! {image}
So are you gonna take it out or what?
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  • #903,365
  • Jun 8, 2014 4:59am Jun 8, 2014 4:59am
Quoting KillerWhale
{quote} So are you gonna take it out or what?
Shit I can't find my glasses
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #903,366
  • Jun 8, 2014 5:05am Jun 8, 2014 5:05am
Quoting KillerWhale
{quote} Shit I can't find my glasses
But I need my glasses in order to find my glasses!
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  • #903,367
  • Jun 8, 2014 5:06am Jun 8, 2014 5:06am
Quoting KillerWhale
{quote} But I need my glasses in order to find my glasses!
Is that weird or not?
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  • #903,368
  • Jun 8, 2014 5:09am Jun 8, 2014 5:09am
Quoting Vachus
{quote} If u break down the Federal reserve balance sheet, you will see the ticking bomb awaits the U.S. Dollar ... ( They are holding, deposits of around 2.6$ Trillion Dollars in excess liquidity, while paying interest rates on them) So, the excess liquidity in the US monetary system is +160% approximately for the total U.S. Dollars in circulation allover the world. In 2008, you started with 800 Billions in circulation and approx 200 Billions in excess liquitdiaty ... = 1$ Trillion As of today, their is 1.2$ Trillions in Circulation and approx...
That is true but like Infinitus said, it does not matter, as long as USD is reserve currency this ticking bomb will be expanding and will not see light of day in floating money supply. But there is one thing after all, trailer for this move is very shitty one becouse it spoils (reveals) the ending, which is massive inflation.
  • #903,369
  • Jun 8, 2014 5:19am Jun 8, 2014 5:19am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} That is true but like Infinitus said, it does not matter, as long as USD is reserve currency this ticking bomb will be expanding and will not see light of day in floating money supply. But there is one thing after all, trailer for this move is very shitty one becouse it spoils (reveals) the ending, which is massive inflation.
Just wondering why would you care about that macro economic stuff?
It's nice talking and it may look nice that you care about the economy but all you want is just a couple of hundred dollars per day for yourself right?
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  • #903,370
  • Jun 8, 2014 5:22am Jun 8, 2014 5:22am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} That is true but like Infinitus said, it does not matter, as long as USD is reserve currency this ticking bomb will be expanding and will not see light of day in floating money supply. But there is one thing after all, trailer for this move is very shitty one becouse it spoils (reveals) the ending, which is massive inflation.
The USD is not the only Reserve Currency in the world, the Euro is also a reserve currency - so is the Swiss Franc, Sterling and even the Russian Ruble and of course Gold... on the " Excess liquidity will never see the light" That would be the Euro dream came true.

- If the money stayed on the Feds Balance sheet, they can't raise interest rates. Because if they do, they will inflate the supply of Dollars and strangle the Economy.
- If it doesn't, they can raise the interest rates but the Dollar will get hammered.
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #903,371
  • Jun 8, 2014 5:30am Jun 8, 2014 5:30am
Quoting Vachus
{quote} The USD is not the only Reserve Currency in the world, the Euro is also a reserve currency - so is the Swiss Franc, Sterling and even the Russian Ruble and of course Gold... on the " Excess liquidity will never see the light" That would be the Euro dream came true. - If the money stayed on the Feds Balance sheet, they can't raise interest rates. Because if they do, they will inflate the supply of Dollars and strangle the Economy. - If it doesn't, they can raise the interest rates but the Dollar will get hammered.
Same answer for you!

Just wondering why would you care about that macro economic stuff?
It's nice talking and it may look nice that you care about the economy but all you want is just a couple of hundred dollars per day for yourself right?

Oh by the way you still have the same thoughts about Turkish Lira?

Here are the Turkish results for this last week:
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  • #903,372
  • Jun 8, 2014 5:33am Jun 8, 2014 5:33am
Quoting albchr
{quote} LOL... oddly humorous no? Priming the pump perhaps?
People wont learn to post analysis in forums not "I think its down/up!"
  • #903,373
  • Jun 8, 2014 5:38am Jun 8, 2014 5:38am
Quoting KillerWhale
{quote} Oh by the way you still have the same thoughts about Turkish Lira?
Yes, i still have the same thoughts and it's a disastrous trade ... It's going your way for now, and might be for a couple of months - so take as much as you can! ( Till the Bank of Turkey cut interest rates, then we could discussed it in further details )
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #903,374
  • Jun 8, 2014 5:40am Jun 8, 2014 5:40am
Quoting Vachus
{quote} The USD is not the only Reserve Currency in the world, the Euro is also a reserve currency - so is the Swiss Franc, Sterling and even the Russian Ruble and of course Gold... on the " Excess liquidity will never see the light" That would be the Euro dream came true. - If the money stayed on the Feds Balance sheet, they can't raise interest rates. Because if they do, they will inflate the supply of Dollars and strangle the Economy. - If it doesn't, they can raise the interest rates but the Dollar will get hammered.
Shoot, I just read about your history and maybe I understand more now about your feelings for Turkish Lira.
Greece and Turkey have never been friends right?
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  • #903,375
  • Jun 8, 2014 5:42am Jun 8, 2014 5:42am
Quoting KillerWhale
{quote} Shoot, I just read about your history and maybe I understand more now about your feelings for Turkish Lira. Greece and Turkey have never been friends right?
This has nothing to do with my feelings for Greece or Turkey, ...
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #903,376
  • Jun 8, 2014 5:45am Jun 8, 2014 5:45am
Quoting Vachus
{quote} This has nothing to do with my feelings for Greece or Turkey, ...
For your info, I subscribed to your postings here, it may help you get a red diamond.
I really do value your postings.
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  • #903,377
  • Jun 8, 2014 5:47am Jun 8, 2014 5:47am
Quoting milam
Larry it is all your fault... Still love ya
.

Maybe my little experiment went off the rails, I apologize if people are angry about the improper use of this trading forum... If you want you can take this as one example of trying to explain everything with one concept. Or you could just join me in believing! ()



On the other hand, the upcoming world cup is of course very important and should, like all world events, be covered here. After all, every little banking holiday is published on the FF frontpage, so what do you think will happen in certain countries after important games? There are studies in Germany atm about a feared productivity-loss during the next 5 weeks because the games will be shown late in local time, people being tired, taking sick days, etc...

Dear Milam, from a fundi point of view recent developments lead me to think Germany has only a 15% chance to win this thing (and a 20% chance of getting kicked out in the first round). And although defence wins championships, and this clearly favours your team, the highest chance is Brazil winning this at home. Let's see, and all in good fun.

@Ken: not quite sure, but it's not me you reffering to?
Fail better.
  • #903,378
  • Jun 8, 2014 5:52am Jun 8, 2014 5:52am
Quoting KillerWhale
{quote} I really do value your postings.
Your compliment is greatly accepted..
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #903,379
  • Jun 8, 2014 5:56am Jun 8, 2014 5:56am
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} . Maybe my little experiment went off the rails, I apologize if people are angry about the improper use of this trading forum... If you want you can take this as one example of trying to explain everything with one concept. Or you could just join me in believing! () On the other hand, the upcoming world cup is of course very important and should, like all world events, be covered here. After all, every little banking holiday is published on the FF frontpage, so what do you think will happen in certain countries after important games?...
I remember getting drunk in 1972 while I was camping in Allassio, Italy when the worldcup was between Germany and Dutchmenland. Germany won with 2 - 0 and we {Dutchmenlanders} had to pay for the rum!!!!!!!
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #903,380
  • Jun 8, 2014 6:00am Jun 8, 2014 6:00am
Quoting KillerWhale
{quote} Is that weird or not?
Not wierd at all, half of your posts are like this... Why you wonder so?
fokyou forexfactory
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