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  • #829,781
  • Aug 27, 2013 5:22pm Aug 27, 2013 5:22pm
Quoting JeremyWS
{quote} Yeah but the point was about today and as I said BTPs would sell off and it did, the btp-bund spread widened 11bps today which is one of the largest moves in a while. So yeah... the BTP's did react to this news
I would say that 10 years yields at 4.50% do not represent an alarming element for Italy at the moment, as it's luckily inside the Euro area. Maybe we should concentrate on those countries with worst problems, as India and Indonesia.
  • #829,782
  • Aug 27, 2013 5:30pm Aug 27, 2013 5:30pm
Quoting m1nibbler
{quote} 88 is to break out the wedge downside. is it possible to break up the wedge upside?
i m not sure where the wedge is but what i m looking at is right at the chart where egual legs will get us to 90.90 161.8 fib is 88 to form wave 4
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  • #829,783
  • Aug 27, 2013 6:23pm Aug 27, 2013 6:23pm
Price at time of writing –
My recent update on gold in May, with a follow up in early June, recommended selling the metal short, with a downside target price defined at $1275.


In the event, the price dipped beneath this support, eventually achieving a low in late June at $1180. As a result, my recommendation reverted to neutral.
The subsequent rally from this low has taken gold up by a Gann-theory-derived 16.66% thus far, and it remains to be seen whether this rise is sufficient for now. In the short-term, the rally is likely to falter at either the current level, following this 16.66% rise, or at $1475 following a rise of 25%. Furthermore, this recent advance has taken the price back to the rising 12x1 time-angle (derived from the low in October 2008, and displayed on the chart in red). This, too, adds weight to the argument that a pull-back may be approaching.
Although GOLD has a long-term target band defined as $2548-2585, the higher risk currently involved in the trade does not suggest now is the time to buy. The trigger point for this trade requires a break above $1720. Meanwhile, traders may buy gold on any pull-back to the support at $1280.
Recommendation: neutral. Short-term traders may buy on a pull-back to $1280. The target then becomes $1574.
  • #829,784
  • Aug 27, 2013 6:32pm Aug 27, 2013 6:32pm
EU H4 M15
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  • #829,785
  • Aug 27, 2013 7:28pm Aug 27, 2013 7:28pm
Gold needs to move down 10 to 15 dollars per ounce. this mini sp500 no space to go in 1613
  • #829,786
  • Aug 27, 2013 7:48pm Aug 27, 2013 7:48pm
Quoting elisab
{quote} I would say that 10 years yields at 4.50% do not represent an alarming element for Italy at the moment, as it's luckily inside the Euro area. Maybe we should concentrate on those countries with worst problems, as India and Indonesia.
structurally, one could easily argue that countries like Italy, Spain or Greece have much more structural problems than the EM world. They are getting hit by hot money flows at the moment but that is merely transitory and may push India's GDP down to 5% (note, that is still pretty high considering).

so while 450bps isn't that high at the moment, for a country that has no growth and already crippling debt, its worse than indonesia with 850bps
  • #829,787
  • Aug 27, 2013 8:32pm Aug 27, 2013 8:32pm
Quoting geniusztc
{quote} as you can see. the chance and THE REASON. {image} {image} {image}
AU s/o

EU on the way.

UJ hit my target.
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A chart helps those who can read it.
  • #829,788
  • Aug 27, 2013 9:26pm Aug 27, 2013 9:26pm
Quoting JeremyWS
{quote} structurally, one could easily argue that countries like Italy, Spain or Greece have much more structural problems than the EM world. They are getting hit by hot money flows at the moment but that is merely transitory and may push India's GDP down to 5% (note, that is still pretty high considering). so while 450bps isn't that high at the moment, for a country that has no growth and already crippling debt, its worse than indonesia with 850bps
Not to forget, this year Greece rejoined EM status
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #829,789
  • Aug 27, 2013 9:58pm Aug 27, 2013 9:58pm
monthly close looming, quite often get some nasty movement as with any candle close, can reap many quick pips but also lose many pips, so need to be patient, very careful and keep every thing tight or stay on the sidelines, some very big levels in play
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #829,790
  • Aug 27, 2013 10:16pm Aug 27, 2013 10:16pm
no direction
The fragrance remains in the hands of those that gves the rose
  • #829,791
  • Aug 27, 2013 10:29pm Aug 27, 2013 10:29pm
Quoting okosodo
no direction
East...
Money Can't Buy Happiness. Poverty Can't Buy SHIT! You Choose!
  • #829,792
  • Aug 27, 2013 10:29pm Aug 27, 2013 10:29pm
Market crazy.. But 1.34 held.. Again
Even the worst trade can close with profit. Just give it time.
  • #829,793
  • Aug 27, 2013 10:31pm Aug 27, 2013 10:31pm
Quoting KiwiTrada
monthly close looming, quite often get some nasty movement as with any candle close, can reap many quick pips but also lose many pips, so need to be patient, very careful and keep every thing tight or stay on the sidelines, some very big levels in play
market in risk off mode , poor Aussie yen cross joint her too
Mohan
  • #829,794
  • Aug 27, 2013 10:43pm Aug 27, 2013 10:43pm
Quoting mohan76
{quote} market in risk off mode , poor Aussie yen cross joint her too
yes your bull keeps struggling to get a foothold,
watching geppy right now, see if can take out the previous lows
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #829,795
  • Aug 27, 2013 11:24pm Aug 27, 2013 11:24pm
I think pre London will pop us up to 1.3415 then we will make a lower low on 4 hour testing 1.3360's today and usd is at support forming the inverse h and s currently... but eur usd looks like a butterfly sell to me... although its going to have a fight at around 1.3354 area where people are going to try and form inverse head and shoulders on the euro usd
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  • #829,796
  • Aug 27, 2013 11:25pm Aug 27, 2013 11:25pm
I´m buying the dip today. 1.33?
  • #829,797
  • Aug 27, 2013 11:31pm Aug 27, 2013 11:31pm
Quoting Magix
{quote} East...
I don't know how you earned all those vouches, maybe the way I did.

Let me explain you something. A chart shows pa movement which could can only be forward because price graph is plotted with Time on X-axis and the Price on Y-axis.
While Time Traveling, pa either goes up or down but if these ups and downs are too low it is called sideways. Therefore the direction could be:

1. Up
2. Down
3. Sidways

Many people use North for Up, South for Down but no one uses West for Sideways.

For more information you may like to check Chikipedia.
The Thief of Wall Street
  • #829,798
  • Aug 27, 2013 11:46pm Aug 27, 2013 11:46pm
Quoting RussJ
I think pre London will pop us up to 1.3415 then we will make a lower low on 4 hour testing 1.3360's today and usd is at support forming the inverse h and s currently... but eur usd looks like a butterfly sell to me... although its going to have a fight at around 1.3354 area where people are going to try and form inverse head and shoulders on the euro usd {image}
You may like to make it 1.3422 and then 1.3480, but the most reliable timeframe Daily is still not clear to me.
The Thief of Wall Street
  • #829,799
  • Aug 27, 2013 11:49pm Aug 27, 2013 11:49pm
Quoting Chicky
{quote} I don't know how you earned all those vouches, maybe the way I did. Let me explain you something. A chart shows pa movement which could can only be forward because price graph is plotted with Time on X-axis and the Price on Y-axis. While Time Traveling, pa either goes up or down but if these ups and downs are too low it is called sideways. Therefore the direction could be: 1. Up 2. Down 3. Sidways Many people use North for Up, South for Down but no one uses West for Sideways. For more information you may like to check Chikipedia.

we are expecting more , it's not up to your standard
Mohan
  • #829,800
  • Aug 27, 2013 11:53pm Aug 27, 2013 11:53pm
Quoting Chicky
{quote} I don't know how you earned all those vouches, maybe the way I did. Let me explain you something. A chart shows pa movement which could can only be forward because price graph is plotted with Time on X-axis and the Price on Y-axis. While Time Traveling, pa either goes up or down but if these ups and downs are too low it is called sideways. Therefore the direction could be: 1. Up 2. Down 3. Sidways Many people use North for Up, South for Down but no one uses West for Sideways. For more information you may like to check Chikipedia.
I like West... that is what I've been looking at for a while anyhow on my chart EU/USD....(may I use the term West from now on or do U have a "copywright") ps I also like ur explanation...i wont include a smiley ...will that cost me a "Big V" ?

Just went south a bid..got my 1.tp at .3377...still short a couple from mid high .3380's ...
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