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EUR/CHF

  • #10,481
  • May 7, 2013 4:01am May 7, 2013 4:01am
Is this spike up because China yean?
  • #10,482
  • May 7, 2013 4:01am May 7, 2013 4:01am
Quoting rcrist
Perhaps we'll see some activity tomorrow - Foreign Reserves and other data to be released..
Strong gain in past 2 hours It has just reached 1.23
  • #10,483
  • May 7, 2013 4:36am May 7, 2013 4:36am
Quoting tommytimms
{quote} Strong gain in past 2 hours It has just reached 1.23
1.2336 and doesn't seem to stop
  • #10,484
  • May 7, 2013 8:54am May 7, 2013 8:54am
Quoting rcrist
{quote} 1.2336 and doesn't seem to stop
It looks like it has found resistance at 1,2336 - it cannot break it for last 4 hours.
  • #10,485
  • May 8, 2013 5:43am May 8, 2013 5:43am
Stronger than expected German manufacturing output plus April CPI showing Swiss economy still in deflation and we're going nicely though yesterday's resistance levels.
If we get through 1,235 then we're chasing highs which we haven't seen since before the Cyprus crisis.
:-)
PK
  • #10,486
  • May 8, 2013 7:31am May 8, 2013 7:31am
Quoting Plofkip
Stronger than expected German manufacturing output plus April CPI showing Swiss economy still in deflation and we're going nicely though yesterday's resistance levels. If we get through 1,235 then we're chasing highs which we haven't seen since before the Cyprus crisis. :-) PK
Chances are to go down now I think...But I also think it will check 1.25 at some time this year
  • #10,487
  • May 9, 2013 12:23am May 9, 2013 12:23am
"Option expiries 10am NY cut

EURCHF 1.2350"

Yesterday we could not breach 1,2350. May be today.
  • #10,488
  • May 9, 2013 12:47am May 9, 2013 12:47am
Quoting Simon73
"Option expiries 10am NY cut EURCHF 1.2350" Yesterday we could not breach 1,2350. May be today.
Yeah, but the real challenge would be 1.2390, like 1.2340-50 taking time to turn to a support, when price now forming a higher low on 1.2295, 1.2390 must take much time to become a support afterwards.
May see 1.2265 if 1.2295 become resistance, but no more lower.
Trade according to current market condition, not what you think would be.
  • #10,489
  • May 9, 2013 5:35am May 9, 2013 5:35am
Quoting J.Clinton
{quote} Yeah, but the real challenge would be 1.2390, like 1.2340-50 taking time to turn to a support, when price now forming a higher low on 1.2295, 1.2390 must take much time to become a support afterwards. May see 1.2265 if 1.2295 become resistance, but no more lower.

One bad news and it will fall to 1.22 again.
  • #10,490
  • May 9, 2013 8:40am May 9, 2013 8:40am
Quoting Simon73
"Option expiries 10am NY cut EURCHF 1.2350" Yesterday we could not breach 1,2350. May be today.
18 pip remains and 20 minutes....

It is Barrier option so we need to touch only, not keep above
  • #10,491
  • May 9, 2013 9:01am May 9, 2013 9:01am
Quoting Simon73
{quote} 18 pip remains and 20 minutes.... It is Barrier option so we need to touch only, not keep above
Next time. very nice H1 H4 candle
  • #10,492
  • May 9, 2013 9:06am May 9, 2013 9:06am
Quoting rcrist
{quote} One bad news and it will fall to 1.22 again.
Yes it's true. Once a safe haven, psychologically always a safe haven.

May look good to short now (short term) @ 1.233, looks like a strong resistance here.

Or I'll just wait for more bad news for it to drop before I reload.
  • #10,493
  • May 9, 2013 10:03am May 9, 2013 10:03am
Quoting rcrist
{quote} One bad news and it will fall to 1.22 again.
This is not the lottery What bad news? For what? Euro? Who said Euro bad news drop EC?!
Many Traders had been shorting EU from 1.30 bad news would take it to 1.20 or maybe 1
Read my signature in the bottom, teaches
Didn't you see Euro Bad news woke up EC from 1.2288 to 1.2335 in 15 minutes
Dollar strong and Euro moderate not dropping= EC UC GC UP
Trade according to current market condition, not what you think would be.
  • #10,494
  • May 9, 2013 10:05am May 9, 2013 10:05am
Quoting Simon73
"Option expiries 10am NY cut EURCHF 1.2350" Yesterday we could not breach 1,2350. May be today.
From where did you get that info? Any reliable source? Expired today, when the next option, price?
Trade according to current market condition, not what you think would be.
  • #10,495
  • May 9, 2013 10:10am May 9, 2013 10:10am
Quoting Simon73
{quote} Next time. very nice H1 H4 candle
H1 was nice, result=1.2335 Next maybe 1.2305 or 1.2277. H4 would struggle for a new high, what next
Trade according to current market condition, not what you think would be.
  • #10,496
  • May 9, 2013 10:11am May 9, 2013 10:11am
Quoting J.Clinton
{quote} From where did you get that info? Any reliable source? Expired today, when the next option, price?
http://www.forexlive.com/blog/2013/0...0am-ny-cut-36/

but it is more important:

http://www.forexlive.com/blog/2013/0...ers-re-appear/

"talk of option contracts being bought at 1.23 and 1.25 for 1 week to 1 month. Cue EURCHF climbing to 1.2337 triggering stop-loss buying along the way with USDCHF racing to highs of 0.9437 before falling back to 0.9385."

Yestreday was big volume option buying. Price between 1,23-1,25 1week -1 month.

A big chance we will see 1,25 in a week or month. I will buy any dip.
  • #10,497
  • May 9, 2013 12:40pm May 9, 2013 12:40pm
maybe now.....target 1.25 tomorrow or monday
  • #10,498
  • May 9, 2013 1:06pm May 9, 2013 1:06pm
Till 2009 a lot of money went to safe haven: JPY, CHF, Gold

As economy getting better this money goes back to USD, EUR etc.

Firstly the JPY collapsed this year:

Seondly Glod dropped:

One day CHF will start to drop. May be this is that day...
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: jpy.gif Size: 23 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: gold.gif Size: 426 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: chf.gif Size: 24 KB
  • #10,499
  • May 9, 2013 1:36pm May 9, 2013 1:36pm
Quoting Simon73
{quote} http://www.forexlive.com/blog/2013/0...0am-ny-cut-36/ but it is more important: http://www.forexlive.com/blog/2013/0...ers-re-appear/ "talk of option contracts being bought at 1.23 and 1.25 for 1 week to 1 month. Cue EURCHF climbing to 1.2337 triggering stop-loss buying along the way with USDCHF racing to highs of 0.9437 before falling back to 0.9385." Yestreday was big volume option buying....
Don't trust such "talks and rumors" from an unofficial source, we hear dozens of it daily and how much it can have an impact of forex trading. Just see how UJ broke all option barriers. However, not bad to read from many sources just to take an idea, not base your trading on

I prefer to trade what I see on my chart instead
Trade according to current market condition, not what you think would be.
  • #10,500
  • May 9, 2013 1:44pm May 9, 2013 1:44pm
Quoting daka
maybe now.....target 1.25 tomorrow or monday
Don't be very optimistic. I would not say that 1.2408 was in my agenda to be today's high but when price was heading there knew it will be somewhere 1.240* Why? Because it's the Top of a wide range measurement
The drop from there was not surprising, just like the bounce from 1.2368 is not.
If 1.2408 would be the actual top, not far to see a drop to 1.2275 in some days
In the seen, can say 1.2368 switch to resistance will show us 1.2330
Trade according to current market condition, not what you think would be.
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