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EUR/CHF

  • #11,041
  • Sep 6, 2013 3:14am Sep 6, 2013 3:14am
Quoting holmes
Wow, CHF is as a mad lion to start gaining against all pairs so is with the Euro.
like the JPY...I think we will have an interesting 15 minutes after NFP
  • #11,042
  • Sep 6, 2013 3:49am Sep 6, 2013 3:49am
Quoting pipxster
{quote} like the JPY...I think we will have an interesting 15 minutes after NFP
Up

Down

Up

Down
  • #11,043
  • Sep 6, 2013 4:03am Sep 6, 2013 4:03am
everyone think NFP is gonna be make or break for the pair then?

If its good is 1.24 going to go with 1.24330 also?
  • #11,044
  • Sep 6, 2013 5:32am Sep 6, 2013 5:32am
Quoting brinks
everyone think NFP is gonna be make or break for the pair then? If its good is 1.24 going to go with 1.24330 also?
I would never bet on breaching R2 from the PP in one session.

R2 - 1.24290
  • #11,045
  • Sep 6, 2013 5:42am Sep 6, 2013 5:42am
Quoting Lover Man
{quote} I would never bet on breaching R2 from the PP in one session. R2 - 1.24290
40 pips from here LM not impossible is it
  • #11,046
  • Sep 6, 2013 6:27am Sep 6, 2013 6:27am
Quoting brinks
everyone think NFP is gonna be make or break for the pair then? If its good is 1.24 going to go with 1.24330 also?
I think any NFP result (good or bad) - could trigger any direction (e.g. good data -> downmove -> profit taking) lets see when the dust settles in + 30 minutes
  • #11,047
  • Sep 6, 2013 6:36am Sep 6, 2013 6:36am
Quoting brinks
{quote} 40 pips from here LM not impossible is it
Well nothing is impossible. I would just not bet on the less probable. R2 is breached rarely. It is breached. Just not often.

Saying all this NFP usually causes crazy action when the results are very different to what is expected.
  • #11,048
  • Sep 6, 2013 7:25am Sep 6, 2013 7:25am
As a day trader I would never trade on NFP days. So I'll admit to being a bit worried....
  • #11,049
  • Sep 6, 2013 7:50am Sep 6, 2013 7:50am
Quoting Lover Man
As a day trader I would never trade on NFP days. So I'll admit to being a bit worried....
As usual, it came back the 1,2375 level after the first drop. So i could close my longs. I will wait for lower level to buy again.

This is not the first time with EC during NFP.

If there is a wrong number, droping, and came back, and drop again.

If there is good number, rally, came back, and rally again.

You have only a few seconds to buy or sell, but it works.
  • #11,050
  • Sep 6, 2013 7:51am Sep 6, 2013 7:51am
Looks to me like USD CHF has found support at the 0.94 level.

EUR CHF has found support at S1 = 1.2363.
  • #11,051
  • Sep 6, 2013 8:00am Sep 6, 2013 8:00am
So today's D1 bar is still smaller than yesterday's - this looks Bullish.

USD CHF could stay above 0.94 - this looks Bullish.
  • #11,052
  • Sep 6, 2013 8:07am Sep 6, 2013 8:07am
Quoting Lover Man
So today's D1 bar is still smaller than yesterday's - this looks Bullish. USD CHF could stay above 0.94 - this looks Bullish.
The day hasnt finished yet LM
  • #11,053
  • Edited 8:28am Sep 6, 2013 8:15am | Edited 8:28am
Quoting Simon73
{quote} As usual, it came back the 1,2375 level after the first drop. So i could close my longs. I will wait for lower level to buy again. This is not the first time with EC during NFP. If there is a wrong number, droping, and came back, and drop again. If there is good number, rally, came back, and rally again. You have only a few seconds to buy or sell, but it works.
Hi Simon dont you think this time could be different as -8k in NFP wont affect the next FED decision on taper on taper off
The figures are still good in general. Market could realise that...
  • #11,054
  • Sep 6, 2013 8:23am Sep 6, 2013 8:23am
Quoting brinks
{quote} The day hasnt finished yet LM
Roger that Brinks.

The US markets wake up soon. We could rise from here and we could fall. I'm firmly on the fence but still holding onto my Longs.
  • #11,055
  • Edited 8:48am Sep 6, 2013 8:26am | Edited 8:48am
Quoting Lover Man
{quote} Roger that Brinks. The US markets wake up soon. We could rise from here and we could fall. I'm firmly on the fence but still holding onto my Longs.

Yep i dont blame you as it has felt bullish all week or for the last few days.

wow unbelievable
  • #11,056
  • Sep 6, 2013 8:50am Sep 6, 2013 8:50am
I'm buying down here near S1 and the D1 SMA 20.
  • #11,057
  • Edited 9:06am Sep 6, 2013 8:52am | Edited 9:06am
Quoting Lover Man
I'm buying down here near S1 and the D1 SMA 20.
I just bought some also but not feeling very good about it as the weekend coming could really make this squeeze nasty.

It was all a big swissie bear bear trap.
  • #11,058
  • Sep 6, 2013 8:59am Sep 6, 2013 8:59am
Quoting pipxster
{quote} Hi Simon dont you think this time could be different as -8k in NFP wont affect the next FED decision on taper on taper off The figures are still good in general. Market could realise that...
Yes 8k is not so big difference, but July revision is ugly: from 162 to 104.

And next week is "Syria driven" week. So i hope i could buy again at about 1,23 levels
  • #11,059
  • Sep 6, 2013 9:15am Sep 6, 2013 9:15am
Quoting Simon73
{quote} Yes 8k is not so big difference, but July revision is ugly: from 162 to 104. And next week is "Syria driven" week. So i hope i could buy again at about 1,23 levels
Thanks Simon meanwhile Im already in the demand zone
  • #11,060
  • Sep 6, 2013 9:15am Sep 6, 2013 9:15am
We just had a big jump up of about 10 pips in 10 seconds so someone has started buying other than Us.
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