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Sonic R. System

  • #37,221
  • Jul 15, 2012 11:15pm Jul 15, 2012 11:15pm
GN: Entered short on pullback up to Trend line, per attached. It could go higher. SL2 for LS (more breathing room) if needed.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #37,222
  • Jul 15, 2012 11:33pm Jul 15, 2012 11:33pm
EU: Entered short, per attached. Might need wider SL2 due to USD high impacts later, but not yet decided on what level.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: july 2012 - 053.gif Size: 37 KB
  • #37,223
  • Edited 12:43am Jul 16, 2012 12:18am | Edited 12:43am
GN Commentary:

I am already in this trade, short, which I posted earlier. This has a H&S pattern on M15 (see attached). LO BBS seem to be following FO BBs in using a small range area to consolidate (interpretation: Load Up shorts!). The actual TP depends on when price breaks down thru the neckline of the pattern.

Speculative, but worth watching......look at volume! (Wish Jayjonbeach, H&S specialist, was here to comment.)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #37,224
  • Jul 16, 2012 12:53am Jul 16, 2012 12:53am
Hi TAH,

I have posted a chart showing a shaded white rectangle with 2 blue bars 1 green bar (inv.hammer) and 2 red bars, which came within a up move, but seem to have formed a top or at least a pause in the up move. Would you please let me have your interpretation of what the VSA and candles are telling us, is big money loading short positions and if so how do the candles colours tell you this?

Regards

RT
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audchf rectangle.jpg Size: 148 KB
Some people say I'm lucky, but the more I practice the luckier I get
  • #37,225
  • Jul 16, 2012 1:04am Jul 16, 2012 1:04am
take GU short trade..

volume increased as London Open.. Hope will be a good trade..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gu.gif Size: 42 KB
  • #37,226
  • Jul 16, 2012 1:12am Jul 16, 2012 1:12am
Quoting Robot Trader
Hi TAH,

I have posted a chart showing a shaded white rectangle with 2 blue bars 1 green bar (inv.hammer) and 2 red bars, which came within a up move, but seem to have formed a top or at least a pause in the up move. Would you please let me have your interpretation of what the VSA and candles are telling us, is big money loading short positions and if so how do the candles colours tell you this?

Regards

RT
I see the volume increasing as price rises to HOD, followed by several higher volume bars as price starts to come down from HOD. My impression is that the BBs executed a liquidity creation move. Since HOD is like the second high of a Double Top on M15, the BBs might have closed longs on the first of the Double Tops. Now, any remaining BBs are doing same. If my impression is not in error, then we should eventually see a move down, the profit making run for the BBs. Today? Tomorrow? Who knows? Nobody. But if the BBs are loading up on shorts now, upwards pressure and further price increases could happen until they are ready for the move down. M30 has higher highs, so the recent "Double Top" on M15 could be taken out with a price rise to those higher highs above the half number. That is what I'd expect, since the BBs have the price so close to doing so already, and the half number area is natural resistance, but up to it is good area for additional liquidy creation moves. If all this happens, a good short trade might not be coming until a day or so more. Just have to keep an eye on it.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audchf%20rectangle.jpg Size: 148 KB
  • #37,227
  • Jul 16, 2012 1:16am Jul 16, 2012 1:16am
Quoting alexbs
take GU short trade..

volume increased as London Open.. Hope will be a good trade..
is this a valid sonic setup?

there was increasing volume on first wave, but also increase on second wave(just 1 bar on TF 15)..
  • #37,228
  • Jul 16, 2012 1:24am Jul 16, 2012 1:24am
Quoting alexbs
is this a valid sonic setup?

there was increasing volume on first wave, but also increase on second wave(just 1 bar on TF 15)..
Yes. (Some other possible TPs.....)
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gu.gif Size: 42 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: july 2012 - 055.gif Size: 37 KB
  • #37,229
  • Jul 16, 2012 1:53am Jul 16, 2012 1:53am
Quoting traderathome
Yes. (Some other possible TPs.....)
thx for confirmation tah.. , hope can learn a lot from u..

here's my other trade with sonic setup.. just wanna to share..

USd/CF Long trade..

same reason, increasing volume on first wave(nice momentum)..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdcf.gif Size: 44 KB
  • #37,230
  • Jul 16, 2012 1:55am Jul 16, 2012 1:55am
Expecting 30 pips on tp 1

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdcad.gif Size: 78 KB
There is no spoon....
  • #37,231
  • Jul 16, 2012 1:58am Jul 16, 2012 1:58am
Quoting traderathome
EU: Entered short, per attached. Might need wider SL2 due to USD high impacts later, but not yet decided on what level.
EU: Revised TPs. TP1 reached. Trade closed for 23 pips gain EP1 to new TP1. Looking for pull back now for possible re-entry higher, since USD high impacts are coming. Might not happen, though.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: july 2012 - 056.gif Size: 38 KB
  • #37,232
  • Jul 16, 2012 2:20am Jul 16, 2012 2:20am
Quoting alexbs
thx for confirmation tah.. , hope can learn a lot from u..

here's my other trade with sonic setup.. just wanna to share..

USd/CF Long trade..

same reason, increasing volume on first wave(nice momentum)..
TP1 reached , SL on BE for second trade ..

nice system..
  • #37,233
  • Jul 16, 2012 2:23am Jul 16, 2012 2:23am
Quoting traderathome
I see the volume increasing as price rises to HOD, followed by several higher volume bars as price starts to come down from HOD. My impression is that the BBs executed a liquidity creation move. Since HOD is like the second high of a Double Top on M15, the BBs might have closed longs on the first of the Double Tops. Now, any remaining BBs are doing same. If my impression is not in error, then we should eventually see a move down, the profit making run for the BBs. Today? Tomorrow? Who knows? Nobody. But if the BBs are loading up on shorts now, upwards...
TAH,

Thank you for your explanation, I guess I am finding it difficult to understand how the VSA should be read to give me an edge and was hoping there was a set number of basic patterns (so many blue, green and red that happen on a regular basis giving a high probability what as gone before might be about to change) you could point me to at tops and bottoms of moves that I could lookout for. If there are no set patterns then I will look to see if I can use it to spot divergence which I have shown on the attached chart, I know the VSA uses tick data rather than the moving averages used by the MACD and the VSA can only calculate market activity based on the number of ticks supplied by our brokers feed, rather than real time volume quantity, because one tick could be equal to 1 lot or 10,000 lots. However if tick activity moves lower while price moves higher, this should show the continued up move is false with little interest from the Bulls. I will see how this why of using the VSA to spot divergence (therefore a correction) works out on the current AUDCHF pair I am following.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audchf vsa.jpg Size: 149 KB
Some people say I'm lucky, but the more I practice the luckier I get
  • #37,234
  • Jul 16, 2012 2:27am Jul 16, 2012 2:27am
Quoting alexbs
take GU short trade..

volume increased as London Open.. Hope will be a good trade..
TP1 reached.. lowering SL to 1.5550 for second trade..

Thx Sonic R System and all sonic trader here...
  • #37,235
  • Jul 16, 2012 2:45am Jul 16, 2012 2:45am
Quoting traderathome
EU: Revised TPs. TP1 reached. Trade closed for 23 pips gain EP1 to new TP1. Looking for pull back now for possible re-entry higher, since USD high impacts are coming. Might not happen, though.
excellent trade
Keep Simple...!
  • #37,236
  • Jul 16, 2012 2:57am Jul 16, 2012 2:57am
Quoting alexbs
thx for confirmation tah.. , hope can learn a lot from u..

here's my other trade with sonic setup.. just wanna to share..

USd/CF Long trade..

same reason, increasing volume on first wave(nice momentum)..
closed trade on 9850 and 9856, coz decreasing volume and resistance... maybe will go higher after short retracement..

+22 and +28 for usd chf..
  • #37,237
  • Jul 16, 2012 3:07am Jul 16, 2012 3:07am
Anyone short AU ????
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1.gif Size: 48 KB
Keep Simple...!
  • #37,238
  • Jul 16, 2012 3:25am Jul 16, 2012 3:25am
Quoting kotlt
Anyone short AU ????

Me, but probably entry point in 20-30 min.

Expecting 20-25pips on tp1 then will see.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusd.gif Size: 264 KB
There is no spoon....
  • #37,239
  • Jul 16, 2012 3:46am Jul 16, 2012 3:46am
Quoting Msis125125
Me, but probably entry point in 20-30 min.

Expecting 20-25pips on tp1 then will see.


Now would be the great time to get into this ...
There is no spoon....
  • #37,240
  • Jul 16, 2012 4:02am Jul 16, 2012 4:02am
Quoting Msis125125
Me, but probably entry point in 20-30 min.

Expecting 20-25pips on tp1 then will see.

I still wait for a candlestick close below 1.0203 to enter short.

anyway, good luck to you , hope everything will ok.
Keep Simple...!
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