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  • #750,681
  • Jan 25, 2013 4:50pm Jan 25, 2013 4:50pm
We need to touch 500 than down 120 p and up for ... i have my setup ... GL
  • #750,682
  • Jan 25, 2013 5:14pm Jan 25, 2013 5:14pm
I think first we go to around 1.3530.
Than can retrace.
  • #750,683
  • Jan 25, 2013 5:42pm Jan 25, 2013 5:42pm
Quoting ForExtraPips
Tell me about it. Last night, when I got home, I went short, got stopped out. Tight sl. Then my buy stop got triggered before bed. Got +42 pips. But what did I also do, which I said I'd never do again? Put in a sell limit before bed. Trying to pick the top, @ 1.3433, just to get stopped out -25 pips. And I just went short right now @ 3456, tp @ 1.3380, still figuring out where to put my sl. I need to leave this pair alone and go back to trading the EUR/AUD again. That one has gone up over 370 pips this week.
If you are bearish EUR and AUD most probably to short EUR/AUD? What's your take on this pair?

Been thinking to short EUR/AUD for positive swap but undecided where the direction is heading mid term. Correlations are whacked not it used to be making it difficult for cross pair. It's dicey just playing support and resistance even with a wide stop 200-300 pips. EUR up AUD down now. EUR/AUD can easily hit 1.3060. Will probably wait till end of February to build short positions.

EUR/JPY has been easier from Oct 2012 as the direction of Yen is crystal clear fundametally.
  • #750,684
  • Jan 25, 2013 6:21pm Jan 25, 2013 6:21pm
Quoting Don2012
close of Friday between 1.3428 -1.3399
happy weekend guys
If you want to make random calls, log in with your 10+V username instead of with multiple usernames every other day.

If they weekly closed was as per your post, you will log in with other username to stroke your ego. Get a life and get help.
  • #750,685
  • Jan 25, 2013 7:41pm Jan 25, 2013 7:41pm
Quoting Ken A
If you want to make random calls, log in with your 10+V username instead of with multiple usernames every other day.

If they weekly closed was as per your post, you will log in with other username to stroke your ego. Get a life and get help.
Nothing more on my end to add...
  • #750,686
  • Edited 10:19pm Jan 25, 2013 9:28pm | Edited 10:19pm
what do you think ?, it'll retrace soon or retest the 61.8 of fibo fan line once again and down
D1
http://primuspersada.com/images/d1-eu-p.png

W1

http://primuspersada.com/images/eu-w1-ad.png

W1 , 123 pattern push

http://primuspersada.com/images/wipush.png
Patience Pays
  • #750,687
  • Jan 25, 2013 11:10pm Jan 25, 2013 11:10pm
Quoting fdjauzak
what do you think ?, it'll retrace soon or retest the 61.8 of fibo fan line once again and down
D1
http://primuspersada.com/images/d1-eu-p.png

W1

http://primuspersada.com/images/eu-w1-ad.png

W1 , 123 pattern push

http://primuspersada.com/images/wipush.png
for me it would have touched 3490 but strange fall back from 3479. it was in average days range ie .. 130 pips.

now depends asian session on mony as usual monday is boring with average 40 - 60 Pips range

if opens gap up it may hit 3500

else opens around 3450 then we may expect to rech by 3390 downside max

this is my analysis. rest is market
The Phoenix Trader....
  • #750,688
  • Jan 25, 2013 11:11pm Jan 25, 2013 11:11pm
Quoting Ken A
If you are bearish EUR and AUD most probably to short EUR/AUD? What's your take on this pair?

Been thinking to short EUR/AUD for positive swap but undecided where the direction is heading mid term. Correlations are whacked not it used to be making it difficult for cross pair. It's dicey just playing support and resistance even with a wide stop 200-300 pips. EUR up AUD down now. EUR/AUD can easily hit 1.3060. Will probably wait till end of February to build short positions.

EUR/JPY has been easier from Oct 2012 as the direction of Yen is crystal...
I'm bearish but am holding out, also. Waiting to see if it goes up to around 1.2977 area before thinking of shorting it. But like you said, with the correlations all out of whack, I haven't touch it lately. But whenever it's not like that, you sure can get some nice pips on that pair.
Time turns trend. - W.D. Gann
  • #750,689
  • Jan 25, 2013 11:23pm Jan 25, 2013 11:23pm
Quoting ForExtraPips
I'm bearish but am holding out, also. Waiting to see if it goes up to around 1.2977 area before thinking of shorting it. But like you said, with the correlations all out of whack, I haven't touch it lately. But whenever it's not like that, you sure can get some nice pips on that pair.
I'm interested in shorting this one as well but I'm looking for closer to 1.3100 area, I want to see how it behaves around there.
It works till it doesn't
  • #750,690
  • Jan 26, 2013 12:21am Jan 26, 2013 12:21am
Quoting ec_creep
i am seeing a curving upwards converging (slight) channel, on the 15 mins. if it is what it is, might be low 3480's as the top.

sorry cant post chart, on mobile. can use those circles on mt...
this what was i saw..
greens were entries, reds were exits. last 4 trades for the day, i didn't post the 1st one here. the 4th one was kinda fucked up, pa moved exorbitantly slow after london close =(

weren't perfect ones. but at least made some profit from london-ny as well. not many pips, only 44pips. but i went heavy on them, extremely confident at these sorta patterns.
just my 2 cents..
Attached Image
  • #750,691
  • Jan 26, 2013 1:09am Jan 26, 2013 1:09am
Quoting ForExtraPips
I'm bearish but am holding out, also. Waiting to see if it goes up to around 1.2977 area before thinking of shorting it. But like you said, with the correlations all out of whack, I haven't touch it lately. But whenever it's not like that, you sure can get some nice pips on that pair.
Most definitely. This pair other than EUR/JPY gave me most pips last year shorting to the bottom with 10 pips interval postions. AUD was at the top range and E/U was rock bottom. Once the trend is confirmed is easy to make up the lost opportunities hence never being bothered with catching the top and bottom.
  • #750,692
  • Jan 26, 2013 1:14am Jan 26, 2013 1:14am
Quoting John Gray
I don't trade gold. But gold is a safehaven for investments, similar to the Aussie and the NZ Dollar.

We can see that Euro is climbing, the USD/JPY has cleared 90, and the EUR/USD has nearly hit 1.348, a strong resistance point [see Chart]

Aussie is falling hitting 1.04 against the US Dollar, which I admit I did not except at all. Gold is also falling, and this signals strength in the Euro.

The GBP is falling as

I expect the EUR/USD to retrace from this point and fall back down to previous top, the high of the left shoulder @1.31XX
Good Analysis John.
  • #750,693
  • Jan 26, 2013 1:28am Jan 26, 2013 1:28am
Hi Guys, I have loved reading this posting....some of it anyway, there are so many pages it is getting hard,

I, and a few others, would appreciate a summary of the strategy/method that you guys are using....feel free to post,

have a nice w/end,

cheers, Steve
  • #750,694
  • Jan 26, 2013 1:34am Jan 26, 2013 1:34am
Quoting square1
Good Analysis John.
Thanks,

Yeah Aussie watch 1.04 support, if breaks, my entry longs are at 1.037, go back further and you see why, previous low, held strongly.

I am hoping for pullback on Euro Dollar and Euro Yen before entering long.

not expecting break of 1.34

edit: thats the alternative, but either way a retrace would be ideal in my books
Even the worst trade can close with profit. Just give it time.
  • #750,695
  • Jan 26, 2013 1:35am Jan 26, 2013 1:35am
Quoting steve d
Hi Guys, I have loved reading this posting....some of it anyway, there are so many pages it is getting hard,

I, and a few others, would appreciate a summary of the strategy/method that you guys are using....feel free to post,

have a nice w/end,

cheers, Steve
fib retracement, channels, harmonics, trendlines, support and resistance, psych and technical s/r

i have also started using fib expansions.

edit: and fundamentals, see yen pairs
Even the worst trade can close with profit. Just give it time.
  • #750,696
  • Jan 26, 2013 2:11am Jan 26, 2013 2:11am
Quoting sunilpawar
for me it would have touched 3490 but strange fall back from 3479. it was in average days range ie .. 130 pips.

now depends asian session on mony as usual monday is boring with average 40 - 60 Pips range

if opens gap up it may hit 3500

else opens around 3450 then we may expect to rech by 3390 downside max

this is my analysis. rest is market
Thank you Sunilpawar, just take another look at these lines, the fibo from 1.637-1.1874. The price touched the 38.2/1.3464 and backed down. Could this be the real rejection line? . Anyway fiboclusters really works.
http://primuspersada.com/images/dweu.png
Patience Pays
  • #750,697
  • Jan 26, 2013 3:01am Jan 26, 2013 3:01am
Quoting fdjauzak
Thank you Sunilpawar, just take another look at these lines, the fibo from 1.637-1.1874. The price touched the 38.2/1.3464 and backed down. Could this be the real rejection line? . Anyway fiboclusters really works.
http://primuspersada.com/images/dweu.png
for me 3 month view is 1.3300

fundamentally analysts view is it should be around 1.3200-1.3300 as a resonable price

upper belt shows if rejection actually occur it should head back to 1.3300 levels by next week

weekly close above 1.3500 levels will open door to 1.3800- 1.4200 levels

silver down gold down
kiwi down cable down
aussie down
usd index down

only eur usd up

was expecting ny session may break the london session high but was in the same zone so only asian session will decide the direction of pair

by end of asian session if it is below 3420 i ll expect it to retrace to 3390

but if it is above 3480+ then us session is good enough for 3530 levles

but still personally i am bearish on this pair and will look for 1.3150 levels by end of this month if it doesnt break 1.3500 my bias short stoploss over 1.3550
The Phoenix Trader....
  • #750,698
  • Jan 26, 2013 4:09am Jan 26, 2013 4:09am
Quoting John Gray
fib retracement, channels, harmonics, trendlines, support and resistance, psych and technical s/r

i have also started using fib expansions.

edit: and fundamentals, see yen pairs
Yup they come very handy i think if this tops holds, 33217 Bull/Bear line,on for me personally a buy signal, on the upside im still watchin 3595. man, noone told me yesterday that the water is so good.
  • #750,699
  • Jan 26, 2013 4:21am Jan 26, 2013 4:21am
Quoting fdjauzak
Thank you Sunilpawar, just take another look at these lines, the fibo from 1.637-1.1874. The price touched the 38.2/1.3464 and backed down. Could this be the real rejection line? . Anyway fiboclusters really works.
http://primuspersada.com/images/dweu.png
http://www.fxstreet.com/technical/ma...2013/01/25/04/
The Phoenix Trader....
  • #750,700
  • Jan 26, 2013 7:15am Jan 26, 2013 7:15am
looking at the weekly, we have 3440, 3410, and 3380 below? as well as 3490, 3520 above?
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