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  • #810,241
  • Edited 12:05pm Jun 25, 2013 9:55am | Edited 12:05pm
Crude Oil

The monthly and weekly Crude Oil charts showing approximately 9-month triangle within a 3+ year triangle.
It’s a complicated chart for me, its looks bullish at this time and fundamentally it should go upward but you can see it’s failed to make a HH or close above minimum 98.50 on monthly chart.

There are only 5 days left of month of June. And it’s trading at 95.30. on a larger time frame 90.50 area looks strong support, but, close below the point its open for a big drop?

90.50 is the mid of 33.56 to 147.26 as well. The upward breakout on smaller time frame with an inverse H&S and the smaller symmetrical converted into classic bull trap?

Targets are the lower TL of the smaller symmetrical looks 86.70 and the bigger triangle TL at 81.72, the target of the smaller triangle at 72?

But, the question is that this kind of drop is possible because producers must make money?

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #810,242
  • Jun 25, 2013 9:56am Jun 25, 2013 9:56am
@PipAnon
I also picked the 1.34 top and 1.2790 bottom, like I said I would.
"You're solid gold, see you in hell"
  • #810,243
  • Jun 25, 2013 9:56am Jun 25, 2013 9:56am
Quoting godim
{quote} on support {image}
IMO do not use too much the correlation EU GU, is very far away to be 100%. Sometimes they go correlated, sometimes you can get wrong. During european mornings, they can be independent. Of course, during US time, the dolar is the boss, be careful with this correlation
  • #810,244
  • Jun 25, 2013 9:59am Jun 25, 2013 9:59am
Quoting SugarPink
@PipAnon I also picked the 1.34 top and 1.2790 bottom, like I said I would.
As it happens. Nothing you post is before the fact. No data, no charts, no nothing. Just pick numbers out of the air. And 1.34 wasn't the top 1.3416 was
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #810,245
  • Jun 25, 2013 9:59am Jun 25, 2013 9:59am
Quoting SugarPink
@PipAnon I also picked the 1.34 top and 1.2790 bottom, like I said I would.
....

You told me you couldn't add more longs since you were fully in at 1,3100...
And you said 1,3300 was the top...

Oh well nvm
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #810,246
  • Jun 25, 2013 10:03am Jun 25, 2013 10:03am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} .... You told me you couldn't add more longs since you were fully in at 1,3100... And you said 1,3300 was the top... Oh well nvm
Yes, I took it back after a while. it was not 1.33

Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} As it happens. Nothing you post is before the fact. No data, no charts, no nothing. Just pick numbers out of the air. And 1.34 wasn't the top 1.3416 was
I was banned so yeah.. also I missed the bottom in 30 pips as well.
"You're solid gold, see you in hell"
  • #810,247
  • Jun 25, 2013 10:04am Jun 25, 2013 10:04am
Quoting SugarPink
@PipAnon I also picked the 1.34 top and 1.2790 bottom, like I said I would.
You're so full of shit.. GTF out of my face and don't make me waste my time with you.. Calling the top every 50 pips on the way up.. Never seen so many idiots in one place.

Quoting SugarPink
But anyway pipanon I'm going to lift my call on the top of euro at 1.33 becase I'm seeing some stuff that contradicts it so yeah.. maybe its not :-)
  • #810,248
  • Jun 25, 2013 10:05am Jun 25, 2013 10:05am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} .... You told me you couldn't add more longs since you were fully in at 1,3100... And you said 1,3300 was the top... Oh well nvm
Yea and carried the 1.31 he was so bullish on all the way to the bottom he called 1.279 lol. Every day it kept dropping he was ranting how a squeeze that never happened would happen.

400 pip bullish downtrend
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #810,249
  • Jun 25, 2013 10:09am Jun 25, 2013 10:09am
Quoting attila
{quote} You're so full of shit.. GTF out of my face and don't make me waste my time with you.. Calling the top every 50 pips on the way up.. Never seen so many idiots in one place. {quote}
?? lol I never called the top every 50 pips and i was banned so you never saw me do that.

Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} Yea and carried the 1.31 he was so bullish on all the way to the bottom he called 1.279 lol. Every day it kept dropping he was ranting how a squeeze that never happened would happen. 400 pip bullish downtrend
Yeah the squeeze happen :-)
"You're solid gold, see you in hell"
  • #810,250
  • Jun 25, 2013 10:09am Jun 25, 2013 10:09am
Quoting attila
{quote} This thread has become disgusting lately.. That, and it's summer so demo trader kids are on vacation.. Nothing to do here.
I just remembered that I don't post here anymore

how are you doing buddy all good I hope
  • #810,251
  • Jun 25, 2013 10:11am Jun 25, 2013 10:11am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} I just remembered that I don't post here anymore how are you doing buddy all good I hope

All good man, just scalping atm, so maybe I should just get out of the way and let these profesional swing traders do their thing..
  • #810,252
  • Jun 25, 2013 10:11am Jun 25, 2013 10:11am
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} Yea and carried the 1.31 he was so bullish on all the way to the bottom he called 1.279 lol. Every day it kept dropping he was ranting how a squeeze that never happened would happen. 400 pip bullish downtrend
How much have you ever had in drawdown.. not much. I did a excelent job managing a market againts me, you could never done what I did becase you don't know whats happening.
"You're solid gold, see you in hell"
  • #810,253
  • Jun 25, 2013 10:13am Jun 25, 2013 10:13am
Quoting SugarPink
{quote} How much have you ever had in drawdown.. not much. I did a excelent job managing a market againts me, you could never done what I did becase you don't know whats happening.
Ah, the ol hope and pray method, and since you got away with it, you are god.

Got it.
  • #810,254
  • Jun 25, 2013 10:14am Jun 25, 2013 10:14am
Quoting SugarPink
Yeah the squeeze happen :-)
From where to where?
  • #810,255
  • Jun 25, 2013 10:17am Jun 25, 2013 10:17am
Quoting attila
{quote} All good man, just scalping atm, so maybe I should just get out of the way and let these profesional swing traders do their thing..
I need to borrow your avatar. This thread is clogged with fecal matter.
  • #810,256
  • Jun 25, 2013 10:17am Jun 25, 2013 10:17am
Quoting attila
{quote} All good man, just scalping atm, so maybe I should just get out of the way and let these profesional swing traders do their thing..
it's the right market for it

you know where to find my analysis, especially UJ has some good upside targets at present
  • #810,257
  • Jun 25, 2013 10:18am Jun 25, 2013 10:18am
Quoting SugarPink
{quote} ?? lol I never called the top every 50 pips and i was banned so you never saw me do that. {quote} Yeah the squeeze happen :-)
Dude you held a 400 pip draw down for a potential for a potential 300 pip upside that you didn't know would happen? That is shit trade management. Good trade management would be "hey, this looks like a mighty fecking big downtrend. Perhaps, I should lighten the load and reposition myself for this amazing God fearing short squeeze that will happen exactly 310 pips from now."

Most draw done I was 100 pips. I did get squeezed, but I even mentioned to you that I do not believe squeezes are bullish. I turned it for a profit. If the overall trend did not change or I would have cut the loss. I have my strategies.

I think drawn down in trend trading is different in day trading IMO. You cannot, or rarely, turn a day trade into a trend trade. Those that try are the hope and pray it works traders.

Given the downtrend since 1.37, it when up and down. I also told you shorting the rallies into 1.32 in mid-April and early May would be a good idea. We eventually went to "your" bottom of 1.279.
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #810,258
  • Jun 25, 2013 10:22am Jun 25, 2013 10:22am
PA lingering @ 61.8 fib of the swing from 2837 to 3413 @ 3062
  • #810,259
  • Jun 25, 2013 10:25am Jun 25, 2013 10:25am
Don't get embarrassed, but it's time to flip a coin: You guys and the occasional gal either work hard to raise your reputation or to strike your colours.
Did you realize that I counted 78 accounts created from 2006 to 2008 with less than 100 posts that suddenly came online when a lot of the scammers got booted lately?

Flip a coin, pick your poison.
  • #810,260
  • Jun 25, 2013 10:25am Jun 25, 2013 10:25am
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} Dude you held a 400 pip draw down for a potential for a potential 300 pip upside that you didn't know would happen? That is shit trade management. Good trade management would be "hey, this looks like a mighty fecking big downtrend. Perhaps, I should lighten the load and reposition myself for this amazing God fearing short squeeze that will happen exactly 310 pips from now."
#1 The position was not build for a short squeeze in mind. People here were just repeating the word squeeze out of context.
#2 there is no such thing as risk:reward
#3 You would lose money if you were me. and thats it
"You're solid gold, see you in hell"
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