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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #34,201
  • May 28, 2013 11:13pm May 28, 2013 11:13pm
Looking to short 1.0234...targeting 1.0187.....7 pip stop....
  • #34,202
  • May 29, 2013 12:36am May 29, 2013 12:36am
Diamond formed, tp: 101.6
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  • #34,203
  • May 29, 2013 12:55am May 29, 2013 12:55am
Quoting mj_xr
This is my analysis. forget about koruda, focus on technical.. {image}
I am looking at something very similar in terms of expected movement + price objective in the GBP/JPY

I think Koruda may have temporarily run out of bullets after being "misquoted" 3 times in a row on state news papers... the manipulation is obvious to everyone...

JGB 10 years this morning ever closer to 1%... currently sitting at 94bps... they have more problems than they can talk their way through at this point...

Buckle up everyone... May has finally arrived!!!...
90% of people, are wrong about 90% of everything, 90% of the time...
  • #34,204
  • May 29, 2013 1:12am May 29, 2013 1:12am
I just read Kuroda's speech, partially a history lesson but thankfully brief. He is laying the ground work for increased financial regulation and supervision, and capital controls. There was no mention of where any controls would be applied. I have not decided yet what this actually means for FX.
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #34,205
  • May 29, 2013 1:23am May 29, 2013 1:23am
Quoting Exodus
I just read Kuroda's speech, partially a history lesson but thankfully brief. He is laying the ground work for increased financial regulation and supervision, and capital controls. There was no mention of where any controls would be applied. I have not decided yet what this actually means for FX.
it doesn't mean anything in the immediate term IMO.

in the intermediate/longer term (second half of this year/late summer/early fall) this pair is still headed to 110... but i think by then the story will be USD strength rather than JPY devaluation, and it would affect all crosses... keep an eye on US 10T's, creeping higher at 2.14% atm, bond market is starting to price in QE ramp down...
90% of people, are wrong about 90% of everything, 90% of the time...
  • #34,206
  • May 29, 2013 2:13am May 29, 2013 2:13am
Hi everyone,

My thinking is as follows.

%40 devaluation did not affect export figures of Japan and Japan people will not feel comfortable taking more risk by devaluating Yen more. Because
it does not seem to have any point.

Be careful. They might try other ways and we can suddenly see 98.xx ...

Cheers
  • #34,207
  • May 29, 2013 2:20am May 29, 2013 2:20am
Vuawww my comment made it fall 40 pips ))))
  • #34,208
  • May 29, 2013 2:37am May 29, 2013 2:37am
just read the opening remark and really there is nothing that could shake the market as expected. But what struck me were these words "capital controls
and financial regulation and supervision". What do u guys make of it? Is it worth pondering on?
  • #34,209
  • May 29, 2013 2:54am May 29, 2013 2:54am
Quoting strategos
just read the opening remark and really there is nothing that could shake the market as expected. But what struck me were these words "capital controlsand financial regulation and supervision". What do u guys make of it? Is it worth pondering on?
...four posts above yours.....
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #34,210
  • May 29, 2013 8:39am May 29, 2013 8:39am
anyone on this thread read/seen something about demark sell signals on monthly, weekly, AND daily (end of last week)??

i read something on twitter, but cant seem to find a confirmation anywhere...
90% of people, are wrong about 90% of everything, 90% of the time...
  • #34,211
  • May 29, 2013 11:28am May 29, 2013 11:28am
hi

usdjpy break the support of the rising wedge if break target [email protected] target [email protected] target 3@93
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twitter : #zoneforex
  • #34,212
  • May 29, 2013 1:39pm May 29, 2013 1:39pm
Quoting touco
hi usdjpy break the support of the rising wedge if break target [email protected] target [email protected] target 3@93 {image}
good
  • #34,213
  • May 29, 2013 2:36pm May 29, 2013 2:36pm
the nikkey and yen cliff...


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Keep it simple and trade with the trend
  • #34,214
  • May 29, 2013 3:05pm May 29, 2013 3:05pm
Took a short @ 101.2 Targeting 100.9 depending on the reaction at 101.
"If you won't risk the usual, you'll have to settle for the ordinary."
  • #34,215
  • May 29, 2013 3:10pm May 29, 2013 3:10pm
Quoting livethedream
Took a short @ 101.2 Targeting 100.9 depending on the reaction at 101.
Might close 50% at 101
"If you won't risk the usual, you'll have to settle for the ordinary."
  • #34,216
  • May 29, 2013 3:57pm May 29, 2013 3:57pm
Quoting livethedream
Took a short @ 101.2 Targeting 100.9 depending on the reaction at 101.
Close short @ 101.03 and went long.
"If you won't risk the usual, you'll have to settle for the ordinary."
  • #34,217
  • May 29, 2013 4:59pm May 29, 2013 4:59pm
Quoting touco
hi usdjpy break the support of the rising wedge if break target [email protected] target [email protected] target 3@93 {image}
Hello

Big move that you are talking about
man the money guys on TV talking 110 YEN
still the YEN seems to be creeping towards 100 mark
93 is another 8 cents

Thought the YEN masters would be stepping in to stop this happening
  • #34,218
  • May 29, 2013 6:46pm May 29, 2013 6:46pm
I think it's still difficult to say it's reversal, may be short term or medium term. In long term BOJ is continuing quantitative easing meaning that they want to double money supply, also they would be happy to see YEN falling. Hence I would hesitate entering long term shorts, but technically, may be we can target 100-150 pips down, but trail stop or lock profits.
kiss the trend
  • #34,219
  • May 29, 2013 7:04pm May 29, 2013 7:04pm
I'm going to wait for a bounce or false break around 99.80 to go long..this area a pretty strong resistance before it finally broke...a retest of this area is needed in order for the up trend to continue
  • #34,220
  • May 29, 2013 7:44pm May 29, 2013 7:44pm
Nice bounce!
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