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  • #862,201
  • Dec 10, 2013 2:35am Dec 10, 2013 2:35am
Quoting ud1nh0
{quote} why yen cannot buy dollar up?
some people do not want the dollar be strong against other currencies.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #862,202
  • Dec 10, 2013 2:35am Dec 10, 2013 2:35am
Quoting Miguel.N
{quote} {image} happy new year 2014
so your rocket is going to reach 1.4 today????????????
  • #862,203
  • Edited 3:07am Dec 10, 2013 2:43am | Edited 3:07am
Quoting giveachance
{quote} so your rocket is going to reach 1.4 today????????????

you can not read new year 2014, it's not big enghout ? -) ....A premonition signe like this one - CAUTION ! -(
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  • #862,204
  • Dec 10, 2013 2:43am Dec 10, 2013 2:43am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} some people do not want the dollar be strong against other currencies.

but they could just sold yen and bought dollars, then sold the dollars to invest in anything?rite?
14QDuJtV7okxhBzC86FwawaR6tV5LvetLq
  • #862,205
  • Dec 10, 2013 2:43am Dec 10, 2013 2:43am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} some people do not want the dollar be strong against other currencies.
the ECB needs to crack the high of UJ, and let the Japanese do the rest of the work (pumping it up)
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #862,206
  • Dec 10, 2013 2:45am Dec 10, 2013 2:45am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} it is all about us dollar being bullish or bearish. EJ and GJ highs can be taken out gradually one by one, why UJ high cannot? Now UJ failed taking out its high, and is dropping now. Watch euro and cable go high.
Because atm dollar is much weaker then euro and sterling. Beside, breakout are not a sure sign of continuation...
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #862,207
  • Dec 10, 2013 2:45am Dec 10, 2013 2:45am
Quoting ud1nh0
{quote} but they could just sold yen and bought dollars, then sold the dollars to invest in anything?rite?

like donating to my bitcoin address below or send me paypal in dollars...(then paypal freeze it )
14QDuJtV7okxhBzC86FwawaR6tV5LvetLq
  • #862,208
  • Dec 10, 2013 2:45am Dec 10, 2013 2:45am
Quoting ud1nh0
{quote} but they could just sold yen and bought dollars, then sold the dollars to invest in anything?rite?
who are those people that hate to see the dollar bullish?
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #862,209
  • Dec 10, 2013 2:46am Dec 10, 2013 2:46am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} who are those people that hate to see the dollar bullish?

the fed
14QDuJtV7okxhBzC86FwawaR6tV5LvetLq
  • #862,210
  • Edited 3:04am Dec 10, 2013 2:50am | Edited 3:04am
Quoting milam
{quote} Because atm dollar is much weaker then euro and sterling. Beside, breakout are not a sure sign of continuation...
buying more euro than the dollar is the cause which leads to the result of dollar being weaker than euro.
If UJ can break 104, it has very high chance to go to 110. It was knocked down from 104 once in May. Half year later now it tried twice still cannot break 104.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #862,211
  • Dec 10, 2013 2:51am Dec 10, 2013 2:51am
Quoting ud1nh0
school?
Yeh, school. Should be trading thread, but like 40% of time someone is explaining the very most basic things here. Yesterday it was brokers watching FF for SL . Actually it is funny, but very disturbing if you want to use thread for trading and reason why I have 200+ ppl on ignore.

Btw, dat EU, sick move. Needed to say here, I may have underestimated flow of foreign capital. Given fact US may taper (not in my books anytime soon, but lots of analysts expect so) and in the same time Europe is still in slump and had to act by cutting rates, which served to calm down speculative capital, as there is place to invest in high yielding assets (read PIGS bonds) with state guarantee (thats why I was so pissed of at Draghis conference when he boasted about superstrong EU and cost me). European assets are really a bit safer for the time beeing. Dunno how long can impact from ratecut last, actually cant count it and definitely not in these circumstances. But that resulted in strong inflow of foreign capital, which was btw mentioned at that press conference. It is not EU waking up, it is speculative capital flowing in and providing short term boost (well in fact seems may be mid term in the end, say 3 months+). How long will it be flowing in may be question now. The closer US moves to taper the more flow, the better negotiations with Iran, the more flow, there is more of it.

Funny thing, technically this is normal correction during peaking market, so we could be going down right now. But as we are having December rally + Year close and fund managers are gonna soon be leaving on vacations, market is running out of time to crash down, lets say he´s got like a week. Needed to say here, once speculative capital stops flowing in, for whatever reason (lets say strong Eur will push PIGS to the edge of collapse and that is very real threat), all thats left is a) outflow b) hide for a while into sectors EU is boosting - say banking sector, and that would be stocks buy and Eur sell, yet again.

So there will be fun. Hope I can make enough cash till then, so I can trade it accordingly .

Cya later,

T
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #862,212
  • Dec 10, 2013 2:53am Dec 10, 2013 2:53am
Quoting milam
{quote} Because atm dollar is much weaker then euro and sterling. Beside, breakout are not a sure sign of continuation...
Not only weak, it's a fking weak that not even push down 10 pips to impress sellers
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #862,213
  • Dec 10, 2013 3:03am Dec 10, 2013 3:03am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Yeh, school. Should be trading thread, but like 40% of time someone is explaining the very most basic things here. Yesterday it was brokers watching FF for SL . Actually it is funny, but very disturbing if you want to use thread for trading and reason why I have 200+ ppl on ignore. Btw, dat EU, sick move. Needed to say here, I may have underestimated flow of foreign capital. Given fact US may taper (not in my books anytime soon, but lots of analysts expect so) and in the same time Europe is still in slump and had to act by cutting rates,...
nice view T.
another view of ecb policy and taper/dectaper. worth of reading.
http://www.efxnews.com/story/21988/t...%28eFXnews+%29
14QDuJtV7okxhBzC86FwawaR6tV5LvetLq
  • #862,214
  • Dec 10, 2013 3:08am Dec 10, 2013 3:08am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} buying more euro than the dollar is the cause which leads to the result of dollar being weaker than euro. If UJ can break 104, it has very high chance to go to 110. It was knocked down from 104 once in May. Half year later now it tried twice still cannot break 104.
ffleo, what indicates that UJ may reach 110 if break 104. I am curious...would you share your thoughts in detail? thanks.
  • #862,215
  • Dec 10, 2013 3:15am Dec 10, 2013 3:15am
looking for a clear entry but markets not in mood .
so scalping some
MMMYYYKKK
  • #862,216
  • Dec 10, 2013 3:22am Dec 10, 2013 3:22am
Quoting testing3000
{quote} ffleo, what indicates that UJ may reach 110 if break 104. I am curious...would you share your thoughts in detail? thanks.
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ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #862,217
  • Dec 10, 2013 3:36am Dec 10, 2013 3:36am
Quoting testing3000
would you share your thoughts in detail? thanks.
I hope you wont mind me sharing my thoughts as well. Take it as mumbo of a guy who just burned half of his account.

Since Fukushinma, Japan has stopped like 50 nuclear powerplants. Moreover, masterplan of Abe san is to unlock country out of 20 years of deflation by doubling monetary base in two years. Thats actually quite a lot . So you got a) inflationary force given huge shift in trade balance, as now they need to import tons of Oil b) monetary base enhancement c) country locked in bad demographics given stagnant wages, rising costs of living (costs of energy) , so no new babies born + their culture (not actually great flow of of immigrants in Japan). c) will result in stagnant domestic market apart from the fiat ones. Although most of Japans debt is held by domestic companies, those are currently loosing hard (inflation) and those bonds are actually trading @ same place as when Abe started his new policy and already experienced one heavy sellof. It may all very well result in market panic and rush out of Japan.

So, combined with technical analysis, there is a space to go up to 111. Nevertheless, we ve already experienced quite a few retracements @ 100% this year, so I wouldnt exclude that one. Imo not easy to get in train and am actually a bit pissed of I missed it, cause was loading for 104 since Oct and got kicked out during ECB ratecut spike. Would like to add one of those 100% corrections was at time US was renegotiating debt ceiling, which is actually coming on schedule quite soon.

T
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #862,218
  • Dec 10, 2013 3:41am Dec 10, 2013 3:41am
There's a question that's been bugging me for a while, I was wondering if some sharp mind might know the answer... Here it goes:

If FED cannot be audited, is there any proof of them actually carrying out the announced strategies (tapering, QE, etc) besides watching a long term market reaction? In their position, one could be massively tempted to announce stuff, disrupt markets, harvest the naive and then do the exact opposite, or nothing at all (as opposed to what's been announced). Is there any mechanism that could technically prevent this?
  • #862,219
  • Dec 10, 2013 3:43am Dec 10, 2013 3:43am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} I hope you wont mind me sharing my thoughts as well. Take it as mumbo of a guy who just burned half of his account. Since Fukushinma, Japan has stopped like 50 nuclear powerplants. Moreover, masterplan of Abe san is to unlock country out of 20 years of deflation by doubling monetary base in two years. Thats actually quite a lot . So you got a) inflationary force given huge shift in trade balance, as now they need to import tons of Oil b) monetary base enhancement c) country locked in bad demographics given stagnant wages, rising costs...
Thanks. this mean we wait for the right moment to add LONG?
  • #862,220
  • Dec 10, 2013 3:44am Dec 10, 2013 3:44am
Quoting Kilgore T
There's a question that's been bugging me for a while, I was wondering if some sharp mind might know the answer... Here it goes: If FED cannot be audited, is there any proof of them actually carrying out the announced strategies (tapering, QE, etc) besides watching a long term market reaction? In their position, one could be massively tempted to announce stuff, disrupt markets, harvest the naive and then do the exact opposite, or nothing at all (as opposed to what's been announced). Is there any mechanism that could technically prevent this?
NO
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
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