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  • #902,401
  • Jun 4, 2014 8:23am Jun 4, 2014 8:23am
Quoting MarianneOslo
The negative ADP Non-Farm Employment Change today will also have an impact on the euro. There are signs of a beginning new recession in the US ...
Agree completely. The data is looking shaky here and there, but even more problematic is the whole business climate ever since the 'Recovery' began. American businesses now take very few risks and nobody wants to invest in the future first. They would do so if many others started, but nobody wants to go first and end up getting whacked if the economy tanks again. So there is this continuous expectation of an imminent fall which likely will end up CAUSING the recession to come. The unemployment situation is also considerably worse than the official data indicates.
  • #902,402
  • Jun 4, 2014 8:33am Jun 4, 2014 8:33am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} I think 'wonderful for Europe' is kind of over selling it really
So is wonderful USA recovery ...
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #902,403
  • Jun 4, 2014 8:36am Jun 4, 2014 8:36am
Quoting Vachus
{quote} So is wonderful USA recovery ...
for sure
  • #902,404
  • Jun 4, 2014 8:40am Jun 4, 2014 8:40am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} for sure
Only the UK growth looks boughtable
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #902,405
  • Jun 4, 2014 8:43am Jun 4, 2014 8:43am
The US trade balance collapsed in April dashing hopes for the exuberant hockey-stock rebound in Q2 GDP. This is the biggest trade deficit since April 2012 and the biggest miss from expectations since October 2008.



http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/a...und-the-corner
  • #902,406
  • Jun 4, 2014 8:47am Jun 4, 2014 8:47am
Quoting emmalee25
{quote} If US deficit was shrinking it would mean that demand for imported goods was less. US being a consumption economy it is a vital part for global trade to continue, as other countries as structured in function of the US.
possibly. but its just above 50% (46.105) of the high and the low since high. it may move next, the high low difference, below the low. that would make the # negative. or a u.s. positive 17.63 .. give it a few years
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: trade deficit.PNG Size: 88 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #902,407
  • Jun 4, 2014 8:51am Jun 4, 2014 8:51am
dream

Quoting gatorinla
{quote} possibly. but its just above 50% (46.105) of the high and the low since high. it may move next, the high low difference, below the low. that would make the # negative. give it a few years {image}
My Best Trade is Next Trade!
  • #902,408
  • Jun 4, 2014 8:56am Jun 4, 2014 8:56am
Quoting Vachus
{quote} Only the UK growth looks boughtable

The only reason for this is the quantitative easing of the GBP.
  • #902,409
  • Jun 4, 2014 8:58am Jun 4, 2014 8:58am
Quoting MarianneOslo
The US trade balance collapsed in April dashing hopes for the exuberant hockey-stock rebound in Q2 GDP. This is the biggest trade deficit since April 2012 and the biggest miss from expectations since October 2008. http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/a...und-the-corner
its as normal as urine flow. a fast pace to start, then a slowing. a fart or 2. then the flow starts again,
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #902,410
  • Jun 4, 2014 8:59am Jun 4, 2014 8:59am
Quoting MAM.Trader
dream {quote}
just looking at the unbiased chart
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #902,411
  • Jun 4, 2014 9:01am Jun 4, 2014 9:01am
Do you think so? I have seen so much strange around that I am very sceptic but we can hope.
  • #902,412
  • Jun 4, 2014 9:12am Jun 4, 2014 9:12am
chart base I agree
fundamentally I don't see will happen

Quoting gatorinla
{quote} just looking at the unbiased chart
My Best Trade is Next Trade!
  • #902,413
  • Jun 4, 2014 9:14am Jun 4, 2014 9:14am
Look at that USD go.


Doesn't it make you feel patriotic. lol
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #902,414
  • Jun 4, 2014 9:16am Jun 4, 2014 9:16am
Quoting Citiboy
Look at that USD go. Doesn't it make you feel patriotic. lol
yes, another short party
  • #902,415
  • Jun 4, 2014 9:18am Jun 4, 2014 9:18am
Ive got dollar longs versus pretty much every currency, sad that eurusd cant rally for more adds to the position. Will look to sell at 1.3578 with a 5pip stop or something. See if I can get involved with a cheesy stop run.
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #902,416
  • Jun 4, 2014 9:19am Jun 4, 2014 9:19am
Quoting MarianneOslo
The negative ADP Non-Farm Employment Change today will also have an impact on the euro. There are signs of a beginning new recession in the US and this will have a huge impact on Europes economy. If US goes to a new recession Europe will be even bigger trouble. It started in the US and dragged Europe recession/depression at least in the south of Europe. I think the euro will test the low 1,3585 before the ECB meeting. One is quite toff to spekulate that Dragi will do nothing. The uncertantity will make hours of voiality i think. The question is...


The truth is that ont a single new have been created since the beginning of 2011 so it goes very slowly
  • #902,417
  • Jun 4, 2014 9:31am Jun 4, 2014 9:31am
Quoting MarianneOslo
Do you think so? I have seen so much strange around that I am very sceptic but we cn hope.
anything bought as a finished product has passed through multiple owners.. oil in the dakotas is sold by a landowner, to a .. then a sells to b, b refines oil and sell to c. c makes a coffee cup and sells to d, d sells cup to e mickey d's. mickey d's sells to f you.. 6 owners on a simple cup making/losing money each step. adding to the economy
reverse the process for someone using brent oil in europe making/selling the same cup at the same m d's in downtown in atlanta.
then figure what cup is made/delivered cheaper at the M'ds in Munich.
lets just say they are a wash. to eliminate a ruler measure.
I will give ez the advantage when they find some oil and find a way not to pay 6%+ more for oil, and even more for the energy to refine the oil.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #902,418
  • Jun 4, 2014 9:35am Jun 4, 2014 9:35am
Quoting MAM.Trader
chart base I agree fundamentally I don't see will happen {quote}
thats what i like. a fundis guy ignoring fundis
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #902,419
  • Jun 4, 2014 9:49am Jun 4, 2014 9:49am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} just shorted @ 3629
added again 3617
still have adds in place below 3600
  • #902,420
  • Jun 4, 2014 9:56am Jun 4, 2014 9:56am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} added again 3617 still have adds in place below 3600
You should have a lot of shorts right now or do you take profit now and then?
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