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  • #401
  • Jul 5, 2012 6:15pm Jul 5, 2012 6:15pm
im newbie on eliot waves
is this count has flaws, mr carlos?
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  • #402
  • Jul 5, 2012 6:41pm Jul 5, 2012 6:41pm
Quoting Luis Carlos
Still regreting I sold Euro Aussie 1.30 and closed 1.27. Now, it is at 1.20 What a IDIOT
I did the same. I took even less pips than you... That 2000 pip move in 'something' is right around the corner. Well done with the thread

Olu
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #403
  • Jul 5, 2012 8:26pm Jul 5, 2012 8:26pm
Quoting ud1nh0
im newbie on eliot waves
is this count has flaws, mr carlos?
Hi Ud1. It is very nice to see how you count that expantion, but I think the whole correction is too big for that X you put there. I think is better how I show you in the chart.
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Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #404
  • Jul 5, 2012 8:28pm Jul 5, 2012 8:28pm
Quoting Olu
I did the same. I took even less pips than you... That 2000 pip move in 'something' is right around the corner. Well done with the thread

Olu
Thank you Olu, yes, is going doing. I hope a big pullback to get in again.
By the way I still like the kiwi short. The market is building like a nice head.
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #405
  • Jul 5, 2012 8:45pm Jul 5, 2012 8:45pm
Quoting gnomoneey
Brother Polatok,

instead of complaining you are doing what you not seeing...you are not posting your charts....

be good you're not the only trader that took a hit today...
Yes Brother you are right. i should post my counts. i was sharing my counts form the start of this thread but last few days i am out of my desk so unable to share much. hope i will start form the next week.

that's why i was waiting for people to share there counts and form last few days i see only luis and another max one or two people posting there ew counts.

anyway i am here to share my views about ew and and will do this form next week. and also expect when people come here try to share his chart too.
Trend Is Friend
  • #406
  • Jul 5, 2012 9:03pm Jul 5, 2012 9:03pm
Quoting Luis Carlos
dont come
Sorry i miss what your saying. ok i will not come.
Trend Is Friend
  • #407
  • Jul 5, 2012 9:14pm Jul 5, 2012 9:14pm
What is the time frame on this poll, anyone know? It seems all relative to time to give an analysis on where the eu will be!
  • #408
  • Jul 5, 2012 9:19pm Jul 5, 2012 9:19pm
Quoting MeInGraySuit
What is the time frame on this poll, anyone know? It seems all relative to time to give an analysis on where the eu will be!
The low this year or next ... It is the low before return 1.60
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #409
  • Jul 5, 2012 9:25pm Jul 5, 2012 9:25pm
Thanks LC,

Six months ,depending on momentum, I have the count around 1.13ish! The killer fish predicts...
  • #410
  • Jul 5, 2012 9:41pm Jul 5, 2012 9:41pm
Whats the opinion on Non Farm tomorrow? ANYONE, ANYONE?
  • #411
  • Jul 5, 2012 10:08pm Jul 5, 2012 10:08pm
Quoting Luis Carlos
TY Der. The problem with beginners are three, that I had:

1. try to find 1-2-3-4-5 waves.

ABC moves more the market

a. what happen if you see 5 waves and the impulsive rules dont match

you have: a b c d e (triangle, diagonal)

also you could have: A a b B C or a b A B C or more could be any correction pattern.

b. what happen if you see 7 waves and the impulsive rules dont match:

you have: A B W X A B Y

what happen if you see 7 waves and the impulsive rules match:

you have a FLAT: A B 1 2 3 4 5 (5 is C, ABC)...
Good advice for beginner.

Thanks and keep going, mate.
  • #412
  • Jul 5, 2012 11:02pm Jul 5, 2012 11:02pm
morning all,

Well yesterday was very interesting by taking out the 28th June low the pair has shown the first significant sign that it may be heading out of the correction it has been in since 2nd June.

So what probabilities am I working with today.. given yesterdays action there are now two high probability scenarios:

Scenario 1 - Still in correction 1.328x to 1.228x this becomes invalid as soon as one of those prices is breached.
As of yesterday we had confirmation that we are still in wave B and not C of a simple ABC correction.

If it is still correcting and yesterdays low holds then target cluster is now 1.282x to 1.290x and intermediate targets 1.269x, 1.274x, 1.278x

Scenario 2 - We are on the 5th wave of a minimum 5 wave trend.
If this is true then normally we should see the low of 1.228x breached.

However the target cluster is split into two with the first being 1.234x to 1.235x which we touched yesterday and we could therefore see a short 5th wave.

The 2nd cluster which no doubt lots of you are currently cheering for gives us a broader range 1.216x to 1.200x.

Summary: It needs to either break yesterday low to keep the correction scenario on hold, or test and pull away to give confidence in the correction still.

Approach: Sell a break of yesterdays low. Or if it the low holds buy for the correction either from a test of the low with tight stop below or on a lift and a new low probably on at least the 15 minute timeframe.
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  • #413
  • Jul 6, 2012 3:38am Jul 6, 2012 3:38am
Quoting Luis Carlos
Hi Ud1. It is very nice to see how you count that expantion, but I think the whole correction is too big for that X you put there. I think is better how I show you in the chart.
thanks for ur reply and guidance.

what is the rules and the difference between x wave connector and x A B W X A B Y?
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  • #414
  • Jul 6, 2012 6:00am Jul 6, 2012 6:00am
Quoting ud1nh0
thanks for ur reply and guidance.

what is the rules and the difference between x wave connector and x A B W X A B Y?
the grade of the X. if (abwx..) is "inside" the x should be X abwxaby
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #415
  • Jul 6, 2012 6:05am Jul 6, 2012 6:05am
Intraday short - lock in BE
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If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #416
  • Jul 6, 2012 8:02am Jul 6, 2012 8:02am
What up guys.

I think one more low will finish this wave. a pullback to 1.238 will be nice to short the market.
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Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #417
  • Jul 6, 2012 9:23am Jul 6, 2012 9:23am
Quoting FXMindset
Intraday short - lock in BE
locked all short's @ DP

Have a nice weekend Louis
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If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #418
  • Jul 6, 2012 11:17am Jul 6, 2012 11:17am
Luis Carlos....in this chart, do you think the wave 5 finish in 1.21??
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  • #419
  • Edited 12:48pm Jul 6, 2012 12:37pm | Edited 12:48pm
Quoting Afarensis
Luis Carlos....in this chart, do you think the wave 5 finish in 1.21??
Not at all!!! Really I dont know how to count wave 5 there.
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #420
  • Jul 6, 2012 12:40pm Jul 6, 2012 12:40pm
Weekly & Daily/H4

D1 S turn Become R now
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If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
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