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EUR/CHF

  • #9,701
  • Sep 10, 2012 5:36pm Sep 10, 2012 5:36pm
Quoting qatar
Yes, this time will be different... Yha! They won't reload at 1,2010 to go up again, they will reload at 1,2010 to sell under 1,19! I am waiting patiently. I lost from 1,2012 to 1,2050/1,2070. Now I am going to wait patiently from 1,2140 to 1.

In one month we talk again
everybody is certain when opening a position, I know you are Bearish on this pair and hope you success here and everywhere in your life, however it is a long time I am studying this pair and my reasons hold me still Bullish and I think the pair will have sustainable upward movement after Court decision on Euro, less than 48 hours. Good luck
  • #9,702
  • Sep 10, 2012 10:31pm Sep 10, 2012 10:31pm
Quoting qatar
Yes, this time will be different... Yha! They won't reload at 1,2010 to go up again, they will reload at 1,2010 to sell under 1,19! I am waiting patiently. I lost from 1,2012 to 1,2050/1,2070. Now I am going to wait patiently from 1,2140 to 1.

In one month we talk again
One piece of advice for you from what I know. Only short this pair when there's clear sign that the peg will be abandoned. Possible condition(s):
- SNB & Swiss govt. finally decide that the foreign assets (specially EUR) holding by the country is too big compare to the size of their economy.
- Swiss goes to inflation that's over the SNB target due to massive CHF printing
- Swiss property bubble threatening their economy
- Pressure from Swiss politician & business to abandon the peg

Meanwhile, just trade the range.

My 2 cents.
I mean what I say, I say what I mean
  • #9,703
  • Sep 10, 2012 11:39pm Sep 10, 2012 11:39pm
Quoting Neosaladin
One piece of advice for you from what I know. Only short this pair when there's clear sign that the peg will be abandoned. Possible condition(s):
- SNB & Swiss govt. finally decide that the foreign assets (specially EUR) holding by the country is too big compare to the size of their economy.
- Swiss goes to inflation that's over the SNB target due to massive CHF printing
- Swiss property bubble threatening their economy
- Pressure from Swiss politician & business to abandon the peg

Meanwhile, just trade the range.

My 2 cents.
  • #9,704
  • Sep 11, 2012 1:25am Sep 11, 2012 1:25am
Quoting brinks
I think we are headed back to 1.20100-30 so time to reload then?
Not as heavy next time don't want to push my luck with this pair.
That's exactly what I was thinking. I am wondering how much I can make out of this pair
  • #9,705
  • Sep 11, 2012 2:51am Sep 11, 2012 2:51am
its time to act for SNB.
  • #9,706
  • Sep 11, 2012 2:53am Sep 11, 2012 2:53am
Quoting matheousse
its time to act for SNB.
They are!!

they are the ones selling
  • #9,707
  • Sep 11, 2012 2:53am Sep 11, 2012 2:53am
after a while some technical question:

anyone think there's a bullish flag on h4?
  • #9,708
  • Sep 11, 2012 3:00am Sep 11, 2012 3:00am
Quoting brinks
Does anyone know the sight deposits for last week was it up or down?

I did try to find the amount but couldnt see it anywhere.

pipxster usually lets us know.

No problem i think i found it

289 193 bn versus
288 072 bn
sorry buddy, I wasn't around yesterday,
as far as I see 4,7 BLN has been printed
what suprises me a bit (maybe post draghi announce printing)
  • #9,709
  • Sep 11, 2012 3:03am Sep 11, 2012 3:03am
Quoting pipxster
sorry buddy, I wasn't around yesterday,
as far as I see 4,7 BLN has been printed
what suprises me a bit (maybe post draghi announce printing)
No worries thanks anyway.

It does look like a 4hr bull flag but can we start looking at this technically yet?

I dont think we can
  • #9,710
  • Sep 11, 2012 3:40am Sep 11, 2012 3:40am
Quoting matheousse
its time to act for SNB.
tomorrow is the right time.
  • #9,711
  • Sep 11, 2012 3:51am Sep 11, 2012 3:51am
Quoting brinks
No worries thanks anyway.

It does look like a 4hr bull flag but can we start looking at this technically yet?

I dont think we can
maybe someone is drawing a chart for us...

(added long 10%)
Attached Image
  • #9,712
  • Edited 5:33am Sep 11, 2012 4:55am | Edited 5:33am
Cant go up cant go down what way is gonna break first.

If there is no pop up tomorrow on the ESM vote and the SNB dont do anything on thursday then we will definately be going back to 1.20100 in my opinion.

Lohmann-Rasmussen, Chief Analyst at Danske Bank, explains that “Tthe latest initiatives by ECB together with a higher probability of QE3 from the Fed have reduced demand for safe-haven currencies. We think the SNB will keep the minimum target unchanged. Hence, if EUR/CHF manage to stay at the current level after the meeting it could be an important indication that the safe-haven flow into Switzerland has reversed”.
  • #9,713
  • Sep 11, 2012 11:59am Sep 11, 2012 11:59am
Quoting brinks
Cant go up cant go down what way is gonna break first.

If there is no pop up tomorrow on the ESM vote and the SNB dont do anything on thursday then we will definately be going back to 1.20100 in my opinion.

Lohmann-Rasmussen, Chief Analyst at Danske Bank, explains that “Tthe latest initiatives by ECB together with a higher probability of QE3 from the Fed have reduced demand for safe-haven currencies. We think the SNB will keep the minimum target unchanged. Hence, if EUR/CHF manage to stay at the current level after the meeting it could be an...
it doesn't matter at what rate it stays, wherever it stands it stops there still.
  • #9,714
  • Sep 11, 2012 12:02pm Sep 11, 2012 12:02pm
Quoting holmes
it doesn't matter at what rate it stays, wherever it stands it stops there still.

Sorry holmes i didnt understand that
  • #9,715
  • Sep 11, 2012 12:04pm Sep 11, 2012 12:04pm
Quoting brinks
Sorry holmes i didnt understand that
I mean it's sticky and stays with no change, a boring trade.
  • #9,716
  • Sep 11, 2012 12:22pm Sep 11, 2012 12:22pm
Quoting holmes
I mean it's sticky and stays with no change, a boring trade.
Yes your right but at least it hasnt been sold off right down to the floor again
  • #9,717
  • Sep 11, 2012 12:24pm Sep 11, 2012 12:24pm
Quoting brinks
Yes your right but at least it hasnt been sold off right down to the floor again
Its already created a bear flag...
  • #9,718
  • Sep 11, 2012 12:31pm Sep 11, 2012 12:31pm
Quoting sidhujag
Its already created a bear flag...
During these hot EZ / ESM economic news & SNB meeting round the corner, I think technicals may not be useful now until after Thursday...
  • #9,719
  • Sep 11, 2012 12:48pm Sep 11, 2012 12:48pm
Quoting alaneth
During these hot EZ / ESM economic news & SNB meeting round the corner, I think technicals may not be useful now until after Thursday...
I agree, no technical works here. Maybe Fibo time works.
  • #9,720
  • Sep 11, 2012 3:01pm Sep 11, 2012 3:01pm
just a hint options are quite cheap just bought a put for 10 pips with strike 1,204 (!) expiry friday afternoon. just in case if we go back...
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