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  • #64,561
  • Sep 10, 2013 12:37am Sep 10, 2013 12:37am
AUS_Sep the Son of Bitch i was Hold inDIP side and move ZiqZaq But now Running up n up even dont move 50 pips down side Finally I bok my Lose its BAD of the year for me B cz i didnt lost my money as much as 2day i closed my trade with lose ....................... >_< Big Big Lose
  • #64,562
  • Sep 10, 2013 12:40am Sep 10, 2013 12:40am
Quoting SpartanTrade
I really don't understand why so many think that the aussie fundamentally belongs where it is let alone sub 88-85. 1. China is not collapsing in terms of its manufacturing 2. Resources boom has not ended and will not end in the next decade 3. Everyone has been bearish already pricing in lower rates/poor growth etc for quite some time 4. Acceptable GDP this year will bounce to somewhere around 4.5-5% next year 5. New gov't = less taxation = increased investment = increased employment etc etc Fundamentally as much as it hurts our export markets AUD...

That is fine and all...but even the RBA themselves saids that the aussie is still at high level. The RBA would like to see it lower and can still cut rates to lower it.
  • #64,563
  • Sep 10, 2013 12:47am Sep 10, 2013 12:47am
Quoting Doboy408
{quote} That is fine and all...but even the RBA themselves saids that the aussie is still at high level. The RBA would like to see it lower and can still cut rates to lower it.
Consensus has dramatically reversed in the last week or so with what was another rate cut early next year to now being a rate increase mid-late next year. People are sorely mistaken about our RBA. They started cutting way too late so they have been playing catchup. The likelihood is that the next move will be up people.
  • #64,564
  • Sep 10, 2013 12:50am Sep 10, 2013 12:50am
Quoting Doboy408
{quote} That is fine and all...but even the RBA themselves saids that the aussie is still at high level. The RBA would like to see it lower and can still cut rates to lower it.
But that is only temporary. Look at the US dollar. Up big in relative terms since the meltdown given near zero rates.

The RBA can cut rates. Unfortunately, currency is traded on the open market that will always set the price over the long term.

It's like blaming the president because oil prices are so high. He can aim to control it with policies or whatever, but in the end markets control it the direction.

The US paying more for WTI for shite happening in Syria
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #64,565
  • Sep 10, 2013 12:51am Sep 10, 2013 12:51am
Quoting Malik taxila
AUS_Sep the Son of Bitch i was Hold inDIP side and move ZiqZaq But now Running up n up even dont move 50 pips down side Finally I bok my Lose its BAD of the year for me B cz i didnt lost my money as much as 2day i closed my trade with lose ....................... >_< Big Big Lose
Sorry to hear. Why so much risk on the shortside (any side for that matter)
It makes me scratch my head cause I can actually feel the emotion in peoples words, the despair because they lose so much.
  • #64,566
  • Sep 10, 2013 12:54am Sep 10, 2013 12:54am
if broke 9330 next target 9484 - 9500 but before that happens I think that will be flat correction
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  • #64,567
  • Sep 10, 2013 12:57am Sep 10, 2013 12:57am
Quoting SpartanTrade
{quote} Sorry to hear. Why so much risk on the shortside (any side for that matter) It makes me scratch my head cause I can actually feel the emotion in peoples words, the despair because they lose so much.
Some people convince themselves to the point that it's all they can see
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #64,568
  • Sep 10, 2013 12:59am Sep 10, 2013 12:59am
Quoting SpartanTrade
{quote} Sorry to hear. Why so much risk on the shortside (any side for that matter) It makes me scratch my head cause I can actually feel the emotion in peoples words, the despair because they lose so much.

I was with short from 9104/ 8665 and AUS movement was rang but last week after holding near 89xx to 88xx aus kick Up
and also CAD_sep move up side and then my bad day start >_< i bok my big lose which i didnt got b4 .. but any way its a part of Buz i hope i will recover it soon may b next week
  • #64,569
  • Sep 10, 2013 1:05am Sep 10, 2013 1:05am
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  • #64,570
  • Sep 10, 2013 1:08am Sep 10, 2013 1:08am
Quoting Malik taxila
{quote} I was with short from 9104/ 8665 and AUS movement was rang but last week after holding near 89xx to 88xx aus kick Up and also CAD_sep move up side and then my bad day start >_< i bok my big lose which i didnt got b4 .. but any way its a part of Buz i hope i will recover it soon may b next week
Best of luck
  • #64,571
  • Sep 10, 2013 1:09am Sep 10, 2013 1:09am
I looked back on the daily to Sept 2010 - and what did I spot there?
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  • #64,572
  • Sep 10, 2013 1:11am Sep 10, 2013 1:11am
We are going to re-test .9220 in the next 5-7 hours imo.
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  • #64,573
  • Sep 10, 2013 1:13am Sep 10, 2013 1:13am
Quoting SpartanTrade
{quote} Sorry to hear. Why so much risk on the shortside (any side for that matter) It makes me scratch my head cause I can actually feel the emotion in peoples words, the despair because they lose so much.
Rule #1...

Well doesn't necessarily have to be rule number 1, but definitely one of the big ones...

Don't allow emotions to affect your trading.
  • #64,574
  • Sep 10, 2013 1:44am Sep 10, 2013 1:44am
  •  EDG
  • | Joined Feb 2007 | Status: Nothing is fixed. Keep an open mind | 229 Posts
aud on profit-taking atm... with the retracement break below 9230 puts in at risk of approaching 9180 and if broken down will likely put it on reversal mode with the inital support at 9120..
Hindsight is useless if you never learn anything out from it
  • #64,575
  • Sep 10, 2013 1:57am Sep 10, 2013 1:57am
iIi would like it to break this trend an retest then fail,

expecting abounce

but it could change in a min so dont even know why im posting,.,

heres that trend if yous aint on it
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  • #64,576
  • Sep 10, 2013 2:01am Sep 10, 2013 2:01am
Good Morning !
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FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #64,577
  • Sep 10, 2013 2:07am Sep 10, 2013 2:07am
interesting thread. So Spartan you are Aussie? You have your own analysis on why it may go up the skies and I respect that... in the end the mk will do what the mk will do right?

I wonder if you guys know a better way of getting to actually listen to the FX news rather than clicking F5 on FF? I see other traders had issues as wel of getting the values too late....
  • #64,578
  • Sep 10, 2013 2:16am Sep 10, 2013 2:16am
Quoting sfx-_-
iIi would like it to break this trend an retest then fail, expecting abounce but it could change in a min so dont even know why im posting,., heres that trend if yous aint on it {image}
I see support @.9206, then bounce up. (if this support is broken on H4 we go down for at least 50pips imo)

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  • #64,579
  • Sep 10, 2013 2:24am Sep 10, 2013 2:24am
Quoting thewriter30
interesting thread. So Spartan you are Aussie? You have your own analysis on why it may go up the skies and I respect that... in the end the mk will do what the mk will do right? I wonder if you guys know a better way of getting to actually listen to the FX news rather than clicking F5 on FF? I see other traders had issues as wel of getting the values too late....
Sure am an Aussie!, The market is always right
  • #64,580
  • Sep 10, 2013 2:27am Sep 10, 2013 2:27am
The "Old Forex Pro's" favorite moving average:

Guys, pull up the 60min and daily charts right now at 3:21am on 9/10/2013 for the aud/usd and Eur/aud. Look at the 72 moving average on the 4 charts. Is it unreal the way price respects that average and it rarely gets "tangled up" with it, known as whipsawing for long. My research shows this avg will produce the highest profit setups of any other avg for 2013. An old man of about 77 who has a piece of a hedge fund gave this to me years ago and I never believed him until now. It actually predicts and then LEADS the way up or down on either the 60 or daily. Why not get confirmation on both? I'd like those of you who are intrigued with this to PM ME AND LET ME KNOW YOUR RESULTS using the system you now have, but with the 72ma as the last qualifier. Meaning: Price doesnt have to be touching anything. It juts has to be on the right side of the 72 to be ok to trade it. And obviously yu can see on the hrly you get plenty of 500 pip runners with this avg. Remember...these 2 time frames only for best results!
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