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EURUSD

  • #847,141
  • Oct 25, 2013 6:20am Oct 25, 2013 6:20am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} This is going to 1.45 then see how it reacts there

  • #847,142
  • Oct 25, 2013 6:21am Oct 25, 2013 6:21am
Quoting giveachance
{quote}
control bro. it, sometimes, happens. let it go... breath
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  • #847,143
  • Oct 25, 2013 6:22am Oct 25, 2013 6:22am
*germany's DAX rises above 9,000 points for first time

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  • #847,144
  • Oct 25, 2013 6:24am Oct 25, 2013 6:24am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} This is going to 1.45 then see how it reacts there
1.4439 is a target here, 1.4440 a huge mid.
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  • #847,145
  • Oct 25, 2013 6:26am Oct 25, 2013 6:26am
Quoting Mr Hatch
{quote} 1.4439 is a target here, 1.4440 a huge mid. {image}
Took a short scalp but not holding.
  • #847,146
  • Oct 25, 2013 6:28am Oct 25, 2013 6:28am
Sources: 'hesitancy' at ecb , but negative rate move still possible
  • #847,147
  • Oct 25, 2013 6:30am Oct 25, 2013 6:30am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Took a short scalp but not holding.
Let's see, where H4 closes.
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  • #847,148
  • Oct 25, 2013 6:34am Oct 25, 2013 6:34am
Quoting Mr Hatch
{quote} Let's see, where H4 closes. {image}
Watching at today's open

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  • #847,149
  • Oct 25, 2013 6:35am Oct 25, 2013 6:35am
Quoting Miguel.N
{image}

yesterday the rocket was crashing correct. you added fuel to it?
  • #847,150
  • Oct 25, 2013 6:36am Oct 25, 2013 6:36am
We are at 5/8 resistance on monthly chart + 61.8 AB-CD target + yearly pivot area, on the weekly chart 1.27 extension is at 1.3970. I know people are not trading the higher timeframes but its good to know where the levels are. It is natural to expect a bounce from this area in the form of any pattern or just trading off 1.3830 level in the smaller timeframes. Its not the best place to go long unless is some type of scalping trade with tight stops.
Cheers.
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  • #847,151
  • Oct 25, 2013 6:37am Oct 25, 2013 6:37am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Watching at today's open {image}
do you have a micro-setup for 44826? If so, 4289.6 is worth a look.
  • #847,152
  • Oct 25, 2013 6:39am Oct 25, 2013 6:39am
Quoting Miguel.N
{image}
In which you want to sit. we are in center, gravty of power big zero.
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Good thoughts and actions can never produce bad results.
  • #847,153
  • Oct 25, 2013 6:40am Oct 25, 2013 6:40am
Buy guys, i'll sell your orders
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #847,154
  • Oct 25, 2013 6:43am Oct 25, 2013 6:43am
Quoting Mr Hatch
{quote} do you have a micro-setup for 44826? If so, 4289.6 is worth a look.
No but will mark that on the chart.
  • #847,155
  • Oct 25, 2013 6:47am Oct 25, 2013 6:47am
Morgan stanley Spot FX desk update for those interested. Can post Deutsche's if anyone wants, but its pretty similar.

Morgan Stanley London Spot Desk:

EURUSD: Support - 1.3750, 1.3710, 1.3640 Resistance - 1.3835, 1.3870, 1.3970 Attempts lower continue to be met with demand and as such we remain pinned towards the highs. No real change in view from me here from yesterday, still think things are a bit stretched for now thus I favour trading tactically for a correction looking for the RSI’s to flip back into neutral territory. Topside still constrained by the 1.3835 fibo level I spoke of yesterday which should continue to frustrate longs ahead of the German Ifo data at 9.00 BST. Remain small short here.


AUD: Support - 0.9570 Resistance - 0.9630
AUD/NZD: Support - 1.15 Resistance - 1.1620 Well advertised strikes in AUD today at 0.96 will keep spot contained in a 0.9570-0.9630 range. Overall, I don't see a clear trade here. For choice, sell rallies on the day, but this market remains pretty random. Maintaining longs in AUD/CAD. In kiwi, I don't think Wheeler's comments were all that groundbreaking, but a dovish Fed allows other central banks to adopt less aggressive stances. As a result, yields came off a bit, but I don't think it's something we chase in the currency. If anything, look to buy dips in AUD/NZD down to 1.15.


JPY: Support - 96.50 Resistance - 98
USD/JPY following the performance of Asian stock markets, particularly the Nikkei which has put in some dismal performances of late. With US 10s at 2.51 I don't really see a catalyst for USD/JPY to rally. Talk of large Japanese bids on a 96 handle are preventing us from collapsing, but I get the impression the market is long more than the locals have to buy. Looks like we will soon be testing this theory. Square here, no interest in fighting the dollar move at present.


USDCAD: Support - 1.0380, 1.0300 Resistance - 1.0420, 1.0450 Repeptive but an important shift from the BofC on wednesday and I still see value in being short CAD. I remain core long USDCAD and look to add on dips, 1.0380-90 the first level I am bearing in mind. Short term stops were done through 1.0420 yesterday. In addition, I saw good buying interest from real money names towards the London close. Also looking to buy EURCAD on dips today, 1.3320-30 first level I am watching then 1.4250 level below.


EURSEK: Support - 8.75, 8.7250 Resistance - 8.80, 8.82
EURNOK: Support - 8.08, 8.05 Resistance - 8.16, 8.1850 After all that, pretty much nothing out of either the Riksbank or Norges bank yesterday. So where does that take the scandies from here? In my opinion, we return back to the boredom that is range trading on the wides 8.70-8.82 in EURSEK and 8.05-8.1650 in EURNOK. Only point of interest is the forward-looking data out of Sweden this morning at 8:15am London time. ETS and confidence data have been the only bright spots in a plethora of weak prints for Sweden recently. In my opinion, the technical set-up is pretty clear with the daily trendline closing level at 8.7990 today, on weak data preference is to buy EURSEK and then use this level as a strict stop. On a weaker or in-line print, tactically biased to sell EURSEK on rallies for the day, once again utilising the mentioned level as topside stop for shorts.
  • #847,156
  • Oct 25, 2013 6:51am Oct 25, 2013 6:51am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} No but will mark that on the chart.
I'm still waiting in G/U for a break og 611x for 5868.3.
  • #847,157
  • Oct 25, 2013 6:55am Oct 25, 2013 6:55am
Quoting KiwiTrada
{quote} Im always trying to short this trollop, agree RR is south, but do see little room above looking monthly, but for now usd is kicking some butt, whenever she kicks cad$ you know there is some grunt behind it, been surprised euro been reluctant to take a hit tho, also agree been good trading yen (geppy,) presently mid equilateral triangle, 50/50 waiting for a BO and on 4hr she is mid rising channel, so BO triangle could converge with rising channel bo down aka bearflag end of week time to ease up and enjoy rewards, dont want or need catch every...

Completely agree bro.. I have a nice long in usdcad from 1.0345 and I'm looking for a break above yearly high. She can move 3-400 pips straight once she starts going. its usually a straight line and also with oil tanking it should be a nice trade
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  • #847,158
  • Oct 25, 2013 7:01am Oct 25, 2013 7:01am
Quoting FXMastermind
Morning fellas, bitch is not getting me today. Booked 30 pips and might reload higher, if we get there. {image}
Oops, I did it again. Moving SL to BE.

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  • #847,159
  • Oct 25, 2013 7:03am Oct 25, 2013 7:03am
Quoting chazzle
looking for 16170
buying a dip there
  • #847,160
  • Oct 25, 2013 7:06am Oct 25, 2013 7:06am
short on EU 3820 & cable @ 6237 . watching 79.38 here
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