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EURUSD

  • #849,721
  • Nov 1, 2013 1:01pm Nov 1, 2013 1:01pm
some thoughts / pretty charts on ECB

http://macrocredit.blogspot.co.uk/20...b-in-view.html
  • #849,722
  • Nov 1, 2013 1:06pm Nov 1, 2013 1:06pm
Quoting Schickeria
{quote} 3832-3481 = 351 green Pips cashed EDIT: EURUSD LONG 1.3481
wow gj!!!i'm also long but it's late.. tp will be close for me
  • #849,723
  • Nov 1, 2013 1:07pm Nov 1, 2013 1:07pm
Quoting JeremyWS
some thoughts / pretty charts on ECB http://macrocredit.blogspot.co.uk/20...b-in-view.html
nice blog
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #849,724
  • Nov 1, 2013 1:13pm Nov 1, 2013 1:13pm
Almost done for this fantastic week.
It seems in this forum EVERYONE was winning a great amount of money.
No losers at all!
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #849,725
  • Nov 1, 2013 1:14pm Nov 1, 2013 1:14pm
ho my god, is ready to fly now, is it coming back from his death, reborn !? ...it seems the return of the king ! -(
  • #849,726
  • Nov 1, 2013 1:16pm Nov 1, 2013 1:16pm
its all depending on if that was support or not. if it was definition wise, we missed a hammer on the month usdx.. the upper shadow shoild 10% or less. this one is about 15%.. i still wouldn't trade a holding position against it. usd
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #849,727
  • Nov 1, 2013 1:17pm Nov 1, 2013 1:17pm
Quoting KillerWhale
Almost done for this fantastic week. It seems in this forum EVERYONE was winning a great amount of money. No losers at all!

just the rock throwers.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #849,728
  • Nov 1, 2013 1:19pm Nov 1, 2013 1:19pm
Quoting Schickeria
{quote} 3832-3481 = 351 green Pips cashed EDIT: EURUSD LONG 1.3481
TP on your long? Just curious..
  • #849,729
  • Nov 1, 2013 1:19pm Nov 1, 2013 1:19pm
Quoting ffleo
{quote} do not forget your spinning arrow indicator {image}

its a wheel
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #849,730
  • Nov 1, 2013 1:20pm Nov 1, 2013 1:20pm
dow jones usd
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ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #849,731
  • Nov 1, 2013 1:21pm Nov 1, 2013 1:21pm
Quoting Myo
bought at 829 with a 5 pip sl
out at 935 for +10,6
  • #849,732
  • Nov 1, 2013 1:28pm Nov 1, 2013 1:28pm
A flurry of sell side research on ECB coming through now

EURUSD will likely trade heavily as long as ECB easing is a concern, with the AQR offering support if these concerns fade - Morgan Stanley
The initial impact of any rate cut is likely to be EUR negative in our view, particularly bearish in the short term - Morgan Stanley
We believe a refi rate cut on its own would have limited impact, given that Eonia already trades closer to the deposit rate - Morgan Stanley
An LTRO too would have limited impact as banks prepare for the AQR and do not wish to expand their balance sheets - Morgan Stanley
The largest impact on EUR would likely be a refi and deposit rate cut together - Morgan Stanley

The euro is overvalued by about 14% against the dollar and by about 5% on a trade-weighted basis - Goldman
A 25bp rate cut from the ECB could move EUR/USD down by about 5 big figures, but $1.33 would be a buying opportunity - Goldman

The ECB will cut the refi rate by 25bp at next week’s meeting, not so much because of concerns over falling inflation – which will likely stabilize in the course of 2014 - BofA

Indeed, the ECB has been reluctant to address the deteriorating inflation outlook for a while, and the EONIA curve has steepened on the back of ECB’s forward guidance discussion, suggesting the efficacy of forward guidance is limited. By cutting the refi, the ECB will underline that it is vigilant - BofA

edit : more

- UBS: Now expect 25bp refi rate cut and a 50bp marginal lending rate cut at Nov meeting.
- BAML: Believe ECB will cut refi rate by 25bp next week, but will refrain from cutting the deposit rate. Inflation likely to remain at low levels, therefore no need for ECB to move after next week's cut.
- BNP: Now expect a refi rate cut of 25bp before year-end.
- JPM: Now expect 25bp refi rate cut in December. - RBC: Do not look for ECB to lower rates in the near term.
- Barclays: ECB to remain on hold. Wait for inflation forecasts at Dec meeting.
- CS: Should leave door open for possible rate cut in Dec when 2014/15 inflation forecasts are announced.
- RBS: Now expect 25bp refi rate cut in November, with a 50bp cut in marginal lending rate, while deposit rate remains unchanged.
  • #849,733
  • Nov 1, 2013 1:30pm Nov 1, 2013 1:30pm
Quoting ffleo
{quote} that is funny, you put me on ignore, and you still read my post and argue with me.
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} It's called love....feelings are not easily removed, it needs time for both parties

Quoting Miguel.N
{quote} ...or maybe some lonely guys are here looking for bromance !?
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} what a shitty thing to say
only shitty mentality don't understand humor !
  • #849,734
  • Nov 1, 2013 1:37pm Nov 1, 2013 1:37pm
Quoting ffleo
{quote} do not forget your spinning arrow indicator {image}

i only use a bow like this one ! -)
Attached Image
  • #849,735
  • Nov 1, 2013 2:07pm Nov 1, 2013 2:07pm
Quoting JeremyWS
A flurry of sell side research on ECB coming through now EURUSD will likely trade heavily as long as ECB easing is a concern, with the AQR offering support if these concerns fade - Morgan Stanley The initial impact of any rate cut is likely to be EUR negative in our view, particularly bearish in the short term - Morgan Stanley We believe a refi rate cut on its own would have limited impact, given that Eonia already trades closer to the deposit rate - Morgan Stanley An LTRO too would have limited impact as banks prepare for the AQR and do not wish...

good. fundies catching up with techs.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #849,736
  • Nov 1, 2013 2:09pm Nov 1, 2013 2:09pm
Quoting Miguel.N
{quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} only shitty mentality don't understand humor !

i cold draw 2 stick men to illustrate.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #849,737
  • Nov 1, 2013 2:11pm Nov 1, 2013 2:11pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i cold draw 2 stick men to illustrate.

i said stickmen

Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #849,738
  • Nov 1, 2013 2:19pm Nov 1, 2013 2:19pm
A new word to learn.
http://www.google.it/search?q=broman...5QeGpdQ8scM%3A
Per aspera ad astra
  • #849,739
  • Nov 1, 2013 2:25pm Nov 1, 2013 2:25pm
USD/CHF DAILY CHART

Be carefull about down-trend line. We may see 0.8966 in 2 weeks.
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  • #849,740
  • Nov 1, 2013 2:45pm Nov 1, 2013 2:45pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} good. fundies catching up with techs.
Am I to take that you place as much value on fundies as I do?

ZERO

Worthless rant and bullshit.
But fantastic if you are looking for a hindsight indicator....
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