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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #43,841
  • Edited 2:47pm Mar 9, 2014 2:35pm | Edited 2:47pm
...short from 332 now lets hope for nice gap
With a good book and quality paper you can fine wipe your ass.
  • #43,842
  • Mar 9, 2014 2:43pm Mar 9, 2014 2:43pm
Quoting theDHT
{quote} bad Chinese data... again... maybe... I would not worry about it (unless I was short), looking for UJ to hit new highs by month end!
depend, if 102,174 let go we could go as low as 98,393 since we failed at 103,674 but this is kind of long term, on going Ukrainian crisis could push this from the fundamental point of view
swing it!
  • #43,843
  • Mar 9, 2014 2:51pm Mar 9, 2014 2:51pm
Quoting tomspin
{quote} depend, if 102,174 let go we could go as low as 98,393 since we failed at 103,674 but this is kind of long term, on going Ukrainian crisis could push this from the fundamental point of view

I like to play long term... and I dont really think its in Russia's or the West's best interest to escalate this situation, so I think that things will cool down soon enough, and risk on mode will resume...

and I agree with your retrace target at ~102.2, as you see here, but I dont see it going lower than that... at this stage...

H4
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Dollar Yen H4 03.09.14.png Size: 90 KB


...on a daily basis, I see higher highs going forward; this chart is a few days old, and was posted here, on March 5th

Daily
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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much of what happens to this pair has to do with the Yen rather than the USD, I have also been tracking Yen futures closely, last post was on Friday, here... I will update it tomorrow
90% of people, are wrong about 90% of everything, 90% of the time...
  • #43,844
  • Mar 9, 2014 4:30pm Mar 9, 2014 4:30pm
It appears a near term top could be place on the USD/JPY. If 102.85 which is the nearest support holds on the other hand that is extremely bullish and we will look for a test of the 105 – 105.50 level.

Inserted Video
  • #43,845
  • Mar 9, 2014 5:55pm Mar 9, 2014 5:55pm
Quoting Trendzalore
May way too early prediction is that it looks like the up move is exhausted or near exhaustion. I can see back to 101.8 before another move up. Of course I really wouldn't want to be shorting yen. However, what I see by my methodology looks down first. So, down to 102.95......stall and decide to resume up again, or what I think will happen down to 102.7.......stall, back up to 102.95 then down to 102.31....stall then down to 101.8. At least as of right now that's how I see it playing out. Below 102.31 I might put a very small short to target 101.8...
Still looking down to me
  • #43,846
  • Mar 9, 2014 9:34pm Mar 9, 2014 9:34pm
Quoting Trendzalore
May way too early prediction is that it looks like the up move is exhausted or near exhaustion. I can see back to 101.8 before another move up. Of course I really wouldn't want to be shorting yen. However, what I see by my methodology looks down first. So, down to 102.95......stall and decide to resume up again, or what I think will happen down to 102.7.......stall, back up to 102.95 then down to 102.31....stall then down to 101.8. At least as of right now that's how I see it playing out. Below 102.31 I might put a very small short to target 101.8...
Ignored
Still looking down to me

Stopped and is stalling pretty close to first area of interest 102.95. Looks to be holding for now. If not then 102.67 is next.
  • #43,847
  • Mar 9, 2014 11:19pm Mar 9, 2014 11:19pm
My take.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #43,848
  • Mar 9, 2014 11:29pm Mar 9, 2014 11:29pm
Quoting sdcasper
My take. {image}
if you really want to long the JPY, CAD/JPY short would make the most sense. Relative strength wise, the CAD is currently weaker than the Yen. Other wise, unless there are some risk off news/events in the near future, expect the Yen to weaken further, Usd/Jpy to reach new highs.
Trade what you see, not what you think!
  • #43,849
  • Mar 9, 2014 11:37pm Mar 9, 2014 11:37pm
GDP #s came in lower than expectation. Although, this can be seen as bullish for the Yen, contrary can lead to more monetary easing by the BOJ adding to more Yen weakness.
Trade what you see, not what you think!
  • #43,850
  • Mar 9, 2014 11:39pm Mar 9, 2014 11:39pm
maybe so
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  • #43,851
  • Mar 10, 2014 12:05am Mar 10, 2014 12:05am
Hello US/JPY

I am longs to 105+

I won't add anything to my longs


This one step up an two back

Is anybody buying at 103

Been caught to many times at the top

Think I will trade out off these longs

an change to taking shorts from above 105.5

Not sure about this 110 to 120 is that possible

Any world problems an YEN will hit the 100 for sure
  • #43,852
  • Mar 10, 2014 2:12am Mar 10, 2014 2:12am
Dollar Yen

Time and Price

Buy the dip

H4
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Dollar Yen H4 03.10.14.png Size: 60 KB
90% of people, are wrong about 90% of everything, 90% of the time...
  • #43,853
  • Mar 10, 2014 2:18am Mar 10, 2014 2:18am
Quoting PayTheLimit
I suspect there will be some support at 102.83/93, little late in the week to do anything with it on my end...
I was looking to buy here on friday, but its seems like this area was spiked in very early dealings, so I'll pass on it. Cant see anything else to play right now.
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #43,854
  • Mar 10, 2014 2:53am Mar 10, 2014 2:53am
sell 312 sl ?
With a good book and quality paper you can fine wipe your ass.
  • #43,855
  • Mar 10, 2014 5:06am Mar 10, 2014 5:06am
placed sell stop at 103.09 waiting for the position to hit and make a 25 pip move down.
Winning in forex comes with good habits.
  • #43,856
  • Mar 10, 2014 7:11am Mar 10, 2014 7:11am
Quoting Alki
{quote} Looks like Bear begin to work on UJ and my short on GJ at 172.80 begin to give some gain at before open. Let's see this week what could this pair has to offer to bear.
Waiting for rescue and pressure from GU and EU on UJ, so GJ will go lower and lower. Wait and follow.
Little luck is forex water. Learn all Trading strategies, then forget them.
  • #43,857
  • Mar 10, 2014 8:54am Mar 10, 2014 8:54am
Looks like short term sellers are drying up
  • #43,858
  • Mar 10, 2014 9:25am Mar 10, 2014 9:25am
Quoting Trendzalore
Looks like short term sellers are drying up
Or did I speak to soon? lol
What a boring day
  • #43,859
  • Mar 10, 2014 9:28am Mar 10, 2014 9:28am
Quoting Trendzalore
{quote} Or did I speak to soon? lol What a boring day
Hope boring days like this . Until now 110 pips on GJ.
Little luck is forex water. Learn all Trading strategies, then forget them.
  • #43,860
  • Mar 10, 2014 9:33am Mar 10, 2014 9:33am
Quoting Alki
{quote} Hope boring days like this . Until now 110 pips on GJ.
I wasnt watching GJ, I had a plan for UJ today but it is stale. Was looking for a small pop to 102.6.

GJ seems to get me turned around sometimes lol. Happy pips for you.
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