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  • #884,141
  • Mar 18, 2014 7:01pm Mar 18, 2014 7:01pm
Quoting 81raffae
{quote} ok. A i try to explain with the previous example. THE DOWNSIDE RISKS OF INFLATION INCREASE = the risk that the inflation decrease , so the inflation go down(downside), increases right?
Yeah, you got it dude
  • #884,142
  • Mar 18, 2014 7:08pm Mar 18, 2014 7:08pm
Thanks and sorry . i, m a donkey
now i run away because the risk of a ban is increasing
goodnight!
  • #884,143
  • Mar 18, 2014 7:08pm Mar 18, 2014 7:08pm
Sorry to disturb you lot, i am short, for a while now, BE is way below, but trading this Monster for a few weeks(months), made my account and confident fatter.

while i was trading her, i was helping people save lives in the future - during this UN human rights council meeting started 3 weeks back in Geneva.

i like to share this, if you don't mind

If you can share just this "one bullet" among your friends ? i like you .
R
Avir

Inserted Video


http://www.justiceformuttur.org/
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #884,144
  • Mar 18, 2014 7:33pm Mar 18, 2014 7:33pm
no b/o nothing here for me. just noise to me.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #884,145
  • Mar 18, 2014 7:46pm Mar 18, 2014 7:46pm
Daily candle Goldman Sachs long lower shadow of Enoch'
Think 4 days is about right for top consolidation.
Initial gains evaporated, stop Intact.
Break of 1.3800 and retest?
May the force be with u
I'm shrinking
AHHHHH
Be safe
Founder of Sutherland Wave Principle
  • #884,146
  • Mar 18, 2014 7:49pm Mar 18, 2014 7:49pm
Who's leg do I have to hump to get some tech support around here?
Founder of Sutherland Wave Principle
  • #884,147
  • Mar 18, 2014 8:17pm Mar 18, 2014 8:17pm
atm at 3931.. micro points back to 3912.. i could scalp it with stop above 3933
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #884,148
  • Mar 18, 2014 8:19pm Mar 18, 2014 8:19pm
Quoting Citiboy
Probably put up or shut up time once again ahead of FOMC tomorrow. My ideas are usually based 2/3rds around fundamentals and the picture here is getting almost as bearish as Ive ever been on a risk:reward basis on eurusd. Selling 1.3930 SL on 1/4th at 1.3952 SL on half at 1.3968 SL on 1/4th at 1.4025 Will increase shorts on a break of 1.3880, and Increase again on a break of 1.3850. Implied Vol on all the majors is EXTREMELY low,so any move will likely be huge and fast. On the EUR side, recent PMIs and ZEW sentiment are weak. Hate to beat a dead...
Very logic analysis mate, but i am trying to look from technical, yes it will going down, but from where?..... maybe after hunting SL or some buy pending order in 1.40xx area..... Bullish remain strong because i can't see reversal pattern in higher TF, still need further confirmation for bearish.
  • #884,149
  • Mar 18, 2014 8:38pm Mar 18, 2014 8:38pm
Quoting suthmo
Daily candle Goldman Sachs long lower shadow of Enoch' Think 4 days is about right for top consolidation. Initial gains evaporated, stop Intact. Break of 1.3800 and retest? May the force be with u I'm shrinking AHHHHH Be safe
I like how your post slopes down nicely towards the end. Like a poem
Shit Happens
  • #884,150
  • Mar 18, 2014 10:00pm Mar 18, 2014 10:00pm
I am looking at this chart for hours but cannot figure out which direction to choose.

Please help. ................. I want to trade like a pro.
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The Thief of Wall Street
  • #884,151
  • Mar 18, 2014 10:32pm Mar 18, 2014 10:32pm
USDCNH almost to 6.20...... Question is does the PBOC let it trade up?


If they cap it here...theyd be selling USD..... i.e. drawing down Dollar FX reserves.


That would mean either using existing cash on hand, OR selling US assets to support the CNY....

Either way the longer they have to sell dollars the more out of balance the basket of FX reserves becomes, meaning they would need to shift out of EUR and GBP into more USD.

this is a very big deal.
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #884,152
  • Mar 18, 2014 10:41pm Mar 18, 2014 10:41pm
Quoting Citiboy
USDCNH almost to 6.20...... Question is does the PBOC let it trade up? If they cap it here...theyd be selling USD..... i.e. drawing down Dollar FX reserves. That would mean either using existing cash on hand, OR selling US assets to support the CNY.... Either way the longer they have to sell dollars the more out of balance the basket of FX reserves becomes, meaning they would need to shift out of EUR and GBP into more USD. this is a very big deal.
No. PBOC only protect Yuan from appreciation, not depreciation. I do not have a USDCNY chart, but Yuan is almost tied to Hong Kong dollar. You can see there is only a floor protection.

Only China can manipulate the USDCNY now because other central banks do not have much Yuan, but China has tons of the US dollar

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ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #884,153
  • Mar 18, 2014 10:50pm Mar 18, 2014 10:50pm
When I see lots of 'taps' on resistance like this it has proved very very bullish to me in the past. Breakouts are one of the hardest to trade in FX IMO. In general terms it is proven that the higher price is and the longer time it climbs in that same direction for, the more likely we are to get a trend to continue. As some have been noting here this is the 7th? week trending higher. March 6 was a big break yet we are still consolidating right under that 1.4 mark. I can only make sense of this on a weekly chart were I see the next resistance around 1.4050 area.
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All posts are my personal opinion
  • #884,154
  • Mar 18, 2014 10:50pm Mar 18, 2014 10:50pm
Quoting Citiboy
USDCNH almost to 6.20...... Question is does the PBOC let it trade up? If they cap it here...theyd be selling USD..... i.e. drawing down Dollar FX reserves. That would mean either using existing cash on hand, OR selling US assets to support the CNY.... Either way the longer they have to sell dollars the more out of balance the basket of FX reserves becomes, meaning they would need to shift out of EUR and GBP into more USD. this is a very big deal.
PBOC wants to depreciate CNY, in order to sustain growth. Either you print money like the Japanese or Americans or buy everything up like PBOC... else u can be like ECB and sit on it doing nothing...hoping everything will selfcorrect by market forces
  • #884,155
  • Mar 18, 2014 10:56pm Mar 18, 2014 10:56pm
Quoting johnsmith78
{quote} PBOC wants to depreciate CNY, in order to sustain growth. Either you print money like the Japanese or Americans or buy everything up like PBOC... else u can be like ECB and sit on it doing nothing...hoping everything will selfcorrect by market forces
The Japanese print money and buy foreign assets at the same time. The Fed prints money and buy the US government bonds, and the US government pay back the Fed with interests that come from the tax of American people. The Fed are robbing the American people. The Japanese are robbing the world. Go figure.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #884,156
  • Mar 18, 2014 11:02pm Mar 18, 2014 11:02pm
Quoting gatorinla
atm at 3931.. micro points back to 3912.. i could scalp it with stop above 3933
a good time for b/e stop
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #884,157
  • Mar 18, 2014 11:09pm Mar 18, 2014 11:09pm
EUR/USD @ 1.3922

Massive option plays together with sovereign sellers at 1.3950 has turned EUR/USD into a insomniacs dream.

Market is/was getting itself worked up over Russia's Crimea with the US, EU and the rest of the idiots offering sanctions.

What appears to be another blip on Europe's past of territorial tug of war can be seen here from the past 1000 years.

The interesting thing in this clip is the European boarders are moving faster than the current EUR/USD ticks

http://loiter.co/v/watch-as-1000year...arders-change/
  • #884,158
  • Mar 18, 2014 11:19pm Mar 18, 2014 11:19pm
Quoting lasty
...What appears to be another blip on Europe's past of territorial tug of war can be seen here from the past 1000 years. The interesting thing in this clip is the European boarders are moving faster than the current EUR/USD ticks http://loiter.co/v/watch-as-1000year...arders-change/
interesting clip
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #884,159
  • Mar 18, 2014 11:49pm Mar 18, 2014 11:49pm
1. Eur/usd still can't breakout its resist...
2. I see a triangle pattern at EU.
3. First support is 1.3880... , next will be 1.3600...
4. First resist point is 1.3945... , next will be 1.3967...

technically EU will moved downward due to technical correction (IMHo)...

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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thanks....
  • #884,160
  • Mar 18, 2014 11:53pm Mar 18, 2014 11:53pm
Hey everyone, any predictions on the effect of FOMC on EU tomorrow?
for entertainment purpose only of course..
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