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EURUSD

  • #882,701
  • Mar 12, 2014 12:36pm Mar 12, 2014 12:36pm
Quoting Citiboy
{quote} Is it anchored because you believe that's the case? Or because that whats Draghi says every month? (not a rhetorical question)
well, Its really just because of what Draghi said... I guess in reality inflation rates are not a singularity reflection cross of entire eu economy, rather they reflect the major economies..
  • #882,702
  • Mar 12, 2014 12:40pm Mar 12, 2014 12:40pm
when technical n fundamental r no longer useful..
while cable are still under investigate and keep falling like a bitc*
A handful of patience is worth a bushel of brains
  • #882,703
  • Mar 12, 2014 12:43pm Mar 12, 2014 12:43pm
Quoting suthmo
Love it when a flip flop comes together +49 Think the rest of wed Thu Fri will be like watching paint dry.
Wait & Watch when it reach 3930 or 3956. The time taken to reach there and the time taken to reach 3810.
  • #882,704
  • Mar 12, 2014 12:44pm Mar 12, 2014 12:44pm
Quoting mercy seat
EUR/USD : Yes ... we are trading several things ... multiple setups ... multiple pairs ... trading preferred ... ;-| {image}

Hmm ... ja ... re-loaded some sell positions again ... pending orders above 1.3913 and 1.3919 at this stage ...

EUR/USD :


Yes ... here we are ... Attachment ... some stops above 1.3940 - 1.3955 zone ...


;-|
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #882,705
  • Mar 12, 2014 12:47pm Mar 12, 2014 12:47pm
Quoting Magicmen
{quote} Wait & Watch when it reach 3930 or 3956. The time taken to reach there and the time taken to reach 3810.
look at the weekly eu candles, 6 green candles, 400 pips, weekly advance average of 67 pips....

u can roughly calculate...that we havent hit the peak yet....the best is yet to come, unless next week, we still stucked at 139 levels.
  • #882,706
  • Mar 12, 2014 12:50pm Mar 12, 2014 12:50pm
Quoting gatorinla
3876 broke.. looking to L the retrace 3832/3854.3 as long as 3918 is untouched. um at 3899.7 m 3897.1 lm 3895... high atm is in this mofu..
i took the short. 3909... usdx on monthly tl atm .. 3918 is still a st target. it did not retrace to 3854 before 3918 yet.. but i have to run soon..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #882,707
  • Mar 12, 2014 12:56pm Mar 12, 2014 12:56pm
time to short the beast.
  • #882,708
  • Mar 12, 2014 12:56pm Mar 12, 2014 12:56pm
bye all EU traders... good luck... tired already... c u guys tomorrow....
  • #882,709
  • Mar 12, 2014 12:58pm Mar 12, 2014 12:58pm
Quoting johnsmith78
{quote} look at the weekly eu candles, 6 green candles, 400 pips, weekly advance average of 67 pips.... u can roughly calculate...that we havent hit the peak yet....the best is yet to come, unless next week, we still stucked at 139 levels.
I am referring the same. The highest consecutive growth in EU is 5 weeks. If this week finish high then it is unprecedented move in 4 years.
  • #882,710
  • Mar 12, 2014 1:02pm Mar 12, 2014 1:02pm
Quoting gatorinla
see whats happens at 3853/54 till ll, near it as i type..... if we now go to 3882.. i may leave my longs open for a 3914 test... its all st crap that lies.. anyway i dont think i will short at 3882 now. i will wait for higher if we break this atm bounce high at 3874... it is st and st lies.. 3882 is still normal most times as is 3788 i could look to L 3853/till low if i wanted and target 3914+
the lying st had 3918... i shorted because its just 4 pips more..i didn't want to miss a larger trade for a dozen or so pips. since we didn't hit 3854 first. i may have a chance to set a b.e. 24h later... monthly has a r1 3923
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #882,711
  • Mar 12, 2014 1:05pm Mar 12, 2014 1:05pm
This will be a good move down just might have to wait at least a couple days on this one! Back down to low 38's looks entirely possible
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #882,712
  • Mar 12, 2014 1:05pm Mar 12, 2014 1:05pm
Quoting attila
{quote} laughing at it is the only thing that can help.. this thing is fucked up beyond repair.
look for eventual answers here:

The Is The One Financial Product Now Targeted By The HFT Swarm

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-0...eted-hft-swarm


But as always: only Unicorns I am seeing
  • #882,713
  • Mar 12, 2014 1:09pm Mar 12, 2014 1:09pm
Well... tough spot here for the USD ahead of retail sales tomorrow.

Long USD vs Europe (EUR,GBP,CHF)
GBP doesn't work because market expects UK rate hikes soon, even though inflation is falling and very recent data hasnt been gangbusters like it was in late 2013
EUR doesn't work because the current account surplus, equity inflows, and bank deleveraging counteract the speculative selling. ECB also has no credibility on fighting disinflation.
CHF pegged to EUR to thats almost irrelevant.

Long USD vs JPY
Too corrrelated to risk sentiment to rally significantly higher from here, unless correlations with SPX and US yields break down. China fears are keeping stocks, yields and USDJPY from rising too far.

Long USD vs Commodity FX (AUD,NZD,ZAR,CAD)
Has worked the last few days, and may be the only way to express USD longs at the moment given China related weakness.
NZD rate hikes expected so it should outperform the others.

Anyone have a thouoght?
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #882,714
  • Mar 12, 2014 1:13pm Mar 12, 2014 1:13pm
EUR/USD trading at resistance right now. Anyone selling into this?

I am hesitant. It seems like this pair just want to test 1.4000...

http://www.myfxbook.com/files/JCLfor...bJKhWSwveP.png
  • #882,715
  • Mar 12, 2014 1:16pm Mar 12, 2014 1:16pm
Quoting JCL's-Forex
EUR/USD trading at resistance right now. Anyone selling into this? I am hesitant. It seems like this pair just want to test 1.4000... {image}
Gave up on my shorts above 1.3880 for now, daily candle is bullish. At this point the market seems to just have the idea of push EUR higher until the ECB folds, right now they have no credibility.
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #882,716
  • Mar 12, 2014 1:31pm Mar 12, 2014 1:31pm
Quoting virensfx
feels like 2007, when the euro went parabolic... {image}
In 2007 there was the subprime mortgage crisis in the US which is a different situation to today.
  • #882,717
  • Mar 12, 2014 1:35pm Mar 12, 2014 1:35pm
3788 still has its gravity.. its below yesterday's low.. breaking yesterdays low would set up 3751.. back to 3757 or januarys norm with the 3891 high.. no new # to replace 3757 atm. but 3832 ish is a possibility. after a target is reached, a retrace happens most times soon after. below 3788 is 3781. that one makes sense for a 4146 run. bbl stopped out or green.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #882,718
  • Mar 12, 2014 1:38pm Mar 12, 2014 1:38pm
Quoting goldenmember
{quote} In 2007 there was the subprime mortgage crisis in the US which is a different situation to today.
This time it is Ukrine
  • #882,719
  • Mar 12, 2014 1:38pm Mar 12, 2014 1:38pm
Quoting Citiboy
Well... tough spot here for the USD ahead of retail sales tomorrow. Long USD vs Europe (EUR,GBP,CHF) GBP doesn't work because market expects UK rate hikes soon, even though inflation is falling and very recent data hasnt been gangbusters like it was in late 2013 EUR doesn't work because the current account surplus, equity inflows, and bank deleveraging counteract the speculative selling. ECB also has no credibility on fighting disinflation. CHF pegged to EUR to thats almost irrelevant. Long USD vs JPY Too corrrelated to risk sentiment to rally significantly...
USD is at the moment the behaving as a global funding currency while other countries are at the other end of the flow, US growth will lead to global growth and more diversifcaiton away from the USD to invest aboard, until no inflation pick up in US relatively to other nations don't expect USD strenght. Just keep a eye on US inflation, all those non-working trades will work as soon market shift expectations.
Besides all that Euro is behaving very much as a parking lot for money. The surplus/inflows argument is false, it helps but thats not what is driving euro strenght at all. Its mainly deflation + ECB behaviour. Thats the true core diference in eur vs usd
  • #882,720
  • Mar 12, 2014 1:50pm Mar 12, 2014 1:50pm
Quoting salman14
{quote} Limit triggered at 1.3896, Probably its going to catch the SL , lets see
Stopped out 1.3900 . -7
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