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  • #858,281
  • Nov 29, 2013 5:43am Nov 29, 2013 5:43am
Well, the US holiday has completely killed trading in this pair, I'll be amazed if it moves more than 10 pips from here.
  • #858,282
  • Nov 29, 2013 5:45am Nov 29, 2013 5:45am
Quoting Paulenok
{quote} If RBA cuts rates on Monday, your target will be reached in no time, sir
Very much doubt RBA will do anything this round markets have done pretty good job for them but hey never say never. In case of no rate cut expecting a spike 50-80 pips then trend should prevail. Probably RBNZ will cut the rate before RBA.
  • #858,283
  • Nov 29, 2013 5:55am Nov 29, 2013 5:55am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Very much doubt RBA will do anything this round markets have done pretty good job for them but hey never say never. In case of no rate cut expecting a spike 50-80 pips then trend should prevail. Probably RBNZ will cut the rate before RBA.
RBA will leave rates unchanged.

The falling AUD will do the job in the short term.
Even the worst trade can close with profit. Just give it time.
  • #858,284
  • Nov 29, 2013 5:56am Nov 29, 2013 5:56am
Quoting rattyo
{quote} Rooi I wouldn't worry about it. There is no way Morgan Stanley traders would be telling us about there positions in the market.
Sure they do and they do it all the time ... they have clients and investors, they also have in house technical and fundamental analysis, which includes trades recommendations! But this is not the point. The point is and this goes for MR Rooi is Morgan stanely doesn't have one trader or one managed account. Which means the statement " Morgan stanley is selling X amount of whatever " is invalid! Because 100 lots is nothing in this business or for this bank and on a leverage of 5 - which is absurd in the currency market he would only need 2 Million dollar!
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #858,285
  • Nov 29, 2013 6:15am Nov 29, 2013 6:15am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Account leverage 1 : 1,300 ?
1:131 not sure what the relevance of the SL is though - it doesn't factor
  • #858,286
  • Nov 29, 2013 6:18am Nov 29, 2013 6:18am
Really kicking myself for taking out a week long option and not a 2/3 week, should have known this pair was going to be stubborn
  • #858,287
  • Nov 29, 2013 6:22am Nov 29, 2013 6:22am
Quoting Ken A
EUR/AUD 1.538x ? {image}
possible re-test 1,510 i see
Number of Days without an idiotic request: 0
  • #858,288
  • Nov 29, 2013 6:26am Nov 29, 2013 6:26am
Friday 32m from NY open , 25 pips range?
That which does not kill us makes us stronger
  • #858,289
  • Nov 29, 2013 6:27am Nov 29, 2013 6:27am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} 1:131 not sure what the relevance of the SL is though - it doesn't factor
Yes 50 lots = 5 mil units. If 150 pips ($75K) SL included in $38K, account leverage is 1:-131

Edit: you are right, no it doesn't make sense
  • #858,290
  • Nov 29, 2013 6:29am Nov 29, 2013 6:29am
Quoting bennyblanco
Really kicking myself for taking out a week long option and not a 2/3 week, should have known this pair was going to be stubborn
with such low volatility the only short options worth playing are short strangles etc. which rely on the price not moving much, but these carry unlimited risk and limited profit - so it is not a time for short term options.....
  • #858,291
  • Nov 29, 2013 6:34am Nov 29, 2013 6:34am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} with such low volatility the only short options worth playing are short strangles etc. which rely on the price not moving much, but these carry unlimited risk and limited profit - so it is not a time for short term options.....
Yep, going to try again on Monday with 3 week options this time. No way would I try the short strangle, not worth the risk imo
  • #858,292
  • Nov 29, 2013 6:43am Nov 29, 2013 6:43am
20min then we will "hopefully" see a bit of direction out of the old lady

Like I said.I favor the top side
Attached Image
We miss 100% of the shots we don't take
  • #858,293
  • Nov 29, 2013 6:58am Nov 29, 2013 6:58am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Yes 50 lots = 5 mil units. If 150 pips ($75K) SL included in $38K, account leverage is 1:-131 Edit: you are right, no it doesn't make sense
Guess it must be position in EUR and margin in USD, + - rounding. Taking all to same ccy. that would be 1:100
  • #858,294
  • Nov 29, 2013 7:16am Nov 29, 2013 7:16am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} nice chart. it has a nice time stamp with a atm level.. just click the post..
you need to learn some reading skills. the trend reversal talk was on the long side...i.e. from short to long at that level.. lol.
  • #858,295
  • Nov 29, 2013 7:16am Nov 29, 2013 7:16am
Anybody study this pattern?
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That which does not kill us makes us stronger
  • #858,296
  • Nov 29, 2013 7:20am Nov 29, 2013 7:20am
Still holding long for now.
  • #858,297
  • Nov 29, 2013 7:29am Nov 29, 2013 7:29am
Rats reporting for duty.....

Holding shorts now. I must be crazy!
rat
  • #858,298
  • Nov 29, 2013 7:31am Nov 29, 2013 7:31am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Account leverage 1 : 1,300 ?
yes thats correct Ken
rat
  • #858,299
  • Nov 29, 2013 7:34am Nov 29, 2013 7:34am
i wonder if it will make some kind of decent move before weekend
  • #858,300
  • Nov 29, 2013 7:37am Nov 29, 2013 7:37am
Quoting attila
{quote} you need to learn some reading skills. the trend reversal talk was on the long side...i.e. from short to long at that level.. lol.

*LMFAO*
really? dont explain it to me. i really didn't/dont care. i just put it out there so others can understand your addition.. your own chart showed the current irt level that agreed with the timeline at post time. at 3449 + 200 is 3649 or 200 pips.. i am sorry to say atm we still haven't got there. fuzzy math is a trend..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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