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  • #894,581
  • May 2, 2014 10:14am May 2, 2014 10:14am
Me lucky on gold today.. After news expected it to drop.. that's why I LONGed it..
  • #894,582
  • May 2, 2014 10:15am May 2, 2014 10:15am
Gold was the place to be
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #894,583
  • May 2, 2014 10:15am May 2, 2014 10:15am
Quoting TauTrader
{quote} Whilst you and hoom contemplate.. Profits.. Regards
I am not a scalper . enjoy your profits
Get Rich or Die Tryin
  • #894,584
  • May 2, 2014 10:15am May 2, 2014 10:15am
Dollar bulls can just take todays step as being closer to the overall fundmental picture you need for a long term dollar rally.


the short term flows are not in our favor, but those flows are not permanent. This could play into our hands on the Euro side next week though, Draghi must be pissed.
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #894,585
  • May 2, 2014 10:15am May 2, 2014 10:15am
Quoting gatorinla
anyone looking at bond rates?
bonds are bought (rates going down). Looks like money moved to bonds. it is going to be tough time ahead for equities.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #894,586
  • May 2, 2014 10:16am May 2, 2014 10:16am
.
Get Rich or Die Tryin
  • #894,587
  • May 2, 2014 10:16am May 2, 2014 10:16am
Quoting P.Action
if we look dollar index there can be retrecament to 79.72 if it bounce or not? {image}

dollar index seems go lower. not short eu from this level. there is 2 fibo levels come from longer term swings(79.25-78.87) and last swing's target 79.04

3943 or 1.4000 is good place to short i think. we will see

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #894,588
  • May 2, 2014 10:16am May 2, 2014 10:16am
Quoting hoom
sell toilet paper , buy Gold.
why no one is listening to me ..
Get Rich or Die Tryin
  • #894,589
  • May 2, 2014 10:16am May 2, 2014 10:16am
lol 98%post anything and no one try to learn
i come this thread for only G and Tau
Too bad
anyway gotta go
cya
  • #894,590
  • May 2, 2014 10:17am May 2, 2014 10:17am
Here something interesting though... 10 year bond futures are almost at their highest single day volume since the june 2013 panic days
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #894,591
  • May 2, 2014 10:19am May 2, 2014 10:19am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Remember yesterday green boxes ?
  • #894,592
  • May 2, 2014 10:20am May 2, 2014 10:20am
Quoting mahras
Rumors of UN security council meeting on Ukraine. Another day, another garbage Ukrainian nonsense.

There's always something going on in the world that people will rumour, speculate and discuss to death. If not Ukraine then it's Greece/Italy or it's etc.etc. Try to just track the market movements, where the order flows are, in what direction .. ignore the funnymentals for the most part, you only ever get to know about part of the story you cannot make informed choices based on it.

Just look at all the people babbling "The euro is over-valued!" for however many months now.

The chart shows you what people think, the psychology of the herd, how smarter money has screwed people, and the places where order flows in from bigger players and what direction it took the market. That is all you ever need to make money trading.

There are up moves and down moves you can capitalise on but trying to figure it out "The euro is too high damnit draghi do something?!" will just drive you bonkers.
  • #894,593
  • May 2, 2014 10:21am May 2, 2014 10:21am
Quoting AlanB
{quote} There's always something going on in the world that people will rumour, speculate and discuss to death. If not Ukraine then it's Greece/Italy or it's etc.etc. Try to just track the market movements, where the order flows are, in what direction .. ignore the funnymentals for the most part, you only ever get to know about part of the story you cannot make informed choices based on it. Just look at all the people babbling "The euro is over-valued!" for however many months now. The chart shows you what people think, the psychology of...

true. but you wont make millions scalping.
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #894,594
  • May 2, 2014 10:21am May 2, 2014 10:21am
that's it?!
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #894,595
  • May 2, 2014 10:23am May 2, 2014 10:23am
Quoting Vachus
that's it?!

he waited until after the turn around to post................. haha.

just kidding lol, nice call on the article you posted the other day. almost 300k nfp and no move.


(no move for today that is )
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #894,596
  • May 2, 2014 10:24am May 2, 2014 10:24am
Quoting Citiboy
Here something interesting though... 10 year bond futures are almost at their highest single day volume since the june 2013 panic days
it is also possible they move money out of equities into bonds, preparing for the drop of equity market. European funds will also move money back to euro, but nobody is going to move money into pound and aussie and other currencies.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #894,597
  • May 2, 2014 10:26am May 2, 2014 10:26am
This the timeline of events I have:
Copper started the move => Gold followed => EURUSD (Dollar) followed almost the same time as gold => Bonds => rates

All the moves correlate with a growth accelarating view, with USD dollar being used as a funding currency.
  • #894,598
  • May 2, 2014 10:27am May 2, 2014 10:27am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} it is also possible they move money out of equities into bonds, preparing for the drop of equity market. European funds will also move money back to euro, but nobody is going to move money into pound and aussie and other currencies.
check around the time 2007-11, when the equity market began to tank, only euro went up for 4 more months, all others dropped.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #894,599
  • May 2, 2014 10:27am May 2, 2014 10:27am
Quoting Citiboy
{quote} he waited until after the turn around to post................. haha. just kidding lol, nice call on the article you posted the other day. almost 300k nfp and no move. (no move for today that is )
I was sleeping, thought the Dollar has the day - the number was a big surprise ( Even the more optimistic was Morgan Stanley 255k). But the plan was as it was, my second- pending long at 1.379 was waiting!

So, i share the disappointment
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #894,600
  • May 2, 2014 10:28am May 2, 2014 10:28am
Quoting Citiboy
{quote} ya i mean i hate to beat the dead horse but thats the only thing out there with enough money to do this? Its not even really this big reversal thats surprising, but the selling of USD pretty much capped the initial move in USD today to that first 30-40 pips. They must have just put in offers above the market in USD across all pairs then just sit on it during the post nfp period to absorb all the liquidity. anyway congrats to longs.
Do you now believe this is their handiwork ? i mean those bit hat manipulator that drives the market to favour themselves regardless of what news release is
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