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  • #888,901
  • Apr 10, 2014 12:49am Apr 10, 2014 12:49am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} yeah. so it is better foreign markets crash first before the US market.
china must suck, i dont know how the aud is not at .8 or less. we are less then 50% recovered from high to low 2008 2010..http://ycharts.com/indicators/us_tra...927&chartView= the usd should be stronger
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1000at5%long.PNG Size: 72 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #888,902
  • Apr 10, 2014 12:58am Apr 10, 2014 12:58am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} china must suck, i dont know how the aud is not at .8 or less. we are less then 50% recovered from high to low 2008 2010..http://ycharts.com/indicators/us_tra...927&chartView= the usd should be stronger {image}
if the Fed do not artificially depreciate the u.s. dollar, the dollar should be at much higher value right now.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #888,903
  • Edited 1:20am Apr 10, 2014 1:07am | Edited 1:20am
Sell in May and go away (since 2010)

markets are like humans. Patterns, structure, discipline, repetition.

If aud, nzd, etc dont sell off from chinese trade data on Europe or us open, than selling in May maybe the answer.
  • #888,904
  • Apr 10, 2014 1:16am Apr 10, 2014 1:16am
Quoting PipsMaster23
EURUSD looks to me as its brewing for a further advance towards 1.3880 , Gonna be a very happy chap if/when that happens... Still holding my longs and will continue to hold if we keep getting above certain levels which are: 1.3830 / 1.3930 / 1.4050 and ultimate target 1.42 Am also still holding my longs on GBPUSD with targets 168.50 / 1.69 and expected touch of 170.00 Happy Trading!
Very happy with the price action and i think today for GBP we will see 169.00 and above... this could help the EURUSD approach 1.39 also, not guaranteed, as this pair looks like it needs to settle and re-tank before another leg up.

So now, i will look to build on my existing long positions, and buy any dips on both these pairs. My Targets are already mentioned in the my oven quoted post.

Will look to buy at 1.3830 and 1.6760 if we get there... otherwise i will add onto these positions with breaks above 1.3880 and 1.6818

Market moving news later today for GBP, the way i see it should be hawkish throughout, GBP doing very well indeed.

Happy Trading!
Cheers!!
  • #888,905
  • Apr 10, 2014 1:17am Apr 10, 2014 1:17am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} if the Fed do not artificially depreciate the u.s. dollar, the dollar should be at much higher value right now.
The federal reserve has always had a balance sheet, even before 2007-08 (guessing at least a few hundred billion on the balance sheet).

The feds don't really 'depreciate' the dollar, they 'credit' a banks account that has reserves with the federal reserve. This 'adds' to the requirements of the 'required reserves' of a bank. So pretty much, if a bank needs to hold 15% reserves, the fed funds may be 5% of that mark. In essence, the federal reserve is indirectly lowering the reserve requirement.

So the bank has extra money on hand, they lend this out (in theory) for low rates (high stockpile of cash = more supply = lower rates to charge). But one problem of 1980's-2007/08 is credit worthiness (growing externality) so 'public monies' becomes polarized ...

Notice how the 'audit the fed' rhetoric has gone away? expect it to come back soon.

My personal question/concern isn't if the fed reserve is manipulating markets, my question is much simpler .. what discount are banks getting with their transactions with the Federal Reserve? is the Federal Reserve giving them bonds at a 10%, 20%, or dare I say 30% discount to sell at market price with liabilities attached?
  • #888,906
  • Apr 10, 2014 1:19am Apr 10, 2014 1:19am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} if the Fed do not artificially depreciate the u.s. dollar, the dollar should be at much higher value right now.
i have a 9499 target on the aud.. it should weaken after, the problem is, how long after? there is a norm for 1.01xxx ... i just dont see it.. anyway whenever is drops a .82xx or .83xxxx target is valid.. i am too lazy to figure it out again atm
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #888,907
  • Apr 10, 2014 1:29am Apr 10, 2014 1:29am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i have a 9499 target on the aud.. it should weaken after, the problem is, how long after? there is a norm for 1.01xxx ... i just dont see it.. anyway whenever is drops a .82xx or .83xxxx target is valid.. i am too lazy to figure it out again atm
I have a channel (attached chart is weekly) that shows resistance below parity with weekly 100 & 200 MA's adding to R. Blue box is my short entry for longer term trade to test low .8050
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusd-w1-oanda-division1-2.png Size: 104 KB
  • #888,908
  • Apr 10, 2014 1:33am Apr 10, 2014 1:33am
Quoting slow-trader
{quote} I have a channel (attached chart is weekly) that shows resistance below parity with weekly 100 & 200 MA's adding to R. Blue box is my short entry for longer term trade to test low .8050 {image}
look for weakness at some point after 9499 min,,, sometimes a touch is enough
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #888,909
  • Apr 10, 2014 1:37am Apr 10, 2014 1:37am
Quoting Chicky
{quote} Less than 2 dollars from 1319, seems these Gold levels are working. {image}
They certainly do! 4h chart.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: chicky gold.jpg Size: 159 KB
  • #888,910
  • Apr 10, 2014 1:38am Apr 10, 2014 1:38am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} look for weakness at some point after 9499 min,,, sometimes a touch is enough
oh I know, I am looking .9540 & .9750 but I listed that area as with looking at the xpairs .. AUD has plenty of room to run .. and even though AUD has been rallying, it hasn't had its signature multi-hundred pip blowout.

Unless we break below .9200, I am buying this pair with any retrace; not to say I won't short ... but prefer buying over selling.
  • #888,911
  • Apr 10, 2014 1:46am Apr 10, 2014 1:46am
deflation is here see french prices, production

question will they finally act???
  • #888,912
  • Apr 10, 2014 1:48am Apr 10, 2014 1:48am
back again
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Attached Images
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #888,913
  • Apr 10, 2014 1:52am Apr 10, 2014 1:52am
Quoting slow-trader
{quote} I have a channel (attached chart is weekly) that shows resistance below parity with weekly 100 & 200 MA's adding to R. Blue box is my short entry for longer term trade to test low .8050 {image}
Morning ALL
Old time when i was trading this pair
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1.png?v=15.1">
  • #888,914
  • Apr 10, 2014 2:05am Apr 10, 2014 2:05am
Quoting gatorinla
back again {image} {image} {image} {image} {image}
My chart exactly as Last one
Same mofu
  • #888,915
  • Apr 10, 2014 2:16am Apr 10, 2014 2:16am
Hi. A bit off subject... but I have being looking for a simple Position Lot Size Calculator. I can find heaps of web sites that provide the calculations but I can't seem to find a download. I have started trading a strategy that requires calculation of profit in dollars rather than in pips like I normally use and my account is in AU making it a little more difficult. I can do the long hand version but I'm just lazy .

If anyone has a download amongst their dusty files that they wouldn't mind sharing it would be much appreciated.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #888,916
  • Apr 10, 2014 2:22am Apr 10, 2014 2:22am
Quoting Matts Micro
Hi. A bit off subject... but I have being looking for a simple Position Lot Size Calculator. I can find heaps of web sites that provide the calculations but I can't seem to find a download. I have started trading a strategy that requires calculation of profit in dollars rather than in pips like I normally use and my account is in AU making it a little more difficult. I can do the long hand version but I'm just lazy . If anyone has a download amongst their dusty files that they wouldn't mind sharing it would be much appreciated.
one that can auto adjust position size in % of set risk according to s/l would be nice also
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #888,917
  • Apr 10, 2014 2:23am Apr 10, 2014 2:23am
Quoting Matts Micro
Hi. A bit off subject... but I have being looking for a simple Position Lot Size Calculator. I can find heaps of web sites that provide the calculations but I can't seem to find a download. I have started trading a strategy that requires calculation of profit in dollars rather than in pips like I normally use and my account is in AU making it a little more difficult. I can do the long hand version but I'm just lazy . If anyone has a download amongst their dusty files that they wouldn't mind sharing it would be much appreciated.
Should do the trick
Attached File(s)
File Type: mq4 PositionSizeCalculator (1).mq4   8 KB | 236 downloads
Don’t ever let someone tell you that you can’t do something.
  • #888,918
  • Apr 10, 2014 2:30am Apr 10, 2014 2:30am
Quoting Matts Micro
Hi. A bit off subject... but I have being looking for a simple Position Lot Size Calculator. I can find heaps of web sites that provide the calculations but I can't seem to find a download. I have started trading a strategy that requires calculation of profit in dollars rather than in pips like I normally use and my account is in AU making it a little more difficult. I can do the long hand version but I'm just lazy . If anyone has a download amongst their dusty files that they wouldn't mind sharing it would be much appreciated.
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} one that can auto adjust position size in % of set risk according to s/l would be nice also

Give me the exact calculations that are needed and I can start working on a simple java/windows program.
  • #888,919
  • Apr 10, 2014 2:31am Apr 10, 2014 2:31am
Quoting Armacom
{quote} Should do the trick {file}
Cheers mate appreciated, I will give it a go
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #888,920
  • Apr 10, 2014 2:34am Apr 10, 2014 2:34am
Where those bear players who only see SELL SELL SELL?
You cannot learn better without losing
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