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  • #895,761
  • May 7, 2014 3:29pm May 7, 2014 3:29pm
interesting double bottom/top set ups on eurusd,usdchf,usdjpy and usdcad....
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  • #895,762
  • May 7, 2014 3:30pm May 7, 2014 3:30pm
Quoting Vachus
{quote} 24 hours left, while 1.38735 still standing . The Asian session should be the bull run. If i wake up and it wasn't - i will be really surprised!
I agree. There are no bears. Maybe under 3880 they might start showing up, but even then they'll be very weak.
  • #895,763
  • May 7, 2014 3:41pm May 7, 2014 3:41pm
Quoting attila
{quote} I agree. There are no bears. Maybe under 3880 they might start showing up, but even then they'll be very weak.
In my books, staying above $1.39 for two nights are enough to remine confident in the ' Bull Run' scenario... Of course, conditioned by Draghi doesn't surprise the markets tomorrow!
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #895,764
  • May 7, 2014 4:18pm May 7, 2014 4:18pm
Does anyone here has hopes of a rate cut or some credit easing like 10% chance? 5%? what chance do would you give to some action tomorrow?
  • #895,765
  • May 7, 2014 4:20pm May 7, 2014 4:20pm
because I went short yesterday and put it at breakeven and I found it survived today, so I'm like.. don't know if I just should close it
  • #895,766
  • May 7, 2014 4:20pm May 7, 2014 4:20pm
Quoting JohnIsShort
Does anyone here has hopes of a rate cut or some credit easing like 10% chance? 5%? what chance do would you give to some action tomorrow?
Ask Gator, he has some insights on where Mario Draghi buys and sells options ...
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #895,767
  • May 7, 2014 4:30pm May 7, 2014 4:30pm
Euro and Sterling seem to be near sentiment extremes in terms of postive news... especially GBP.

A surprise rate cut would take this down hard.
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #895,768
  • May 7, 2014 4:31pm May 7, 2014 4:31pm
My forecast 13770-13800 week closing. 1st Draghi commentary , 2nd expiry of big options.
  • #895,769
  • May 7, 2014 5:08pm May 7, 2014 5:08pm
Quoting yrot
My forecast 13770-13800 week closing. 1st Draghi commentary , 2nd expiry of big options.
not saying we have a st top atm.. it is at/near 3957/3966 R ... anyway going back to 3811 is what happens most times. in the "most times" bracket. 3102/03 is still open before 4146 in another bracket.. if dragis is e bearish, 3102 is not a stretch when all these portfolios equalize the flight.
if one goes back with 2008/09 info. 3957 area may just be the third smaller hump before continuation. the usdx is near/at support. we have no way to know if it will hold. if it does the eu should go down... neither direction is a done deal. the bears have the best r/r that they have had in years in this area..and they may get some fundi help if dragi poor mouths, along with options.. it could be a possible perfect storm.. the bond guys may join in when they fill their baskets
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #895,770
  • May 7, 2014 5:10pm May 7, 2014 5:10pm
12h ago ...

Quoting rbetancor
Wake up and see the moves ... do the morning maths ... and the results:

PO BUY EURUSD @ 1.39046 TG1 1.39723 TG2 1.4004 TG3 1.4043
PO BUY EURUSD @ 1.38865 TG1 1.39723 TG2 1.4004 TG3 1.4043
PO BUY EURUSD @ 1.39526 TG1 1.39723 TG2 1.4004
FILLED PO BUY NZDUSD @ 0.86486 TG1 0.87847 TG2 0.88851 TG3 0.90476
PO BUY NZDUSD @ 0.86161 TG1 0.87847 TG2 0.88851 TG3 0.90476
PO BUY GBPJPY @ 171.09 TG1 173.718 TG2 175.140
PO BUY AUDJPY @ 94.495 TG1 97.478 TG2 98.992

Some of them are H4 based calcs and targets ... other H1 If they are...
  • #895,771
  • May 7, 2014 5:18pm May 7, 2014 5:18pm
Quoting rbetancor
PO BUY GBPJPY @ 171.09 TG1 173.718 TG2 175.140
Umm ... thinking about canceling that one and wait current cycle to end and pullback to around 170.61 ... or adding another one @ that level ... will decide during Asia session
  • #895,772
  • May 7, 2014 5:26pm May 7, 2014 5:26pm
Glad I've been short today and still remain so.
  • #895,773
  • May 7, 2014 6:27pm May 7, 2014 6:27pm
823 pips to go to target.
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  • #895,774
  • May 7, 2014 6:27pm May 7, 2014 6:27pm
Quoting gatorinla
yellens over dragis gonna speak again. if one thinks he will be eu bullish up here near the highs. its possible, but unlikely... we had the pump, i dont know if its over... i doubt what dragis says will be eu bullish unless he says he is not ready to cut yet. just speculation...
honest question, since when you give a feck about what they say? so you're fundie or not, a bit confused demo account blower here, thanks
swing it!
  • #895,775
  • May 7, 2014 6:40pm May 7, 2014 6:40pm
Quoting tomspin
{quote} honest question, since when you give a feck about what they say? so you're fundie or not, a bit confused demo account blower here, thanks
He gave 6 or 7 levels in the previous post, and I'm still not clear if he thinks it goes up or down.. anyway, nothing new here.
  • #895,776
  • May 7, 2014 6:40pm May 7, 2014 6:40pm
3870 area looks like support for now.
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #895,777
  • May 7, 2014 6:45pm May 7, 2014 6:45pm
The Euro looks a little topish, and this view might have some credibility considering the ECB may intervene if it the euro reaches 1.40.
  • #895,778
  • May 7, 2014 6:58pm May 7, 2014 6:58pm
Quoting tomspin
{quote} honest question, since when you give a feck about what they say? so you're fundie or not, a bit confused demo account blower here, thanks
when it comes to rates. i listen. especially near where we are atm. this is the first time in years, when its a possibility. at the same time the fed is nearer its best chance for raising. evidently the bond market is moving for a reason. right or wrong these guys are most times right in masses. they are doing what the fed said it would do. with them, the need for the fed to buy is null. the eu made a hh. atm there is nothing but speculation here. but we are in a place where it could give max affect with a small nudge. i dont claim to know what or will not happen. if dragis wants to make a splash. he is at a good place to do it. we atm its above 3885, the level closed, the friday before the last dragi eu too high speech. so i do give him the respect of repeating it here. even w/o, a retrace to 3811/47 is no big surprise and mostly expected at some point
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #895,779
  • May 7, 2014 7:16pm May 7, 2014 7:16pm
Imo the coolest trade now would be sell limit @3985, with a 50ish stop. We can't start a new leg down, without triggering the stops above the march high first. I can tell this from the lines on my computer screen. I would never put this trade on btw.
  • #895,780
  • May 7, 2014 7:20pm May 7, 2014 7:20pm
Quoting KillerWhale
823 pips to go to target. {image}
2.000 even is your target? I had 2.05 as the dream buy level on daily charts. Is there anything in particular you like about 2.000?
Twitter: @TrendersGame
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