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  • #891,281
  • Apr 20, 2014 1:26pm Apr 20, 2014 1:26pm
Quoting Vachus
{quote} My point exactly, January February March 2014 you were on the selling side, i do not even remember one day you calling Euro Long position this year. ( The only one i remember was the option volatility arbitrage, which was a great trade) Now, suddenly in April you dramatically flipped on the other side ... I mean no offense, but this shows your thoughts pattern are not developing on their own, but an adaption to someone's else ideas?! True?!
I admit, I was on the bearish side in early Jan... But as you point out, I traded volatility as opposed to the EURUSD. I haven't had a naked EURUSD position for months.

Yes, my thoughts have somewhat switched. But no overnight, it has been changing for a while. Plus I would like to state for the record, I am not bullish, nor am I long. I don't think the EURUSD rises over the medium term.

But I am still long EURUSD volatility.
  • #891,282
  • Apr 20, 2014 1:32pm Apr 20, 2014 1:32pm
Quoting JeremyWS
{quote} I don't think the EURUSD rises over the medium term. But I am still long EURUSD volatility.
I know which trades you reported, but just be honest when you answer: Where you got this idea, about positive Euro momentum out of QE and Negative interest rates ?! I remember each and every conversion we covered the issue, and i'm almost certain this is not your idea ...

* Following someone's idea, is by no mean something to be ashamed off - but presenting it as your own, is something else
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #891,283
  • Apr 20, 2014 1:37pm Apr 20, 2014 1:37pm
Quoting Vachus
{quote} I know which trades you reported, but just be honest when you answer: Where you got this idea, about positive Euro momentum out of QE and Negative interest rates ?! I remember each and every conversion we covered the issue, and i'm almost certain this is not your idea ... * Following someone's idea, is by no mean something to be ashamed off - but presenting it as your own, is something else
there are people on either side, there are bulls, there are bears. Look at polls for EURUSD, nearly everyone is bearish. Does that mean If I am short I am copying someones idea?

I don't think so, if so everyone short would be copying GS/JPM/MS or whatever.

the last rate cut saw a higher EURUSD, it would stand to reason that with no analysis the same reaction would occur again. not exactly copying someone, but suggesting a repeat of the past.

I agree, taking someone's ideas and presenting them as ones own is wrong. But this would be the case if I had copy/pasted from Goldmans recent FX monthly, which I clearly have not.

so, who do you think I have copied? or claiming their thoughts are mine?
  • #891,284
  • Apr 20, 2014 1:42pm Apr 20, 2014 1:42pm
- In which direction you BELIEVE it goes that way. Sooner or Later......!
My Best Trade is Next Trade!
  • #891,285
  • Apr 20, 2014 1:47pm Apr 20, 2014 1:47pm
fwiw, Dankse bank copanhagen office quoting EURUSD at 1.3809/11 so far, no gap this week. but there is no reason for one so...
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  • #891,286
  • Apr 20, 2014 1:51pm Apr 20, 2014 1:51pm
Quoting JeremyWS
{quote}.. so, who do you think I have copied? or claiming their thoughts are mine?
I'm not accusing you of anything, nor i'm a judge or a police officer or Lady Justice's truth detective ... i was simply asking?! The way you answered, i would say it sounds like you - which is a great development i'm happy to see. Still, the way you describe arriving to such a conclusion should have been since December 2013! ( The interest rate cut proved unworthy since then, but you were on the sell side! You see the distortion?! )

Anyway, my intention is not bothering you but the issue has been on my mind to open it - your Euro Long post kind of triggered it.
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #891,287
  • Apr 20, 2014 1:54pm Apr 20, 2014 1:54pm
Quoting Magix
{quote} Nice kid in that there is no actual proof that the squirrel carcasses that are buried under the Caraganas are actually his victims...but still the mind of a no mind. An 18 year old...Not that being 18 is bad...but being a child of privilege makes him believe in his own superiority to others based on merits not of his own. A clone Whore. A copy and paste performance record with little if any of his own insight is boring to say the least, but throwing this shit around with the authority is outright offensive. Now, the little fucker claims...
if you read it, then you would have seen that I have said no naked positions, and have been long EURUSD volatility.

not sure how that isn't a position, but ok.

also, whats with the insults, clearly just jealous it would seem
  • #891,288
  • Apr 20, 2014 1:55pm Apr 20, 2014 1:55pm
Quoting Vachus
{quote} I'm not accusing you of anything, nor i'm a judge or a police officer or Lady Justice's truth detective ... i was simply asking?! The way you answered, i would say it sounds like you - which is a great development i'm happy to see. Still, the way you describe arriving to such a conclusion should have been since December 2013! ( The interest rate cut proved unworthy since then, but you were on the sell side! You see the distortion?! ) Anyway, my intention is not bothering you but the issue has been on my mind to open it - your Euro...
its not the only factor in my analysis.

consider peripheral debt spreads YTD, inflation trends since then. ECB rhetoric.. etc etc etc

many things have changed since then.
  • #891,289
  • Apr 20, 2014 1:59pm Apr 20, 2014 1:59pm
Quoting Magix
{quote} Now, the little fucker claims to not have had a position in months... Really? I need fundamentals to trade like this? Seriously?
Magix, long/ short volatility is a position - he may not trade net positioning on a specific currency, but anticipating rising risk premiums could be profitable trade..
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #891,290
  • Apr 20, 2014 2:02pm Apr 20, 2014 2:02pm
Quoting Vachus
{quote} Magix, long/ short volatility is a position - he may not trade net positioning on a specific currency, but anticipating rising risk premiums could be profitable trade..
Which plateform allows you to trade that?
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #891,291
  • Apr 20, 2014 2:04pm Apr 20, 2014 2:04pm
Quoting JeremyWS
{quote} if you read it, then you would have seen that I have said no naked positions, and have been long EURUSD volatility. not sure how that isn't a position, but ok. also, whats with the insults, clearly just jealous it would seem

Is this your actual opinion, or is somebody feeding you this shit too?

Again, what do you have that I would be envious of?
Money Can't Buy Happiness. Poverty Can't Buy SHIT! You Choose!
  • #891,292
  • Apr 20, 2014 2:07pm Apr 20, 2014 2:07pm
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} Which plateform allows you to trade that?
most platforms offer FX options, and I structure via that. Personally, I use saxo to trade volatility. spreads are quite wide, and far worse than when I use to trade them on BARX
  • #891,293
  • Apr 20, 2014 2:07pm Apr 20, 2014 2:07pm
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} Which plateform allows you to trade that?
It's an option brokerage, mostly very expensive ones - like Credit Sussie Plus, but you can try a more affordable one like Saxo Bank ... ( They are interfere in your position, but they offer amazing Vanilla options )

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Options_arbitrage

Jermey may explain more, i actually got it from him
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #891,294
  • Apr 20, 2014 2:07pm Apr 20, 2014 2:07pm
Quoting Magix
{quote} Is this your actual opinion, or is somebody feeding you this shit too? Again, what do you have that I would be envious of?
He can date young girls more easily ? Otherwise i have no ideas
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #891,295
  • Apr 20, 2014 2:09pm Apr 20, 2014 2:09pm
Quoting JeremyWS
{quote} most platforms offer FX options, and I structure via that. Personally, I use saxo to trade volatility. spreads are quite wide, and far worse than when I use to trade them on BARX
Quoting Vachus
{quote} It's an option brokerage, mostly very expensive ones - like Credit Sussie Plus, but you can try a more affordable one like Saxo Bank ... ( They are interfere in your position, but they offer amazing Vanilla options ) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Options_arbitrage Jermey may explain more, i actually got it from him
Thanks, i'll have a look
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #891,296
  • Apr 20, 2014 2:10pm Apr 20, 2014 2:10pm
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} He can date young girls more easily ? Otherwise i have no ideas
Are you sure of this ?

Ok, I'm out I have enough of the 'big monkey" (his own words) demonstration.
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #891,297
  • Apr 20, 2014 2:12pm Apr 20, 2014 2:12pm
Quoting maximinus
{quote} Are you sure of this ? Ok, I'm out I have enough of the 'big monkey" (his own words) demonstration.
I'm not, money changes evertyhing
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #891,298
  • Apr 20, 2014 2:15pm Apr 20, 2014 2:15pm
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} I'm not, money changes evertyhing
A true parisian and connaisseur.
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #891,299
  • Apr 20, 2014 2:16pm Apr 20, 2014 2:16pm
Quoting maximinus
{quote} A true parisian and connaisseur.
Haha
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #891,300
  • Apr 20, 2014 2:17pm Apr 20, 2014 2:17pm
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} Haha
Have a nice week
Don't be smart. Be rich.
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