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  • #700,301
  • Sep 30, 2012 7:50pm Sep 30, 2012 7:50pm
Quoting Rag2RichesFX
There is inflation, I think we are just consolidating. The real inflation happened during the U.S. war prime time, far before any real substantial easing... those guys were the REAL smart money..

I wish I bought silver @ $4.50 (although i was very financially ignorant then and very young).. would almost be like buying apple @ 50 a share
We all have our wishes, I once bought google stock for $300 and I sold with a loss $ 290. Look where it is now!
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  • #700,302
  • Sep 30, 2012 7:55pm Sep 30, 2012 7:55pm
Quoting KillerWhale
We all have our wishes, I once bought google stock for $300 and I sold with a loss $ 290. Look where it is now!
True, that would have been nice. Oh well, as long as we have Forex, I'll never risk capital on a stock again. Maybe if I have billions and just looking for dividends, but I don't think that's happening

Market seems really on edge right now.. big players are playing
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #700,303
  • Sep 30, 2012 7:56pm Sep 30, 2012 7:56pm
Third time it tried to reach 20.. fell short..Interesting..
  • #700,304
  • Sep 30, 2012 8:02pm Sep 30, 2012 8:02pm
i dont really care much for indicators anymore (besides a few emas and momentum for divergences..), but my goodness bollinger bands are powerful when combined with basic supply/demand levels
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #700,305
  • Sep 30, 2012 8:02pm Sep 30, 2012 8:02pm
Quoting Rag2RichesFX
True, that would have been nice. Oh well, as long as we have Forex, I'll never risk capital on a stock again. Maybe if I have billions and just looking for dividends, but I don't think that's happening

Market seems really on edge right now.. big players are playing
There is a reason why America has no inflation.
If America would tell the truth about inflation, they have a huge problem, because they will need to adjust social security income for millions of Americans.

And of course that is too expensive so America tells you that "we don't have inflation". Yet the costs of living goes up almost every day.
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  • #700,306
  • Sep 30, 2012 8:06pm Sep 30, 2012 8:06pm
Quoting attila
Third time it tried to reach 20.. fell short..Interesting..
previous support broken and resistance for now is at 1.2727/2730 area..let see if it reaches there, if so, another small short coming...
the last resistance but not the least, is at 1.2840, and my last small short if reaches there...
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  • #700,307
  • Sep 30, 2012 8:07pm Sep 30, 2012 8:07pm
Quoting KillerWhale
There is a reason why America has no inflation.
If America would tell the truth about inflation, they have a huge problem, because they will need to adjust social security income for millions of Americans.

And of course that is too expensive so America tells you that "we don't have inflation". Yet the costs of living goes up almost every day.
that is very true, that would destroy the country right where it stands...

I doubt we could even pay all the unfunded liabilities with our dollar as strong as it was in 1774..
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Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #700,308
  • Sep 30, 2012 8:09pm Sep 30, 2012 8:09pm
Quoting Rag2RichesFX
that is very true, that would destroy the country right where it stands...

I doubt we could even pay all the unfunded liabilities with our dollar as strong as it was in 1774..
You got it!
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  • #700,309
  • Sep 30, 2012 8:11pm Sep 30, 2012 8:11pm
Quoting KillerWhale
Lolz I think that the US is the only country in the world that can keep printing money without the inflation that normally goes with it.
Fed promised us record low interest far into 2015, that is 3 years from now.
US is not printing money per se.

Most is sitting in reserves and is not doing its intended easing.
The US problem has been deflation, and economic contraction.

Inflation is hitting the little guy through commodity prices, and energy, fuel and food. Otherwise inflation expectations continue to be subdued, if the FEDs do nothing we would be bitching that we are going through an economic and monetary contraction the likes Japan has been suffering now for decades.
AVT INVENIAM VIAM AVT FACIAM
  • #700,310
  • Sep 30, 2012 8:15pm Sep 30, 2012 8:15pm
great channel at 8 hours:

drive safe!
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  • #700,311
  • Sep 30, 2012 8:17pm Sep 30, 2012 8:17pm
said it before and ill say it once more.. divergences control the market moves!

anyone want spot the divergence about to happen (but not yet drawn on the chart?)
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Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #700,312
  • Sep 30, 2012 8:22pm Sep 30, 2012 8:22pm
Quoting the redlion
The US problem has been deflation,
Really? Then why do I pay more for gas then a year ago? My health insurance went up 10%. I like to drink tea, I bought it for $1.25 per gallon a year ago, now I pay $1.68.
So where does the deflation part come in?
Can you tell me what product is now cheaper than it was a year ago?
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  • #700,313
  • Sep 30, 2012 8:24pm Sep 30, 2012 8:24pm
Quoting Rag2RichesFX
said it before and ill say it once more.. divergences control the market moves!

anyone spot the divergence about to happen (but not yet drawn on the chart?)
are you talking about on divergences at TF 1 minute and 5 minutes??
even there many times they donīt work, but of course, in such lower time frames, many time they will occur, and the chance you find more that work is better than higher frames...IMO, lower time frames donīt make you really profitable...
  • #700,314
  • Sep 30, 2012 8:26pm Sep 30, 2012 8:26pm
Quoting KillerWhale
Really? Then why do I pay more for gas then a year ago? My health insurance went up 10%. I like to drink tea, I bought it for $1.25 per gallon a year ago, now I pay $1.68.
So where does the deflation part come in?
Can you tell me what product is now cheaper than it was a year ago?
if you look back at my post i mentioned

food
energy
fuel
as being driven by commodity prices.

healthcare is going up do to obama care.

however the Inflation rate at 1.7% this year triggered the fed's further easing, Bernanke's benchmark is circa 2% as far as I remember.

if you take the average inflation rate for the last 10yrs it is 2.4%, QE 1 and QE2 where done due to deflation risk, and now Ben is attempting to prop up housing prices by buying MBS, there are still a lot of houses not being released to market.
AVT INVENIAM VIAM AVT FACIAM
  • #700,315
  • Sep 30, 2012 8:27pm Sep 30, 2012 8:27pm
Employment rate is still a problem. Our economy is no longer in recession but the growth rate is poor at best.
AVT INVENIAM VIAM AVT FACIAM
  • #700,316
  • Sep 30, 2012 8:27pm Sep 30, 2012 8:27pm
Quoting KillerWhale
Really? Then why do I pay more for gas then a year ago? My health insurance went up 10%. I like to drink tea, I bought it for $1.25 per gallon a year ago, now I pay $1.68.
So where does the deflation part come in?
Can you tell me what product is now cheaper than it was a year ago?
All mad in china must be cheaper now, at least here

inflation showing low due to new formula , if you calculate on old formula it will so color full number
Mohan
  • #700,317
  • Sep 30, 2012 8:31pm Sep 30, 2012 8:31pm
Quoting xandi
are you talking about on divergences at TF 1 minute and 5 minutes??
even there many times they donīt work, but of course, in such lower time frames, many time they will occur, and the chance you find more that work is better than higher frames...IMO, lower time frames donīt make you really profitable...
depends on how many pips you risk/target, imo you can be more profitable on an intraday basis than you can making 3 trades on a weekly basis (with large targets and stops)

if i only risk 15 pips per day which is 0.5%, i will end up making a lot more than someone who risks 50 pips per day at 0.5%. they may have a lesser chance of losing, but thats not the point. the point is as long as you dont lose, then scalping is a very important weapon in your arsenal.

i do have other weapons like 25 pip s/l trade, a 50 pip s/l trade, and a 150 pip s/l trade, im not a one trick pony.. these stops are all adjustable within a reasonable margin (like 10-20% higher or lower)

but M5 divergences are very good for scalping... even M1 (see chart)

M15/M30 good for larger 20-30 pip moves.

A good rule of thumb for me is my target should be as many pips as the time frame (M15 divergence, 15 pips, M30 divergence, 30 pips, etc)
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Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #700,318
  • Sep 30, 2012 8:38pm Sep 30, 2012 8:38pm
20 20 hm hm hm..
  • #700,319
  • Sep 30, 2012 8:39pm Sep 30, 2012 8:39pm
Quoting attila
20 20 hm hm hm..
yup but its not just 20, its lack of bull momentum as well (relative to bear)
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #700,320
  • Sep 30, 2012 8:51pm Sep 30, 2012 8:51pm
Quoting england33
I know I don't understand it myself sometimes - it is a bit corrupt. There is inflation it just doesn't make it into the cpi ect so they always say inflation is "contained". That's why I never bother looking at the details of fundamentals.. Problem is the lenders go right along with it because they have a lot to hide as well. Everyone is lying so it makes no sense. If everyone told the truth all this shit would make sense.
Here you go: 'banksters: the great con game'
Politics is the womb in which war develops.
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