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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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  • #71,061
  • Nov 29, 2013 1:07pm Nov 29, 2013 1:07pm
Quoting TraderPablo
{quote} been trading instead of talking....i sometimes trade 20x/day.... if i talk i miss..
Good plan. I should practice that
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #71,062
  • Nov 29, 2013 1:29pm Nov 29, 2013 1:29pm
Quoting PipTrapper
{quote} Good plan. I should practice that
try it tk small portions on one account and have another for LT.
  • #71,063
  • Nov 29, 2013 1:41pm Nov 29, 2013 1:41pm
Quoting PipTrapper
{quote} Consider yourself lucky no matter where you rank... Under the Cannabis Control Law in Japan, being caught with even a single joint can get you a five year prison sentence with some hard labor thrown in for good measure. In the Philippines, if you get caught growing weed, you’re looking at anything from life imprisonment to the death penalty. The Philippine Dangerous Drugs Act will make your life a living hell. One man was jailed for 15 years after being caught with two “sticks” (assumedly meaning joints) of marijuana. In Malaysia, planting...
Needless to say countries such as Malaysia, Philippines, Indonesia and such are highly corrupt, thus fair amount of bribe will get you off the hook
  • #71,064
  • Nov 29, 2013 2:55pm Nov 29, 2013 2:55pm
Quoting Paulenok
{quote} Needless to say countries such as Malaysia, Philippines, Indonesia and such are highly corrupt, thus fair amount of bribe will get you off the hook
I'm sure you're right, but wouldn't you rather be in an Amsterdam coffee shop costing you about €10 instead of in a Malaysian court back office forking out RM20,000 (approx €5000)?
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #71,065
  • Nov 29, 2013 3:08pm Nov 29, 2013 3:08pm
Quoted from the "other" thread.

Quoting Citiboy
Looks like I got here just on time, was about to post my monthly chart. Any thoughts? Good ol doji close! Am I missing how thats not a clear double top? Doesnt seem like many are pointing this out {image}

When fishing for brains, you must avoid cesspools
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #71,066
  • Nov 29, 2013 3:19pm Nov 29, 2013 3:19pm
Quoting PipTrapper
Quoted from the "other" thread. {quote} When fishing for brains, you must avoid cesspools


Haha, thats true. Just got my first ignore as well. *dances*
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #71,067
  • Nov 29, 2013 3:22pm Nov 29, 2013 3:22pm
Quoting Citiboy
{quote} Haha, thats true. Just got my first ignore as well. *dances*
I have to partially retract that comment as I found a nice golden nugget there. It must have fallen in the cesspool while passing by.

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Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #71,068
  • Nov 29, 2013 3:56pm Nov 29, 2013 3:56pm
DAILY CHART....
big decisions next week..
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my main map..
  • #71,069
  • Nov 29, 2013 4:09pm Nov 29, 2013 4:09pm
Quoting chess king
DAILY CHART.... big decisions next week..{image} my main map..
Oh yes. It's going to be a rocking week, especially with Draghi on Thursday and NFP on Friday.

So go have a nice relaxing weekend and don't think about it too much.

Cheers
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #71,070
  • Nov 29, 2013 4:22pm Nov 29, 2013 4:22pm
Quoting PipTrapper
{quote} Oh yes. It's going to be a rocking week, especially with Draghi on Thursday and NFP on Friday. So go have a nice relaxing weekend and don't think about it too much. Cheers
thanks for the advice friend ...
yes hopefully save energy ..
good weekend..
  • #71,071
  • Nov 29, 2013 5:34pm Nov 29, 2013 5:34pm
Quoting PipTrapper
{quote} Thanks Scott. I like door #3 {image}
this is about 38% from 1361-1227=1278
but if 1278 goes higher we could see 62% which is 1309
Wooooohooooo or Boooooohooooo
  • #71,072
  • Nov 29, 2013 9:16pm Nov 29, 2013 9:16pm
Quoting gnomoneey
{quote} this is about 38% from 1361-1227=1278 but if 1278 goes higher we could see 62% which is 1309
Very astute G.

These levels are important to watch for reaction for a potential trade, but also because their failure is often a signal as well.
The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #71,073
  • Nov 29, 2013 9:37pm Nov 29, 2013 9:37pm
I think fundamentals with catch up with the euro. It's still growing less than the US. Higher is possible, but momentum is waning. Correction will be deep.
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When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #71,074
  • Nov 30, 2013 2:06am Nov 30, 2013 2:06am
Eurozone youth unemployment reaches record high of 24.4%
http://www.theguardian.com/business/...high-under-25s
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #71,075
  • Nov 30, 2013 11:38am Nov 30, 2013 11:38am
EU - Monthly is still Long.............

Weekly is going to retest the last high in October - nearing a top, but not yet...........

Daily is long and ADX is showing Strong Long at the moment........

H4 Is topping - Bollinger band squeeze is about to take place .

Small retrace and continue long is in the picture for now.............
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The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #71,076
  • Nov 30, 2013 12:34pm Nov 30, 2013 12:34pm
Quoting forexalien
EU - Monthly is still Long............. Weekly is going to retest the last high in October - nearing a top, but not yet........... Daily is long and ADX is showing Strong Long at the moment........ H4 Is topping - Bollinger band squeeze is about to take place . Small retrace and continue long is in the picture for now............. {image} {image}
Thanks for your update Alien.
Technically after a small pullback, the Euro has potential to revisit the October 2011 highs.
However, the fundamental outlook is in extreme disagreement with that projection.
That's what makes this pair so frustrating.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #71,077
  • Nov 30, 2013 1:13pm Nov 30, 2013 1:13pm
Fundamentally to me Euro is overvalued and I see 1.33 and lower.
I am short from 3605 2x
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #71,078
  • Nov 30, 2013 1:23pm Nov 30, 2013 1:23pm
Quoting PipTrapper
{quote} Thanks for your update Alien. Technically after a small pullback, the Euro has potential to revisit the October 2011 highs. However, the fundamental outlook is in extreme disagreement with that projection. That's what makes this pair so frustrating.

Its already known that Draghi wants Euro lower if any chance of recovery and this alone is enough "signal" to short much like Aussie recent drop.
I am short and confident about it.
Regards
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #71,079
  • Nov 30, 2013 1:32pm Nov 30, 2013 1:32pm
I don't think NFP will have it's usual affect, as I believe Draghi on Thursday is going to really shake things up. The only way I see NFP shaking things up would be huge upside numbers. Would not be surprised to see 1.3250 by the end of the week, but what do I know ? I am short and not adding unless we hit 1.3700. I will scale into more shorts on the way down if we start to head south. We shall see.
  • #71,080
  • Nov 30, 2013 1:43pm Nov 30, 2013 1:43pm
Quoting britc17
I don't think NFP will have it's usual affect, as I believe Draghi on Thursday is going to really shake things up. The only way I see NFP shaking things up would be huge upside numbers. Would not be surprised to see 1.3250 by the end of the week, but what do I know ? I am short and not adding unless we hit 1.3700. I will scale into more shorts on the way down if we start to head south. We shall see.
considering this is the most important NFP in the last 5 year, I somewhat disagree. This NFP basically decides if we have tapering in December, or March. Which then decides the steepness of the tightening cycle.

We saw the Aug print at 169k which put of the Sep Taper, and now we need to see strong Nov NFP (and revisions) to see a Dec Taper.

Going to be a highly watched number, draghi may not be as important as he's unlikely to do anything the month after a rate cut.
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