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  • #880,161
  • Feb 28, 2014 3:21pm Feb 28, 2014 3:21pm
Quoting maximinus
{quote} Do you have an idea (approximately of course) at what level equals eurusd if usdx goes to 79.22 ?
I only use it as a guide but if I would be to guess... not gonna guess.. ask gator. he uses it extensively, so he should be your best go to.
  • #880,162
  • Feb 28, 2014 3:22pm Feb 28, 2014 3:22pm
Quoting KillerWhale
Am I drunk?
Of course. You are always drunk, even without drinking
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #880,163
  • Feb 28, 2014 3:24pm Feb 28, 2014 3:24pm
Quoting attila
{quote} I only use it as a guide but if I would be to guess... not gonna guess.. ask gator. he uses it extensively, so he should be your best go to.
Never mind.
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #880,164
  • Feb 28, 2014 3:24pm Feb 28, 2014 3:24pm
long 2 lots. Come at me bro.
  • #880,165
  • Feb 28, 2014 3:25pm Feb 28, 2014 3:25pm
Quoting ffleo
i think u/c going to drop more, so i added short. target somewhere near February monthly pivot point
I told you guys days ago to help me short this sucker.
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #880,166
  • Feb 28, 2014 3:26pm Feb 28, 2014 3:26pm
Quoting maximinus
@ Attila, BTW, I think that the parity will not happen any time soon. If you want to understand why I think that way try to get information on the euro atlantic treaty in negotiation atm.
oh no.. not going to happen anytime soon.. it's just one of the many possibilities.. that if it it decides to do a straight move, but we know how this works, as the pair moves, it continuously prints new information, hard to explain.. actually from the book I'm reading.. build a prediction model/observe/update model, repeat the cycle... that's just one model subject to many updates as we move along.. Kind of how I see it..
  • #880,167
  • Feb 28, 2014 3:26pm Feb 28, 2014 3:26pm
Quoting JeremyWS
{quote} *2,000 russian soldiers land in "armed invasion" of Crimea ; Kiev official - AFP *UKRAINE LEADER SAYS RUSSIA TRYING TO PROVOKE CONFLICT *UKRAINE SAYS RUSSIA INVADED UKRAINE UNDER GUISE OF EXERCISE EDIT as of 20:12 UK time - reports are that they 2,000 soldiers is utter bullshit, market will fade on monday if proved to be bullshit
Jeremy, you care to explain something: Remember your last option long call, what did you mean by " I'm buying volatility ? "
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #880,168
  • Feb 28, 2014 3:27pm Feb 28, 2014 3:27pm
Quoting maximinus
{quote} Never mind.
seriously.. he's using it like that. I am not. Credit where credit is due.

Edit: A correlation function can be calculated (I bet it exists somewhere), it's just not worth for me to incorporate it in my method...
  • #880,169
  • Feb 28, 2014 3:28pm Feb 28, 2014 3:28pm
Quoting maximinus
{quote} Give me numbers please, coz I don't have pivot indicator on my chart platform.
chf pivots

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #880,170
  • Feb 28, 2014 3:30pm Feb 28, 2014 3:30pm
Quoting KillerWhale
{quote} I told you guys days ago to help me short this sucker.
actually I long, long 6C, the reverse of U/C
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #880,171
  • Feb 28, 2014 3:31pm Feb 28, 2014 3:31pm
Quoting Vachus
{quote} Jeremy, you care to explain something: Remember your last option long call, what did you mean by " I'm buying volatility ? "
I profit if realized volatility is greater than implied volatility. Sometimes known as Volatiltiy arbitrage (i don't like that name as its not real arb)

Buying or longing Vol has to be done by buying an option and therefore being sensitive to "vega" - i.e. if EURUSD Implied vol rises, the value of the option rises. Or the EURUSD needs to trade outside a predetermined range, so if EUR is > 1.40 or <1.34 I profit or finally by delta hedging I make money on the undulations in the EURUSD.

Basically, the more it moves, the more I make, not dependent on which way it moves, up or down, I don't care.
  • #880,172
  • Feb 28, 2014 3:32pm Feb 28, 2014 3:32pm
Quoting 50pipsperday
long 2 lots. Come at me bro.
long what? eurusd ??
K.I.S.S.
  • #880,173
  • Feb 28, 2014 3:33pm Feb 28, 2014 3:33pm
Quoting ffleo
{quote} actually I long, long 6C, the reverse of U/C
I'm talking about UCAD!!!
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #880,174
  • Feb 28, 2014 3:35pm Feb 28, 2014 3:35pm
Quoting attila
{quote} oh no.. not going to happen anytime soon.. it's just one of the many possibilities.. that if it it decides to do a straight move, but we know how this works, as the pair moves, it continuously prints new information, hard to explain.. actually from the book I'm reading.. build a prediction model/observe/update model, repeat the cycle... that's just one model subject to many updates as we move along.. Kind of how I see it..
I mentioned this treaty to you but it was addressed to every one here. One who understand this negotiation will understand why the euro bears are slaughtered. Sure the market will retrace, and again bears will be slaughtered, at leas until the end of the year. The outcome of this round of negotiation will give some clues.
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #880,175
  • Feb 28, 2014 3:35pm Feb 28, 2014 3:35pm
Quoting JeremyWS
{quote} I profit if realized volatility is greater than implied volatility. Sometimes known as Volatiltiy arbitrage (i don't like that name as its not real arb) Buying or longing Vol has to be done by buying an option and therefore being sensitive to "vega" - i.e. if EURUSD Implied vol rises, the value of the option rises. Or the EURUSD needs to trade outside a predetermined range, so if EUR is > 1.40 or <1.34 I profit or finally by delta hedging I make money on the undulations in the EURUSD. Basically, the more it moves, the more I make, not dependent...
does your broker allows to open long/short at the same time ? if so, which one is it ?
K.I.S.S.
  • #880,176
  • Feb 28, 2014 3:36pm Feb 28, 2014 3:36pm
Quoting Leijenberg
{quote} does your broker allows to open long/short at the same time ? if so, which one is it ?
what in the fuck are talking about?
  • #880,177
  • Feb 28, 2014 3:38pm Feb 28, 2014 3:38pm
Quoting Leijenberg
{quote} long what? eurusd ??
Yes
  • #880,178
  • Feb 28, 2014 3:38pm Feb 28, 2014 3:38pm
Quoting attila
{quote} seriously.. he's using it like that. I am not. Credit where credit is due. Edit: A correlation function can be calculated (I bet it exists somewhere), it's just not worth for me to incorporate it in my method...
Ah ok. I thought that I was caught in the middle of your two unending love affairs
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #880,179
  • Feb 28, 2014 3:40pm Feb 28, 2014 3:40pm
Quoting ffleo
{quote} chf pivots {image} {image}

Thank you.
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #880,180
  • Feb 28, 2014 3:41pm Feb 28, 2014 3:41pm
Quoting JeremyWS
{quote} I profit if realized volatility is greater than implied volatility. Sometimes known as Volatiltiy arbitrage (i don't like that name as its not real arb) Buying or longing Vol has to be done by buying an option and therefore being sensitive to "vega" - i.e. if EURUSD Implied vol rises, the value of the option rises. Or the EURUSD needs to trade outside a predetermined range, so if EUR is > 1.40 or <1.34 I profit or finally by delta hedging I make money on the undulations in the EURUSD. Basically, the more it moves, the more I make, not dependent...
you trade euro volatility, but Vaches thought you did VIX, the equities volatility. Totally two different instruments.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
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