EurAnalysis | Page 2870 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Related Instruments

EUR/USD

Similar Threads

EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

Attachments: EurAnalysis
Exit Attachments

EurAnalysis

  • #57,381
  • Oct 2, 2012 11:41am Oct 2, 2012 11:41am
Quoting Vtmn
does any of you have a broker that does provide you monitors & PC?
No and even if they did, I would still want my own hardware.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #57,382
  • Oct 2, 2012 11:42am Oct 2, 2012 11:42am
Quoting Ken A
Back in 2010 I was down with sport injury and couldn't move much so I had to do something and learn about PC hardware. The more I learn the more I was bugged by it and had an obsession in overclocking. Made a name in overclocking world with extreme cooling Liquid Nitrogen then started to get bored. Then moved on to graphical hardware and the PC room is growing ever since

Now mostly the screens are for security cameras and some other stuff, don't ask me what
No need to ask because I already know
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #57,383
  • Oct 2, 2012 11:46am Oct 2, 2012 11:46am
LOL.

It's Risk-Off now. All major pairs are declining.
  • #57,384
  • Oct 2, 2012 11:53am Oct 2, 2012 11:53am
Quoting Ken A
LOL.

It's Risk-Off now. All major pairs are declining.
There is no volume. If someone with deep pockets jumps in now, they can move it in any direction they want.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #57,385
  • Oct 2, 2012 11:53am Oct 2, 2012 11:53am
Quoting PipTrapper
1. Double top
2. Bearish Divergence
3. Falling channel resistance

Two possibilities.

1. The obvious double top and on break of the 1.2800 neckline, it will drop to 1.2640

1. Alternatively, it is drawing the right shoulder of an inverted H/S and on break of the 1.2966 neckline, will head up to 1.3120/30

E/U H1
Attachment
is this what you are talking about PT...

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: euinverse.gif Size: 31 KB
Wooooohooooo or Boooooohooooo
  • #57,386
  • Oct 2, 2012 12:04pm Oct 2, 2012 12:04pm
Quoting gnomoneey
is this what you are talking about PT...

Attachment
Regarding what? double top, or inverted H/S?
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #57,387
  • Oct 2, 2012 12:08pm Oct 2, 2012 12:08pm
Quoting PipTrapper
1. Double top
2. Bearish Divergence
3. Falling channel resistance

Two possibilities.

1. The obvious double top and on break of the 1.2800 neckline, it will drop to 1.2640

1. Alternatively, it is drawing the right shoulder of an inverted H/S and on break of the 1.2966 neckline, will head up to 1.3120/30

E/U H1
Attachment

YEP
  • #57,388
  • Oct 2, 2012 12:10pm Oct 2, 2012 12:10pm
Quoting gnomoneey
is this what you are talking about PT...

Attachment
If not double top, then inverted H/S

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu-h1-ihs.gif Size: 25 KB
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #57,389
  • Oct 2, 2012 12:14pm Oct 2, 2012 12:14pm
Quoting PipTrapper
If not double top, then inverted H/S

Attachment
Ive had the 2828 as HUGE support for a looong time PT

and the level below it we discussed on sunday( the 2750-2816) is still viable Daily demand although it has held the first test

That being said todays closes across the risk indices are looking particularily bearish.... ES futures under the 1436 opens up the 1396, USDx is up, VIX is pointing up/ Dow below 13500 etc...

NFPs this friday should be a doozy
  • #57,390
  • Oct 2, 2012 12:19pm Oct 2, 2012 12:19pm
Quoting PipTrapper
If not double top, then inverted H/S

Attachment
Inverted Hs as you've drawn....thanks
Wooooohooooo or Boooooohooooo
  • #57,391
  • Oct 2, 2012 12:36pm Oct 2, 2012 12:36pm
I was hoping for more like head, shoulders, knees and toes, knees and toes. But then again I am short biased.

  • #57,392
  • Oct 2, 2012 12:40pm Oct 2, 2012 12:40pm
Quoting Oilman0727
I was hoping for more like head, shoulders, knees and toes, knees and toes. But then again I am short biased.

That's new. I see turtle pattern btw.
  • #57,393
  • Oct 2, 2012 12:49pm Oct 2, 2012 12:49pm
will hold my short after equities close. someone jumped onto the afternoon (2 pm est) rally and is unloading. Maybe some rating change to come shortly?
but for now 200 sma hourly is holding as support 1.2912
  • #57,394
  • Oct 2, 2012 12:57pm Oct 2, 2012 12:57pm
I think the wash & rinse cycle is complete for now so anticipate 2900 to be breached during the Asian session...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1hoct 2012.gif Size: 47 KB
Those that say do not know. Those that know do not say.
  • #57,395
  • Oct 2, 2012 1:04pm Oct 2, 2012 1:04pm
ohenry, that would be nice. it is big support now so heavily defended it would seem. If it goes as you suggest then something else is cooking in Europe.

Maybe the mess that is stirring in Asia is starting to affect risk outlooks and we will get carry unwinds. The strength of EURO/CAD today suprised, thought the safe haven appeal of Canada which actually has an economy meant something.
  • #57,396
  • Edited 1:28pm Oct 2, 2012 1:17pm | Edited 1:28pm
Quoting foto
ohenry, that would be nice. it is big support now so heavily defended it would seem...
foto my biases is purely from a technical perspective (short term) I expect to be out of this trade before tmr's UK session... I will settle @ 2890 but will leave that for the market to decide. I've seen this pattern before so place my measure on that...if I may those small shorts you took after lunch.. BE @ 37 should keep u dry...just my 5c
Those that say do not know. Those that know do not say.
  • #57,397
  • Oct 2, 2012 1:20pm Oct 2, 2012 1:20pm
Quoting PipTrapper
One display... 18 charts. I only have 4 displays. If you count my laptop and tablet, I have 6 displays
That doesn't look like regular consumer level display because the aspect ratio is neither 16:9 nor 16:10. Unless the picture was cut. Curious.
  • #57,398
  • Oct 2, 2012 1:35pm Oct 2, 2012 1:35pm
Quoting Ken A
That doesn't look like regular consumer level display because the aspect ratio is neither 16:9 nor 16:10. Unless the picture was cut. Curious.
picture was cut
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #57,399
  • Oct 2, 2012 1:43pm Oct 2, 2012 1:43pm
ohenry, thanks for the advice.
Agree with you, breeching 1.2890 looks formidable.
Trade was just for an afternoon scalp. Lower volatility and some direction.
I thought the market was slated to test higher, but when the stars lined up a bit, figured fade on the mornings action was worth a shot.
b.e. stop is in.

I do think the NZD/USD has potential to at least drop some more as the Aussie took such a hit today 4 hr 50 sma was holding as decent support, got breeched this afternoon.

have a good one all.
  • #57,400
  • Oct 2, 2012 3:46pm Oct 2, 2012 3:46pm
EUR: Moody’s Officially Postpones Spanish Decision

Moody’s has now made it official. They will not be making a decision on Spain’s debt rating until the end of October. This announcement coupled with Spanish Prime Minister Rajoy’s continued denial that a bailout is imminent has been met with disappointment from currency traders. The euro appreciated against the U.S. dollar today but it trended lower throughout the second half of the North American trading session. Moody’s said they needed more time to review the Spanish budget and stress tests results, but we believe they are hoping that Spain will make its own decision on a bailout shortly after the October 21st regional elections, sparing them a controversial decision that could trigger sharp volatility across the financial markets. So far, it seems that the Spanish government isn’t budging. Contrary to the market’s general belief, this afternoon, Prime Minister Rajoy said a bailout isn’t imminent and indicated that regions are committed to meeting their deficit reduction targets. We’ve been down this road before with Greece and only time will tell because we heard the same denials. We continue to believe that the market won’t let Spain off the hook without a bailout. Hope of help from Chinese also faded with the comments from the Chairman of the country’s Sovereign Wealth Fund. He said it is unrealistic to expect Chinese investment in bonds issued by highly indebted European countries until problems are resolved. So what we have left is no decision from Moody’s, no willingness to be bailed out by Spain and no desire to buy European bonds from the Chinese, all of which are bad news for the euro.

Source: http://www.bkassetmanagement.com/us-...s-dollar_2729/
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
76 traders viewing now