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  • #900,281
  • May 23, 2014 1:33am May 23, 2014 1:33am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} ..... have you given any thought to what draghi might see as a necessary value? I mean given that EU was hanging just under 1.4 at the time of his announcement of ready to act next time can we make any assumptions about what would make a material difference to warrant action? would a 5% drop be enough or 10% etc? 10% puts us back around 1.26 and I am thinking 1.26 to 1.30 would make a material difference, whereas 1.36 for instance not so much
I'll stick my neck out:

From here forth, eurusd will range between 1.2 and 1.4, with a mid of 1.3.

1.2 is best for Europe, 1.4 is best for USA - both markets are similar size for the Chinese and they will (and already have) determine the value of eurusd according to their requirements, depending on whether they are selling consumer goods or buying the equipment and services they need to produce these goods.
  • #900,282
  • May 23, 2014 1:35am May 23, 2014 1:35am
Quoting ikdenk
{quote} Just curious, does the holigrail system use stoplosses?
Very good question, no stop losses might be good for awhile if you have really deep drawdown ability, and then WHAM margin call, WHEN you get it really wrong.
  • #900,283
  • May 23, 2014 1:38am May 23, 2014 1:38am
Quoting Vachus
{quote} I'll have my take on that, by today's close ...in the mean while, Tick, Tock, Tick, Tock (The brave bear is running out of time) GL to u 2
If You mean cyclewise , we are already past the cycle time for this wave last week .Now we might have extension , 1.236 ; 1.382 and so on .My bet is on 1.236 .This is my analisys , might be wrong of course
  • #900,284
  • May 23, 2014 1:39am May 23, 2014 1:39am
Quoting yanitsa
{quote} Did that , read about 95 % literacy .Beautiful landscapes too ......
http://thepdi.com/hunza_health_secrets.htm
  • #900,285
  • May 23, 2014 1:43am May 23, 2014 1:43am
Quoting ikdenk
{quote} I'll stick my neck out: From here forth, eurusd will range between 1.2 and 1.4, with a mid of 1.3. 1.2 is best for Europe, 1.4 is best for USA - both markets are similar size for the Chinese and they will (and already have) determine the value of eurusd according to their requirements, depending on whether they are selling consumer goods or buying the equipment and services they need to produce these goods.
thanks for the reply

one might say you are covering all bases rather than sticking a neck out

I think the range you quote is too large, in fact we have been inside that range already since 2008
  • #900,286
  • May 23, 2014 1:55am May 23, 2014 1:55am
Morning everyone... Morning Max...
Bank holiday in UK and US on monday, so some profit taking will likely happen today I believe... Longs can not take any profit so shorts will do that instead When...? Probably after clearing weak longs...
  • #900,287
  • May 23, 2014 2:00am May 23, 2014 2:00am
we will see where will EUR go after German IFO, but i think we will see short. not sure, but EUwanna push it down. so 1 hour left.
  • #900,288
  • May 23, 2014 2:01am May 23, 2014 2:01am
Morning GB. I concur with your outlook. I also want to let off into that rally just to sell again muahahaha
Taking responsibility means believing that your outcomes are self-generated
  • #900,289
  • May 23, 2014 2:02am May 23, 2014 2:02am
Quoting math_GB
Morning everyone... Morning Max... Bank holiday in UK and US on monday, so some profit taking will likely happen today I believe... Longs can not take any profit so shorts will do that instead When...? Probably after clearing weak longs...
Morning chap. Good thoughts but you wont catch me with a long
  • #900,290
  • May 23, 2014 2:03am May 23, 2014 2:03am
Quoting yanitsa
{quote} If You mean cyclewise , we are already past the cycle time for this wave last week .Now we might have extension , 1.236 ; 1.382 and so on .My bet is on 1.236 .This is my analisys , might be wrong of course
I really do not understand what you are talking about ...
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #900,291
  • May 23, 2014 2:06am May 23, 2014 2:06am
Quoting RomanBubenik
we will see where will EUR go after German IFO, but i think we will see short. not sure, but EUwanna push it down. so 1 hour left.
With the next ECB meeting approaching, shorting this pair looks like a safe option. However, today is Friday so anything may happen.
  • #900,292
  • May 23, 2014 2:08am May 23, 2014 2:08am
Quoting math_GB
Morning everyone... Morning Max... Bank holiday in UK and US on monday, so some profit taking will likely happen today I believe... Longs can not take any profit so shorts will do that instead When...? Probably after clearing weak longs...
Shit holiday's, I hate them!
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #900,293
  • May 23, 2014 2:12am May 23, 2014 2:12am
Quoting KillerWhale
{quote} Shit holiday's, I hate them!
But a couple of hours ago I made killer trades by taking profit on shorts EUR/TRY and USD/TRY, so my day is made, so is my week and month.
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #900,294
  • May 23, 2014 2:12am May 23, 2014 2:12am
Quoting ikdenk
{quote} Just curious, does the holigrail system use stoplosses?
Interesting question, but since a holygrail would adequately react to the market, it doesn't need stop-losses. They are only useful for systems with parameters that do not align in certain market conditions, and hence induce (big) drawdowns. I.e. the system is long, the rate turns down. Why would the system stay long, if not based on strategy? If it stays long, it needs to because of this and thus doesn't need a stop-loss, and the other way, why wouldn't it go short then? So even a decent system doesn't need stop-losses. For the holygrail I wouldn't worry at all
  • #900,295
  • May 23, 2014 2:14am May 23, 2014 2:14am
Quoting KillerWhale
{quote} Shit holiday's, I hate them!
What you gonna do KW...? You should be happy that you are no longer living in Dutchland - holiday nation
  • #900,296
  • May 23, 2014 2:14am May 23, 2014 2:14am
Quoting KillerWhale
{quote} But a couple of hours ago I made killer trades by taking profit on shorts EUR/TRY and USD/TRY, so my day is made, so is my week and month.
Well done dude...! You played it very nicely there. Congrats...!
  • #900,297
  • May 23, 2014 2:16am May 23, 2014 2:16am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} Morning chap. Good thoughts but you wont catch me with a long
I know, even if you close half of your shorts we will be above 1.3800s...
  • #900,298
  • May 23, 2014 2:25am May 23, 2014 2:25am
good day to you all...
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #900,299
  • May 23, 2014 2:27am May 23, 2014 2:27am
Good Morning All,

My long survived another night. I closed my long with +1.

IMO, EU will range today for 2 reasons:

  1. EU Election continue until Sunday
  2. Mr. Putin address in SPIEF2014 today

  • #900,300
  • May 23, 2014 2:29am May 23, 2014 2:29am
Quoting math_GB
{quote} What you gonna do KW...? You should be happy that you are no longer living in Dutchland - holiday nation
Germanyland is the real holiday nation my friend, but I agree, Dutchland is a good second.
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
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