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  • #711,401
  • Oct 25, 2012 4:28am Oct 25, 2012 4:28am
Quoting kuroro001
You are closer to be right than me for now haha
Good luck
we'll see.. the fat lady didn't sing yet.. I'll get out if it rolls me over..
  • #711,402
  • Oct 25, 2012 4:30am Oct 25, 2012 4:30am
Pair needs help from other assets classes breakouts.

Getting closer but still not there.
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #711,403
  • Oct 25, 2012 4:38am Oct 25, 2012 4:38am
Quoting KiwiTrada
nope is no wedding bro, fiance was killed on Tuesday, is sad times, I going to meet family and friends from Aussie, is why been pretty quiet week,, getting everything ready

is sad, but I just sell cable 6129 sl-15

I offer you my deepest condolences bro, thats awful.

Very sorry for your loss.
  • #711,404
  • Oct 25, 2012 4:41am Oct 25, 2012 4:41am
So... this is what I'm seeing for up side targets.

In the two images below, you will see fibs drawn on both of the recent upward swings.

The first swing was followed by a pull back to the 50% level which puts the extension @ the 161.8% level in the 1.3040/45 area.

The second swing was followed by a pull back to the 61.8% level which puts the extension @ the 161.8% level also in the 1.3040/45 area.

Looks like confluence to me...

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Fibo_analysis_1st_swing.png Size: 42 KB


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: fibo_analysis_2nd_swing.png Size: 42 KB


Pretty cool huh?
  • #711,405
  • Oct 25, 2012 4:45am Oct 25, 2012 4:45am
Quoting tirmizi
brother try short at 3027 stop 3042 imho
you can short eur/usd pair about 3070 - 75
looking for investors . pm me
  • #711,406
  • Oct 25, 2012 4:47am Oct 25, 2012 4:47am
Quoting screwup
bravo1
bravo2
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: bravo2.jpg Size: 21 KB
  • #711,407
  • Oct 25, 2012 4:52am Oct 25, 2012 4:52am
Quoting Z3iz3i
Pair needs help from other assets classes breakouts.

Getting closer but still not there.
And back to test 1.30 which seems to be nice level.

Markets not ready to move, waiting something

Bias still upside though.
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #711,408
  • Oct 25, 2012 4:55am Oct 25, 2012 4:55am
http://img84.imageshack.us/img84/4872/68102007.gif
  • #711,409
  • Oct 25, 2012 5:03am Oct 25, 2012 5:03am
Quoting Walz
Hello

My name is Michael.
I have a question for you,
because I liked yours analysis on Eur/Usd H4 with MA.

Could you share what parameters you use the settings on yours 3 moving averages?
Unless of course if this is not mystery.

I'll be grateful
Best Regards

Michael
never trade with ma cross systems ; i am in this cess pit for 10+ years and other factors are more important.

indicators is not everything, they can blow your account anytime.
  • #711,410
  • Oct 25, 2012 5:08am Oct 25, 2012 5:08am
ouuugh cmon
dax on res at 7239 gonna see
bund still undecided
spa/ita yields also close to the trendline
fra flat

still hold : atm around -15 minus overall
aj s
ej s
ac s
  • #711,411
  • Oct 25, 2012 5:11am Oct 25, 2012 5:11am
Quoting hindustani
http://img84.imageshack.us/img84/4872/68102007.gif
closed -2 ; 1 hour need to take a break before hammering 3055 prolly tomorrow
  • #711,412
  • Oct 25, 2012 5:11am Oct 25, 2012 5:11am
Quoting kbmoonshinex
you can short eur/usd pair about 3070 - 75
yes sir if get stopped out at 3142 then surely short at 3085 3085 was my last number but prices fell from 3083 i had pending at 3085 but missed it with 2 pips,

i have just shorted cable at 6134 with TP 6010 min
Learning Requires Failure
  • #711,413
  • Oct 25, 2012 5:12am Oct 25, 2012 5:12am
Quoting Z3iz3i
And back to test 1.30 which seems to be nice level.

Markets not ready to move, waiting something

Bias still upside though.
I do not see why this pair should necessarily go higher....as it stands its gained
.31% ...that is within one standard deviation of returns.

If you are looking to take your profits for the day then this would be a safe area...84% of returns is encompassed at sigma one.

however if you are going to turn this into a swing trade...i suggest you adjust your position size now... it has potential to reach around 31 realistically by months end
AVT INVENIAM VIAM AVT FACIAM
  • #711,414
  • Oct 25, 2012 5:14am Oct 25, 2012 5:14am
Question for the more experienced traders..

If you are waiting for a confirmed close below or above a certain level, on which TF does it become reliable enough to be called a 'confirmed close'?
Obviously it can close on every TF from 1 min upwards, but I know this doesnt always mean much on the lower timeframes?? Is it a case of the higher the timeframe, the better the confirmation?
  • #711,415
  • Oct 25, 2012 5:17am Oct 25, 2012 5:17am
you still have NY session and the way the S&P futures are looking right now.. looks like equities will rise. It all depends on how the USD acts then but I wouldnt expect a dramatic break out to the upside

1.3040 or 1.3050 stands above sigma one...not unlikely either but you should stop and think if you want to hold that risk.

15% probability of anything above 1.3000
AVT INVENIAM VIAM AVT FACIAM
  • #711,416
  • Oct 25, 2012 5:18am Oct 25, 2012 5:18am
Quoting Freshpips
Question for the more experienced traders..

If you are waiting for a confirmed close below or above a certain level, on which TF does it become reliable enough to be called a 'confirmed close'?
Obviously it can close on every TF from 1 min upwards, but I know this doesnt always mean much on the lower timeframes?? Is it a case of the higher the timeframe, the better the confirmation?
It depends... lol..

It depends what you're looking for. If you're looking for continuation, then higher TF, if you're looking for turns then lower TFs, and then watch what that does to the higher TFs..

It's not one thing of course. Momentum, how important the level is, what time of day it happens, news (these will give you the fakes most of the time) etc..

edit: you can also be in a chop (like this turns out to be) and then the closes don't mean much.
  • #711,417
  • Oct 25, 2012 5:22am Oct 25, 2012 5:22am
I think you will become a better trader when you stop seeing it as a fragmented market....

there are no time frames.....just price
AVT INVENIAM VIAM AVT FACIAM
  • #711,418
  • Oct 25, 2012 5:24am Oct 25, 2012 5:24am
Quoting attila
It depends... lol..

It depends what you're looking for. If you're looking for continuation, then higher TF, if you're looking for turns then lower TFs, and then watch what that does to the higher TFs..

It's not one thing of course. Momentum, how important the level is, what time of day it happens, news (these will give you the fakes most of the time) etc..

edit: you can also be in a chop (like this turns out to be) and then the closes don't mean much.

Thats great Attila, much appreciated.

Been burnt before with fakeouts, hence me trying to work on my knowledge of 'confirmed' breaks/closes.
  • #711,419
  • Oct 25, 2012 5:26am Oct 25, 2012 5:26am
considering new lows...
after its retrace to about 1.3022 now we may have some new lows below 1.29200 and the target may be around 1.27999
There is no randomness. It is just Chaos, a higher form of order.
  • #711,420
  • Oct 25, 2012 5:28am Oct 25, 2012 5:28am
Quoting the redlion
I think you will become a better trader when you stop seeing it as a fragmented market....

there are no time frames.....just price
TFs are important.. I actually don't use them, .. I have multiple settings tick charts..

Point is you have to be able to look inside (that's where it's curling), but in the end merge (roll) them all back up.
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