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  • #869,661
  • Jan 13, 2014 10:04am Jan 13, 2014 10:04am
Quoting hathor
the perfect combo: - shoulder-head-shoulder (upper line would touched at ~ 1.37100) - 1.37000 touched - near Fibo 50% (1.37200) {image}
I fully think this is the game plan for now in euro
fokyou forexfactory
  • #869,662
  • Jan 13, 2014 10:10am Jan 13, 2014 10:10am
my first trade is to sell eur/usd at 1.3665
short term tp is 500 + pips
end of 2014 tp can be at 1.1800
on 2016 tp can be at 1.1200

so have patience to get good profit with long term trades
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eur usd long term analysis 13-1-2014.jpg Size: 99 KB
  • #869,663
  • Jan 13, 2014 10:31am Jan 13, 2014 10:31am
NY is always useless, should learn to skip that session
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #869,664
  • Jan 13, 2014 10:35am Jan 13, 2014 10:35am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Can't really see that far 2016

ken you still short, or? just curious, my tp hit. i'm long atm, but i'm scalping.
"HEY! Whats all this chocolate on yo face?" - "It's doodoo, babby!"
  • #869,665
  • Jan 13, 2014 10:39am Jan 13, 2014 10:39am
Quoting 110101
{quote} ken you still short, or? just curious, my tp hit. i'm long atm, but i'm scalping.
Still from Friday but only 1 position. Keep it open because no sign of bounce from E/J and other EUR/X

Tokyo on Holiday not easy to predict PA
  • #869,666
  • Jan 13, 2014 10:56am Jan 13, 2014 10:56am
Quoting kuroro001
NY is always useless, should learn to skip that session
yep, for last two months after 4GMT its mostly dead. USDJPY there's some action nowadays. I really regret i didnt get on 1.3680 train but looking for short higher @ 3720 area.
  • #869,667
  • Jan 13, 2014 11:02am Jan 13, 2014 11:02am
Quoting hathor
would be a nice shoulder-head-shoulder formation if it reach the red box... {image}

Nope. It is balls and dick pattern.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: euro - id81_093.png Size: 92 KB
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #869,668
  • Jan 13, 2014 11:04am Jan 13, 2014 11:04am
Quoting mario83
{quote} yep, for last two months after 4GMT its mostly dead. USDJPY there's some action nowadays. I really regret i didnt get on 1.3680 train but looking for short higher @ 3720 area.

pretty much the same feelings, but it should be just a little trip, the big one should start where you're waiting...
f(z)=z2+c
  • #869,669
  • Jan 13, 2014 11:15am Jan 13, 2014 11:15am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} Nope. It is balls and dick pattern. {image}

LOL but wife didn't find it as funny as i did.
  • #869,670
  • Jan 13, 2014 11:18am Jan 13, 2014 11:18am
Quoting irongoose
{quote} LOL but wife didn't find it as funny as i did.

But it can't be a balls and dick pattern because the left nut is higher then the right nut!
  • #869,671
  • Jan 13, 2014 11:33am Jan 13, 2014 11:33am
Quoting irongoose
{quote} But it can't be a balls and dick pattern because the left nut is higher then the right nut!

than it's time to learn the tilted head&shoulders!
- Most of the time Head and Shoulders are not perfectly shaped. This formation is slightly tilted upward or downward.
- The neckline may not be perfectly horizontal; it may be ascending or descending.

(anyway, anatomically the left nut is bigger and lower, than the right one )
f(z)=z2+c
  • #869,672
  • Jan 13, 2014 11:44am Jan 13, 2014 11:44am
Quoting ffleo
hey, do i still need to keep my aussie long?
Aussie wiped me out clean last friday, lost $8500, damn. I still see overall trend as bull (monthly charts showing double bottom) but there might be a big pull back towards .8900 especially if the day ends below .8995. H2-H6 RSI and Stochs are way too high and are showing signs that it will go down, but then these TFs are known to push a little further. for me, the closing price will be the deciding element here. good luck on your trade. see you at the .8900 level for a LONGGGGG ride.
  • #869,673
  • Jan 13, 2014 11:49am Jan 13, 2014 11:49am
Quoting hathor
Shorting is stupid right now imo....this is a continuing formation (and the 1.36400 reigon held the price), so need to go higher, but good luck anyway...will sell at 1.37-1.37600.
I am with you on this trade plan.
  • #869,674
  • Jan 13, 2014 12:05pm Jan 13, 2014 12:05pm
Quoting Ken A
{quote} S = Superman N = Nanny?
it's NUNARD, my name. but nanny will do too, hehehe
  • #869,675
  • Jan 13, 2014 12:13pm Jan 13, 2014 12:13pm
Quoting makati
{quote} nope, at least not today. this is just a taste of what will happen on friday on the NFP data. same strat, short before the data release then long after market reaction then that's the time the bulls might start a very angry run again...
damn, my own trade plan not executed.
  • #869,676
  • Jan 13, 2014 12:20pm Jan 13, 2014 12:20pm
Quoting makati
{quote} damn, my own trade plan not executed.

never regret that...only regret what ends with a loss.
the current market is short anyway...so you can buy, but there is more risk in it, than in the sell...so waiting for the sell is the wise option here.
f(z)=z2+c
  • #869,677
  • Jan 13, 2014 12:31pm Jan 13, 2014 12:31pm
The ES finally getting some real selling pressure first time in some time.


Watching closely
  • #869,678
  • Jan 13, 2014 12:33pm Jan 13, 2014 12:33pm
On M15: if the lower line holds, than finally will come the breaktrough, that can take price over 1.36711
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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f(z)=z2+c
  • #869,679
  • Jan 13, 2014 12:35pm Jan 13, 2014 12:35pm
It has still not touched 1.37. Just saying folks.
The price will go where it has to go.
  • #869,680
  • Jan 13, 2014 12:59pm Jan 13, 2014 12:59pm
Took a couple heavy hits, had to step back for a month or two before I blew the account. Back now with a fresh outlook and a revised plan, here's to round 2

currently in Aussie, CHF/JPY, and USD/JPY

Euro way too volatile for me the past few weeks.
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