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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #41,941
  • Jan 22, 2014 9:47pm Jan 22, 2014 9:47pm
Quoting neuron
lol not sure why you're so riled up or where the hostility is from
Maybe one to many drinks tonight lol. Sorry man...
"A true speculator tries the market small." - Jesse Livermore
  • #41,942
  • Jan 22, 2014 9:48pm Jan 22, 2014 9:48pm
The real question here is.... london push this to 104 or deeeepeeer?
  • #41,943
  • Jan 22, 2014 9:48pm Jan 22, 2014 9:48pm
Quoting smash1820
why don't you study this chart and tell me what's going to happen??? which red line will break first? because even i don't know (although i have my suspicions). {image}
My bet is we end up getting support around 103.85ish.
"A true speculator tries the market small." - Jesse Livermore
  • #41,944
  • Jan 22, 2014 9:58pm Jan 22, 2014 9:58pm
i hope this helps someone ... at the very least to see just how complicated trading can be!

decisions... decisions...
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Please check out my blog at https://from-zero-to-hero . net
  • #41,945
  • Jan 22, 2014 10:37pm Jan 22, 2014 10:37pm
103.88 is support on the daily chart.
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"A true speculator tries the market small." - Jesse Livermore
  • #41,946
  • Jan 22, 2014 10:50pm Jan 22, 2014 10:50pm
Could go as low as 103.30 if we really get some great downward pressure.
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"A true speculator tries the market small." - Jesse Livermore
  • #41,947
  • Jan 22, 2014 11:04pm Jan 22, 2014 11:04pm
Damnit!!! Yeah you are right, although I don't expect to hit 103.30 or even 104.00 for that matter.

If only I could follow my F'ING system!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! It is sooooo good but I have NOOOOOOO discipline.

If I place a trade with an entry that is more than 10 pips off, I'm pissed.

Going to call it a night. My patience is running low now.

That is why I want to automate all this shit.

G'night.
Please check out my blog at https://from-zero-to-hero . net
  • #41,948
  • Jan 22, 2014 11:49pm Jan 22, 2014 11:49pm
Hello US/JPY

I clipped the ticket on some longs

still holding 3 under water

small ones.

Thinking if we get to 106

Feel like doing a small short to 98 TP
  • #41,949
  • Jan 22, 2014 11:53pm Jan 22, 2014 11:53pm
Quoting smash1820
why don't you study this chart and tell me what's going to happen??? which red line will break first? because even i don't know (although i have my suspicions). {image}
Here's a post I did yesterday:
Quoting EmeraldEyes
{quote} I'd be surprised to see a break under the 103.85 lows as that would trigger 104.0+ bulls' sell stops and shorts to enter. I dont see UJ closing above 104.75 today either.. kinda lack-luster without US or JPY news out to make traders trade. Maybe US Unemployment claims on Thurs but idk..
There are no catalysts to move the pair. You aren't able to tell from a price chart if price is breaking resistance for a reason or just low liquidity to grab some orders and retrace. All attention has been on the UK, Canada, China(affecting Aud). No USD or JPY headlines to entice more bulls to drive up price.
  • #41,950
  • Jan 23, 2014 1:45am Jan 23, 2014 1:45am
Quoting pursuit_21
{quote} scaled out at 104.8x looks best to stay liquid until 104.2x to add in longs again. current market structure looks the same at these levels, pa continues to confirm heavy consolidation between 104.20 - 104.60. best entry for longs will be 103.7x if we can get there. net long position s/l good region is 103.50 before having to re-evaluate short term long bias on this pair.
scaling back in here at 104.2x...looking for 40 ticks on the topside, see how pa reacts to 104.60-70 again.

concur with emerald, no catalyst to break out of this range...price likely to continue to bounce around these levels
  • #41,951
  • Jan 23, 2014 2:18am Jan 23, 2014 2:18am
Quoting smash1820
Damnit!!! Yeah you are right, although I don't expect to hit 103.30 or even 104.00 for that matter. If only I could follow my F'ING system!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! It is sooooo good but I have NOOOOOOO discipline. If I place a trade with an entry that is more than 10 pips off, I'm pissed. Going to call it a night. My patience is running low now. That is why I want to automate all this shit. G'night.
Hey guy, fix your self-discipline!
It took me a long time, and I paid the price for not doing it sooner many times.
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #41,952
  • Jan 23, 2014 3:14am Jan 23, 2014 3:14am
Attached Image


I'm not saying this has anything to do with anything, but also the US equity position needs a little correction.
Gone to a better place
  • #41,953
  • Jan 23, 2014 3:29am Jan 23, 2014 3:29am
Yeah and I just jumped in long, waiting for UJ to catch up with what just happened on EJ and GJ.....
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #41,954
  • Jan 23, 2014 3:40am Jan 23, 2014 3:40am
Not much doing with me until we break out of this range. Yesterday's EST feed did not look a convincing high, yesterday's GMT feed looked good. So, I'm confused.
Gone to a better place
  • #41,955
  • Jan 23, 2014 3:49am Jan 23, 2014 3:49am
This weekly chart with a four year fibonacci retracement attached shows a 61.8% high coupled with a bit of longer term divergence. I'm wondering if it will have an effect.

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Gone to a better place
  • #41,956
  • Jan 23, 2014 4:27am Jan 23, 2014 4:27am
Quoting smikester
This weekly chart with a four year fibonacci retracement attached shows a 61.8% high coupled with a bit of longer term divergence. I'm wondering if it will have an effect. {image}
That is a very interesting observation.

After recent press I wondered whether the 'up' stimulus has relaxed.
The BoJ is happy, I believe, with the current UJ value at the moment.
Focus appears to have returned to stimulating their local economy.

My personal view is that we are headed for some ranging between 100 and 105 for a while.
I feel the BoJ will put a floor under the Yen at 100 to encourage repatriation of some manufacturing.
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #41,957
  • Jan 23, 2014 5:21am Jan 23, 2014 5:21am
Quoting Exodus
{quote} That is a very interesting observation. After recent press I wondered whether the 'up' stimulus has relaxed. The BoJ is happy, I believe, with the current UJ value at the moment. Focus appears to have returned to stimulating their local economy. My personal view is that we are headed for some ranging between 100 and 105 for a while. I feel the BoJ will put a floor under the Yen at 100 to encourage repatriation of some manufacturing.
I like that theory - that is possible, and it fits in with the current tantrums between Japan and China. In the meantime we are stuck in last week's 104.30 range which I note made a profit in both directions so maybe we can get lucky again.
Gone to a better place
  • #41,958
  • Jan 23, 2014 6:10am Jan 23, 2014 6:10am
Quoting Exodus
Yeah and I just jumped in long, waiting for UJ to catch up with what just happened on EJ and GJ.....
still in your long there? whats your target?
  • #41,959
  • Jan 23, 2014 8:02am Jan 23, 2014 8:02am
Quoting pipBlast
The real question here is.... london push this to 104 or deeeepeeer?
havin fun
  • #41,960
  • Jan 23, 2014 8:14am Jan 23, 2014 8:14am
loading up on longs here....good price imo.
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