EURUSD

Let me be clear, I am by no means ultra bullish. I think people (not just traders) often confuse 'if' with 'when'. China will slow down one day, the Dollar will collapse, but when? seems many jump on an idea and ride that idea for a while. That idea right now isn't correct, will it be tomorrow? who knows.

When I see copper, what comes to my mind is consumer surplus. For those who don't know, consumer surplus is what you are willing to pay vs what you actually pay. A lot of stuff at walmart, I am not willing to pay much higher than what it is listed for, so I am not saving much money on sales aka my consumer surplus is low. But contrary to that, I am sure a lot of consumers of copper have high level of consumer surplus right now.

I understand what you are doing with copper, but as far as walmart, the flaw keeping me from agreeing with you on that, .. sorry not agree, but what is keeping me from using that is the fact that we don't know Walmarts market share. I used our local/state grocery supplier earlier as an example, they are kicking walmarts ass up and down the street here in Texas. HEB is partnering with China (china is investing into) on transport from Southern Mexico.

my (long) point being ... China is taking the path of least resistance to get their product somewhere. That (locally) is becoming avenues that aren't walmart. Did walmart overplay their strong arm? i think so ...

Flow is from Mexico port (import from China) onto a train, to the port hubs in Texas and direct/exclusive distribution to HEB. over the past 20 years, HEB has boomed down here, Howard Butte (family et al) is worth 7-8 (as of 2012) billion, all private, all taken out of walmarts hands. I am sure the same story exist else where.

I think a trend is becoming local, people are starting to realize that when they buy local, the money stays local, and their money doesn't go to expansion in other states/countries. I think the weakening in Walmart is the future market share of walmart, I think investors won't pullout because of crash concerns, it will be because of growth concerns. What dividends can walmart pay in the future with shrinking margins and a bad reputation.

I dont' watch new lows for markets crashing, I watch to see at what point people find value in something.

I am at the port every once in a while. My concern will be when traffic is low there. Any crash in china soon, I think will be short lived.

Want to know what I am watching for in China to make or break them?

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/a-shares.asp

and real estate.

If they open up land to be owned by citizens (and even better, foreigners) I think that will be a big plus in value.

As far as the markets in China, only way to invest big into them is through hong kong, at that point it is still hard to do.

well Im still waiting for cable kiwi and aussie to dump geppy already has so when these trollops going to take the plunge and follow
edit oops and GC

i am looking at the speedometer, not a map. wallmart may not work in your area. but they are the largest buyer of china products. i will go with that.

this reply isn't out of debate, its out of understanding; with that said ...

Where do you get this information from (Walmart being largest buyer)?

walmarts revenue was about 460 Billion for 2013. That revenue is of course non-china imports and domestic goods also, so Walmarts share for 2013 of China imports was a lot, but when it comes to Chinas total exports ... who else owns those margins, and are those margins growing for others?

link for profit

That 'speedometer' reference makes better since, but there are still to many variables for me to have full confidence in it.

As far as walmart in our area, the point was that trends take place .. in fashion or whatever ... and we are not unique ... if walmart is deteriorating here, then they are or will be in other places. My analysis was described, and I can only imagine others (especially west coast or north east) will be on the same path.

But like I asked, where do you get this info of China being largest buyer from? and are there stats as to what % total (walmart/others) walmart has been over the past few years? I would be interested to see if that margin is shrinking ...

Just starting reading some of Walmarts statements.

This is interesting. Seems Texas is one of its biggest areas for supercenters. Not sure if this is from Demand or space available (cheap space available).

With that said, not sure if it is my bias that negates Walmart when they are bigger than I give them credit for, or if I see a trend that is destined to be their future. Either I am wrong or I am early, not sure, I think early, but who knows.

Very interesting though.

And looking at their financial statements, seem strong, that stock might be looking cheap soon

now that ukraine's crimea referendum is over, is it time for eu to spike to 141 or shall it tank to 137?

If eur break below 13890...it may go on to test near support level at 60

If Crimea to join Russia, how eu will reacts? Is this plus point for eur or us?

Sad but I am short bias on the EURUSD

I find it would be more difficult to interpret and analyse the outcome of any political events and how a currency pair would move accordingly than to trade directly based on its actual movement (ie trade from what the chart shows). Politics are real complicated issues and even there are analysts who tried to predict the mkt outcome can also get it wrong. Personally, i find the best way it works for me is to just keep an open mind and simply go with the flow. Sometimes the mkt can be illogical too..but i would not want to argue with the mkt. ...imo

Gidday EUR/US

What will it do today

Will it explode through 140 to clear my longs

hope so:nerd:

Neither

Edit: Good Morning All

one for sure. pair EU should be dropp

EU is like bullish to the brink, nothing can stop it going up...

not even draghi speech or ukraine crisis or low inflation..

They have voted to remain in Russia and there has been zero price action as a consequence. We already knew last week that this would happen, any reaction has long since been priced in.

im still in the direction from friday signalz

skipped ej cus im short eg,ec and eu from tops also, all be

lets see if all have running shoes on

eurxxx pairs
lets see if laaandan cocksuckers are aligned

hold on position, TP one.

don't know where it will go .

we could go nowhere from here

for entire of march, EU has always been going up, higher peaks and higher bottoms...